Toplam Tahmin

813

Doğru

457

Yanlış

356

Başarı Oranı

%56.21

HRKET - Hareket Proje

Tahmin ID: #128239 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026

Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 98.5500 TL

Temel Veriler
  • Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 101.6000 TL
  • Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
  • 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.12
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
Gün Tahmin Fiyatı %Getiri
17.07.2026 101.5341 TL %-0.06
20.07.2026 101.6573 TL %0.12
21.07.2026 101.6097 TL %-0.05
22.07.2026 101.4822 TL %-0.13
23.07.2026 101.4762 TL %-0.01
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu

📊 Model Başarı Performansı

Vade Başarı Yüzdesi Ort. Hata Yüzdesi Toplam Tahmin
4 Gün %31.62 %6.04 136
3 Gün %31.88 %5.01 138
2 Gün %29.71 %4.27 138
1 Gün %43.88 %2.48 139
5 Gün %25.19 %6.90 135
Tahmin; yönü doğruysa ve hata %5'in altındaysa başarılı kabul edilir.
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması

📊 Model Başarı Performansı

Tarih Gün Tahmin Gerçek Getiri % Yön Güven
29.12.2025 1 69.00 68.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
29.12.2025 1 69.00 68.00 1.49 ✅ 0.00
30.12.2025 1 70.00 69.00 2.00 ✅ 0.00
30.12.2025 1 70.50 69.00 1.47 ✅ 0.00
31.12.2025 1 70.40 70.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
31.12.2025 1 70.60 70.00 1.45 ✅ 0.00
02.01.2026 1 71.20 72.00 3.00 ✅ 0.00
02.01.2026 1 71.20 72.00 2.86 ✅ 0.00
07.01.2026 1 71.60 72.00 -1.00 ❌ 0.00
07.01.2026 1 72.40 72.00 -1.37 ❌ 0.00
08.01.2026 1 72.80 71.00 -1.00 ❌ 0.00
08.01.2026 1 72.80 71.00 -1.39 ❌ 0.00
09.01.2026 1 72.60 71.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
09.01.2026 1 72.00 71.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
12.01.2026 1 71.40 72.00 1.00 ❌ 0.00
12.01.2026 1 71.20 72.00 1.41 ✅ 0.00
13.01.2026 1 71.20 72.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
13.01.2026 1 71.40 72.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
14.01.2026 1 71.60 73.00 2.00 ❌ 0.00
14.01.2026 1 71.80 73.00 1.39 ✅ 0.00
19.01.2026 1 72.80 76.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
19.01.2026 1 73.60 76.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
21.01.2026 1 74.40 76.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
21.01.2026 1 75.20 76.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
22.01.2026 1 76.00 76.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
22.01.2026 1 76.00 76.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
23.01.2026 1 76.00 77.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
23.01.2026 1 76.00 77.00 1.32 ✅ 0.00
26.01.2026 1 76.20 79.00 3.00 ✅ 0.00
26.01.2026 1 76.40 79.00 2.60 ✅ 0.00
27.01.2026 1 77.00 82.00 3.00 ❌ 0.00
27.01.2026 1 77.60 82.00 3.80 ✅ 0.00
28.01.2026 1 78.80 81.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
28.01.2026 1 79.80 81.00 -1.22 ❌ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 80.80 81.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 81.40 81.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 82.00 81.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 82.00 81.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
30.01.2026 1 81.80 81.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
30.01.2026 1 81.60 81.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 81.40 81.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 81.20 81.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 81.00 81.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 81.00 81.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
03.02.2026 1 81.00 82.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
03.02.2026 1 81.00 82.00 1.23 ✅ 0.00
04.02.2026 1 81.20 81.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
04.02.2026 1 81.40 81.00 -1.22 ❌ 0.00
05.02.2026 1 81.40 82.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
05.02.2026 1 81.40 82.00 1.23 ✅ 0.00
06.02.2026 1 81.60 82.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
06.02.2026 1 81.60 82.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 81.60 86.00 5.00 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 81.80 86.00 5.00 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 82.00 86.00 4.88 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 82.00 86.00 4.88 ✅ 0.00
10.02.2026 1 82.80 86.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
10.02.2026 1 83.60 86.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
13.02.2026 1 84.40 85.00 -1.00 ❌ 0.00
13.02.2026 1 85.20 85.00 -1.16 ❌ 0.00
16.02.2026 1 85.80 87.00 2.00 ❌ 0.00
16.02.2026 1 85.60 87.00 2.35 ✅ 0.00
17.02.2026 1 85.80 88.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
17.02.2026 1 86.00 88.00 1.15 ✅ 0.00
20.02.2026 1 85.00 80.00 -1.00 ❌ 0.00
20.02.2026 1 84.20 80.00 -1.23 ❌ 0.00
24.02.2026 1 82.80 77.00 -1.00 ❌ 0.00
24.02.2026 1 81.00 77.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 79.00 73.00 -4.00 ❌ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 78.20 73.00 -5.19 ❌ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 76.59 73.00 -5.19 ✅ 0.74
26.02.2026 1 75.38 72.00 -1.37 ✅ 0.73
27.02.2026 1 73.97 71.00 -1.39 ✅ 0.74
02.03.2026 1 72.36 69.00 -2.82 ✅ 0.74
03.03.2026 1 70.75 69.00 0.00 ❌ 0.74
04.03.2026 1 70.10 69.75 1.09 ✅ 0.74
05.03.2026 1 69.74 70.20 0.65 ✅ 0.74
09.03.2026 1 69.23 68.35 -0.22 ✅ 0.74
09.03.2026 1 69.12 68.35 -0.22 ✅ 0.74
09.03.2026 1 68.99 68.35 -0.22 ✅ 0.73
10.03.2026 1 68.70 70.75 3.51 ❌ 0.73
10.03.2026 1 68.33 70.75 3.51 ❌ 0.73
10.03.2026 1 68.77 70.75 3.51 ✅ 0.74
13.03.2026 1 68.51 65.75 -1.79 ❌ 0.73
16.03.2026 1 68.00 64.00 -2.66 ✅ 0.71
18.03.2026 1 67.10 64.00 0.23 ❌ 0.73
19.03.2026 1 66.27 63.55 -0.70 ❌ 0.74
23.03.2026 1 64.93 62.60 -1.49 ❌ 0.75
24.03.2026 1 64.03 61.55 -1.68 ❌ 0.75
25.03.2026 1 63.21 61.15 -0.65 ❌ 0.74
26.03.2026 1 62.68 60.00 -1.88 ✅ 0.71
27.03.2026 1 61.86 59.10 -1.50 ✅ 0.75
28.03.2026 1 60.87 59.30 0.34 ❌ 0.60
28.03.2026 1 60.16 59.30 0.34 ❌ 0.60
28.03.2026 1 59.65 59.30 0.34 ❌ 0.74
29.03.2026 1 59.24 59.30 0.34 ❌ 0.60
29.03.2026 1 59.06 59.30 0.34 ❌ 0.60
30.03.2026 1 59.06 59.30 0.34 ❌ 0.60
31.03.2026 1 59.11 60.15 1.43 ✅ 0.60
01.04.2026 1 59.32 61.00 1.41 ❌ 0.60
02.04.2026 1 59.70 61.20 0.33 ❌ 0.60
03.04.2026 1 60.11 61.10 -0.16 ✅ 0.60
06.04.2026 1 60.52 62.00 1.47 ❌ 0.60
07.04.2026 1 61.05 60.25 -2.82 ✅ 0.60
08.04.2026 1 61.09 63.10 4.73 ✅ 0.60
09.04.2026 1 61.51 63.35 0.40 ✅ 0.60
10.04.2026 1 61.96 64.55 1.89 ✅ 0.60
12.04.2026 1 62.66 63.05 -2.32 ❌ 0.60
13.04.2026 1 63.18 63.05 -2.32 ❌ 0.60
14.04.2026 1 63.74 63.65 0.95 ✅ 0.60
15.04.2026 1 63.85 63.90 0.39 ❌ 0.60
16.04.2026 1 63.95 63.40 -0.78 ✅ 0.60
17.04.2026 1 63.72 66.15 4.34 ✅ 0.60
20.04.2026 1 64.05 66.75 0.91 ✅ 0.60
20.04.2026 1 64.67 66.75 0.91 ✅ 0.60
21.04.2026 1 65.29 67.10 0.52 ✅ 0.60
22.04.2026 1 65.94 67.15 0.07 ✅ 0.60
23.04.2026 1 66.69 71.20 6.03 ✅ 0.60
24.04.2026 1 66.89 71.20 6.03 ✅ 0.60
27.04.2026 1 67.91 71.80 0.84 ✅ 0.60
28.04.2026 1 68.91 70.00 -2.51 ✅ 0.60
29.04.2026 1 69.48 70.50 0.71 ✅ 0.60
30.04.2026 1 70.15 74.60 5.82 ❌ 0.60
01.05.2026 1 71.64 77.70 4.16 ✅ 0.60
04.05.2026 1 72.30 77.70 4.16 ❌ 0.60
05.05.2026 1 72.88 80.40 3.47 ❌ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 73.81 81.70 1.62 ❌ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 74.64 81.70 1.62 ❌ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 75.80 81.70 1.62 ✅ 0.60
07.05.2026 1 77.29 80.25 -1.77 ❌ 0.60
08.05.2026 1 78.36 76.85 -4.24 ✅ 0.60
11.05.2026 1 78.80 76.50 -0.46 ✅ 0.60
12.05.2026 1 79.20 76.80 0.39 ✅ 0.60
14.05.2026 1 78.54 74.95 3.95 ✅ 0.60
15.05.2026 1 77.11 75.10 0.20 ❌ 0.60
18.05.2026 1 76.07 73.80 -1.73 ✅ 0.60
19.05.2026 1 75.45 72.45 -1.83 ✅ 0.60
19.05.2026 1 74.85 72.45 -1.83 ✅ 0.60
20.05.2026 1 74.19 72.45 -1.83 ❌ 0.60
21.05.2026 1 73.73 70.10 -3.24 ❌ 0.60
22.05.2026 1 72.74 72.55 3.50 ❌ 0.60
23.05.2026 1 72.55 79.80 9.99 ✅ 0.60
24.05.2026 1 72.33 79.80 9.99 ✅ 0.56
01.06.2026 1 75.10 96.50 9.97 ❌ 0.60
02.06.2026 1 79.85 106.10 9.95 ❌ 0.60
04.06.2026 1 89.19 123.60 5.91 ❌ 0.60
05.06.2026 1 99.31 124.60 0.81 ❌ 0.60
08.06.2026 1 109.68 119.50 -4.09 ✅ 0.60
10.06.2026 1 123.00 121.00 -7.91 ✅ 0.60
11.06.2026 1 123.82 116.00 -4.13 ✅ 0.60
12.06.2026 1 122.30 112.90 -2.67 ✅ 0.60
15.06.2026 1 119.94 115.10 1.95 ❌ 0.60
16.06.2026 1 119.03 112.80 -2.00 ✅ 0.60
18.06.2026 1 114.00 111.50 4.89 ❌ 0.60
19.06.2026 1 112.12 112.00 0.45 ❌ 0.60
22.06.2026 1 111.35 119.00 6.25 ❌ 0.60
24.06.2026 1 114.43 118.70 -9.32 ❌ 0.60
25.06.2026 1 119.35 107.30 -9.60 ❌ 0.60
25.06.2026 1 123.24 107.30 -9.60 ❌ 0.60
26.06.2026 1 122.32 109.10 1.68 ✅ 0.60
26.06.2026 1 121.45 109.10 1.68 ✅ 0.60
29.06.2026 1 117.04 108.90 -0.18 ✅ 0.60
30.06.2026 1 112.69 110.10 1.10 ✅ 0.60
01.07.2026 1 108.62 110.60 0.45 ✅ 0.60
02.07.2026 1 109.31 105.60 -4.52 ❌ 0.60
03.07.2026 1 108.96 103.00 -2.46 ❌ 0.60
06.07.2026 1 107.80 100.10 -2.82 ❌ 0.60
06.07.2026 1 106.61 100.10 -2.82 ❌ 0.60
07.07.2026 1 104.57 96.10 -4.00 ❌ 0.60
08.07.2026 1 101.65 93.80 -2.39 ❌ 0.60
09.07.2026 1 99.31 103.10 9.91 ✅ 0.60
10.07.2026 1 99.32 97.05 -5.87 ❌ 0.60
13.07.2026 1 98.14 94.50 -2.63 ❌ 0.60
16.07.2026 1 98.25 101.60 0.59 ❌ 0.60