Toplam Tahmin
803
Doğru
432
Yanlış
371
Başarı Oranı
%53.80
HOROZ - Horoz Lojistik
Tahmin ID: #128238 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 63.8500 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 64.9500 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.11
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 64.9486 TL | %0.00 |
| 20.07.2026 | 64.9852 TL | %0.06 |
| 21.07.2026 | 64.9912 TL | %0.01 |
| 22.07.2026 | 65.0192 TL | %0.04 |
| 23.07.2026 | 65.0213 TL | %0.00 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Gün | %29.41 | %11.12 | 136 |
| 2 Gün | %28.26 | %10.35 | 138 |
| 5 Gün | %30.60 | %12.66 | 134 |
| 1 Gün | %38.41 | %8.98 | 138 |
| 4 Gün | %31.85 | %11.84 | 135 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 58.00 | 62.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 58.00 | 62.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 58.67 | 61.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 59.00 | 61.00 | -1.61 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 59.00 | 63.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 59.20 | 63.00 | 3.28 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 59.80 | 61.00 | -4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 60.00 | 61.00 | -3.17 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 60.20 | 60.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 60.60 | 60.00 | -1.64 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 61.00 | 61.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 61.00 | 61.00 | 1.67 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 61.00 | 61.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 61.00 | 61.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 61.00 | 61.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 61.00 | 61.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 61.00 | 62.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 61.00 | 62.00 | 1.64 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 61.00 | 62.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 61.00 | 62.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 61.40 | 64.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 61.80 | 64.00 | 1.59 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 62.20 | 62.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 62.60 | 62.00 | -1.59 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 63.00 | 64.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 63.00 | 64.00 | 3.23 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 63.20 | 64.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 63.40 | 64.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 63.60 | 65.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 63.80 | 65.00 | 1.56 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 64.20 | 65.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 64.40 | 65.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 64.60 | 64.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 64.80 | 64.00 | -1.54 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 64.80 | 64.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 64.60 | 64.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 64.40 | 64.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 64.20 | 64.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 64.00 | 63.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 64.00 | 63.00 | -1.56 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 63.80 | 61.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 63.60 | 61.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 63.40 | 61.00 | -3.17 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 63.20 | 61.00 | -3.17 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 62.60 | 61.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 62.20 | 61.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 61.80 | 61.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 61.40 | 61.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 61.00 | 62.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 61.00 | 62.00 | 1.64 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 61.20 | 62.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 61.40 | 62.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 61.60 | 65.00 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 61.80 | 65.00 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 62.00 | 65.00 | 4.84 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 62.00 | 65.00 | 4.84 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 62.40 | 65.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 62.80 | 65.00 | 1.56 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 63.40 | 68.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 64.00 | 68.00 | 4.62 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 65.20 | 68.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 66.00 | 68.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 66.20 | 66.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 66.20 | 66.00 | 1.54 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 67.00 | 68.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 67.20 | 68.00 | -1.45 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 67.20 | 67.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 67.80 | 67.00 | -1.47 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 68.20 | 67.00 | -1.47 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 67.00 | 63.00 | -5.97 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 65.80 | 63.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 64.20 | 60.00 | -4.76 | ✅ | 0.75 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 62.41 | 59.00 | -1.67 | ✅ | 0.75 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 60.92 | 59.50 | 0.85 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 60.63 | 61.50 | 3.36 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 60.02 | 55.80 | -7.00 | ❌ | 0.74 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 60.02 | 55.80 | -7.00 | ❌ | 0.74 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 59.39 | 55.80 | -7.00 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 58.65 | 57.85 | 3.67 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 57.51 | 57.85 | 3.67 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 57.09 | 57.85 | 3.67 | ✅ | 0.75 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 56.73 | 57.35 | -1.12 | ❌ | 0.73 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 57.06 | 55.15 | -3.84 | ❌ | 0.73 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 56.96 | 55.95 | 1.18 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 56.98 | 55.70 | -0.45 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 56.61 | 56.15 | 0.81 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 56.19 | 54.50 | -2.94 | ❌ | 0.73 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 55.60 | 54.70 | 0.37 | ❌ | 0.69 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 55.47 | 54.75 | 0.09 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 55.23 | 54.20 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.66 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 54.87 | 57.45 | 6.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 54.49 | 57.45 | 6.00 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 54.44 | 57.45 | 6.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 54.34 | 57.45 | 6.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 54.23 | 57.45 | 6.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 54.21 | 57.45 | 6.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 54.86 | 58.50 | 1.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 55.70 | 58.55 | 0.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 56.57 | 57.40 | -1.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 57.20 | 57.70 | 0.52 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 57.90 | 58.10 | 0.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 58.01 | 55.30 | -4.82 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 57.37 | 57.80 | 4.52 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 57.21 | 58.25 | 0.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 57.39 | 58.15 | -0.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 57.48 | 57.40 | -1.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 57.50 | 57.40 | -1.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 57.93 | 57.70 | 0.52 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 57.90 | 57.70 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 57.80 | 57.50 | -0.35 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 57.67 | 58.30 | 1.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 57.70 | 58.95 | 1.11 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 57.88 | 58.95 | 1.11 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 58.13 | 64.00 | 8.57 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 59.38 | 70.40 | 10.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 61.95 | 71.30 | 1.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 64.36 | 71.30 | 1.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 66.95 | 78.40 | 9.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 70.83 | 80.40 | 2.55 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 74.11 | 88.05 | 9.51 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 76.08 | 83.30 | -5.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 78.67 | 83.45 | 0.18 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 81.06 | 83.45 | 0.18 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 82.05 | 79.75 | -4.43 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 82.64 | 81.35 | 2.01 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 83.29 | 81.35 | 2.01 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 82.64 | 81.35 | 2.01 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 82.24 | 89.45 | 9.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 83.58 | 89.85 | 0.45 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 86.92 | 87.20 | -6.64 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 87.31 | 85.80 | 4.38 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 88.21 | 79.70 | -7.11 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 86.12 | 75.00 | -5.90 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 83.20 | 72.80 | -2.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 79.53 | 72.80 | -2.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 78.17 | 72.80 | -2.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 75.57 | 66.20 | -9.07 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 72.83 | 71.30 | 7.70 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 72.07 | 70.10 | -1.68 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 71.25 | 70.10 | -1.68 | ✅ | 0.55 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 70.53 | 71.65 | -0.14 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 70.31 | 71.35 | -0.42 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 70.76 | 68.10 | 0.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 70.10 | 67.45 | -0.95 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 69.35 | 67.70 | 0.37 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 68.60 | 63.30 | -6.50 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 66.99 | 62.35 | -1.50 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 65.82 | 61.95 | -0.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 64.58 | 62.65 | 1.13 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 63.62 | 63.55 | 1.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 62.21 | 64.90 | 6.31 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 62.69 | 67.80 | 4.47 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 63.96 | 74.55 | 9.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 66.23 | 73.35 | -1.61 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 67.73 | 72.50 | -1.16 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 69.62 | 70.80 | -2.34 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 71.29 | 70.80 | -2.34 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 71.48 | 68.00 | -3.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 70.75 | 68.00 | -3.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 70.02 | 67.65 | -0.51 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 69.55 | 65.15 | -3.70 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 67.96 | 64.40 | -1.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 66.96 | 64.45 | 0.08 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 65.72 | 63.95 | -0.78 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 64.98 | 62.75 | -1.88 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 64.04 | 62.75 | -1.88 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 63.59 | 65.50 | 4.38 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 63.85 | 62.85 | -4.05 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 63.61 | 63.45 | 0.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 63.58 | 65.20 | 2.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 64.00 | 65.75 | 0.84 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 64.48 | 64.95 | -0.38 | ❌ | 0.60 |