Toplam Tahmin

803

Doğru

444

Yanlış

359

Başarı Oranı

%55.29

HEDEF - Hedef Holding

Tahmin ID: #128234 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026

Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 195.6000 TL

Temel Veriler
  • Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 194.8000 TL
  • Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
  • 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.71
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
Gün Tahmin Fiyatı %Getiri
17.07.2026 195.0451 TL %0.13
20.07.2026 195.4608 TL %0.21
21.07.2026 195.7625 TL %0.15
22.07.2026 196.0836 TL %0.16
23.07.2026 196.1896 TL %0.05
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu

📊 Model Başarı Performansı

Vade Başarı Yüzdesi Ort. Hata Yüzdesi Toplam Tahmin
3 Gün %24.82 %37.46 137
5 Gün %20.15 %38.58 134
1 Gün %37.68 %33.80 138
2 Gün %17.52 %36.08 137
4 Gün %23.53 %37.76 136
Tahmin; yönü doğruysa ve hata %5'in altındaysa başarılı kabul edilir.
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması

📊 Model Başarı Performansı

Tarih Gün Tahmin Gerçek Getiri % Yön Güven
29.12.2025 1 50.00 47.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
29.12.2025 1 50.00 47.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
30.12.2025 1 49.33 42.00 -9.00 ❌ 0.00
30.12.2025 1 49.00 42.00 -10.64 ❌ 0.00
31.12.2025 1 48.40 40.00 -5.00 ❌ 0.00
31.12.2025 1 47.60 40.00 -4.76 ❌ 0.00
02.01.2026 1 46.40 42.00 4.00 ✅ 0.00
02.01.2026 1 45.60 42.00 5.00 ✅ 0.00
07.01.2026 1 45.00 49.00 8.00 ✅ 0.00
07.01.2026 1 44.80 49.00 8.89 ✅ 0.00
08.01.2026 1 45.60 49.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
08.01.2026 1 46.80 49.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
09.01.2026 1 47.80 54.00 9.00 ✅ 0.00
09.01.2026 1 48.60 54.00 10.20 ✅ 0.00
12.01.2026 1 50.40 59.00 9.00 ✅ 0.00
12.01.2026 1 51.20 59.00 9.26 ✅ 0.00
13.01.2026 1 53.20 65.00 9.00 ✅ 0.00
13.01.2026 1 55.40 65.00 10.17 ✅ 0.00
14.01.2026 1 58.80 66.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
14.01.2026 1 61.20 66.00 1.54 ✅ 0.00
19.01.2026 1 62.40 58.00 -3.00 ❌ 0.00
19.01.2026 1 62.40 58.00 -3.33 ❌ 0.00
21.01.2026 1 61.80 58.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
21.01.2026 1 60.00 58.00 1.75 ✅ 0.00
22.01.2026 1 58.40 57.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
22.01.2026 1 58.00 57.00 -1.72 ❌ 0.00
23.01.2026 1 57.40 56.00 -2.00 ✅ 0.00
23.01.2026 1 57.40 56.00 -1.75 ❌ 0.00
26.01.2026 1 57.20 55.00 -1.00 ✅ 0.00
26.01.2026 1 56.80 55.00 -1.79 ❌ 0.00
27.01.2026 1 56.20 55.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
27.01.2026 1 55.80 55.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
28.01.2026 1 55.40 54.00 -2.00 ✅ 0.00
28.01.2026 1 55.20 54.00 -1.82 ❌ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 54.80 52.00 -2.00 ❌ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 54.60 52.00 -2.00 ❌ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 54.40 52.00 -3.70 ❌ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 54.20 52.00 -3.70 ❌ 0.00
30.01.2026 1 53.60 51.00 -2.00 ✅ 0.00
30.01.2026 1 53.20 51.00 -1.92 ❌ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 52.60 50.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 52.00 50.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 51.40 50.00 -1.96 ❌ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 51.20 50.00 -1.96 ❌ 0.00
03.02.2026 1 50.80 56.00 9.00 ❌ 0.00
03.02.2026 1 50.60 56.00 12.00 ✅ 0.00
04.02.2026 1 51.40 60.00 8.00 ❌ 0.00
04.02.2026 1 52.20 60.00 7.14 ❌ 0.00
05.02.2026 1 54.00 65.00 7.00 ❌ 0.00
05.02.2026 1 56.00 65.00 8.33 ✅ 0.00
06.02.2026 1 58.80 63.00 -2.00 ✅ 0.00
06.02.2026 1 60.60 63.00 -3.08 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 62.20 69.00 9.00 ❌ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 62.60 69.00 9.00 ❌ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 63.00 69.00 9.52 ❌ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 62.80 69.00 9.52 ✅ 0.00
13.02.2026 1 65.80 83.00 4.00 ❌ 0.00
13.02.2026 1 69.00 83.00 3.75 ❌ 0.00
16.02.2026 1 73.20 82.00 -1.00 ✅ 0.00
16.02.2026 1 77.40 82.00 -1.20 ❌ 0.00
17.02.2026 1 81.20 85.00 3.00 ✅ 0.00
17.02.2026 1 81.80 85.00 3.66 ✅ 0.00
20.02.2026 1 83.60 95.00 8.00 ✅ 0.00
20.02.2026 1 84.60 95.00 7.95 ✅ 0.00
24.02.2026 1 87.00 95.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
24.02.2026 1 89.60 95.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 92.00 100.00 5.00 ❌ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 93.20 100.00 5.26 ❌ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 95.62 100.00 5.26 ✅ 0.45
26.02.2026 1 97.23 103.00 3.00 ✅ 0.45
27.02.2026 1 99.05 104.00 0.97 ✅ 0.45
02.03.2026 1 100.88 103.00 -0.96 ✅ 0.45
03.03.2026 1 103.76 108.00 4.85 ✅ 0.45
04.03.2026 1 105.43 108.10 0.09 ✅ 0.45
05.03.2026 1 107.61 113.70 5.18 ✅ 0.45
09.03.2026 1 109.57 114.00 0.26 ✅ 0.45
09.03.2026 1 111.73 114.00 0.26 ✅ 0.45
09.03.2026 1 112.93 114.00 0.26 ✅ 0.45
10.03.2026 1 114.13 113.10 -0.79 ❌ 0.45
10.03.2026 1 114.22 113.10 -0.79 ❌ 0.45
10.03.2026 1 114.17 113.10 -0.79 ✅ 0.45
13.03.2026 1 114.61 115.90 -0.09 ❌ 0.45
16.03.2026 1 114.92 115.20 -0.60 ❌ 0.45
18.03.2026 1 113.36 107.00 0.19 ❌ 0.45
19.03.2026 1 111.86 101.10 -5.51 ✅ 0.45
23.03.2026 1 110.54 111.20 9.99 ✅ 0.45
24.03.2026 1 109.57 118.00 6.12 ✅ 0.45
25.03.2026 1 109.96 123.00 4.24 ❌ 0.45
26.03.2026 1 113.22 127.00 3.25 ❌ 0.45
27.03.2026 1 117.27 128.00 0.79 ✅ 0.45
28.03.2026 1 121.45 122.70 -4.14 ✅ 0.60
28.03.2026 1 124.79 122.70 -4.14 ✅ 0.60
28.03.2026 1 126.81 122.70 -4.14 ✅ 0.45
29.03.2026 1 127.81 122.70 -4.14 ✅ 0.60
29.03.2026 1 127.98 122.70 -4.14 ✅ 0.60
30.03.2026 1 127.96 122.70 -4.14 ✅ 0.60
31.03.2026 1 126.92 122.70 0.00 ✅ 0.60
01.04.2026 1 125.93 131.30 7.01 ✅ 0.60
02.04.2026 1 126.68 140.80 7.24 ✅ 0.60
03.04.2026 1 129.31 140.80 0.00 ✅ 0.60
06.04.2026 1 131.97 143.50 1.92 ✅ 0.60
07.04.2026 1 136.07 142.50 -0.70 ✅ 0.60
08.04.2026 1 139.97 141.00 -1.05 ❌ 0.60
09.04.2026 1 141.82 142.00 0.71 ❌ 0.60
10.04.2026 1 142.09 146.30 3.03 ✅ 0.60
12.04.2026 1 143.13 151.00 3.21 ✅ 0.60
13.04.2026 1 143.74 151.00 3.21 ✅ 0.60
14.04.2026 1 145.43 142.30 -5.76 ❌ 0.60
15.04.2026 1 145.68 140.20 -1.48 ✅ 0.60
16.04.2026 1 145.21 138.50 -1.21 ✅ 0.60
17.04.2026 1 143.64 136.00 -1.81 ❌ 0.60
20.04.2026 1 141.60 132.00 -2.94 ❌ 0.60
20.04.2026 1 138.64 132.00 -2.94 ❌ 0.60
21.04.2026 1 136.62 130.50 -1.14 ❌ 0.60
22.04.2026 1 134.72 131.50 0.77 ✅ 0.60
23.04.2026 1 133.33 137.00 4.18 ✅ 0.60
24.04.2026 1 132.37 137.00 4.18 ❌ 0.60
27.04.2026 1 132.51 146.60 7.01 ❌ 0.60
28.04.2026 1 135.36 146.00 -0.41 ✅ 0.60
29.04.2026 1 138.40 149.50 2.40 ❌ 0.60
30.04.2026 1 141.97 149.00 -0.33 ✅ 0.60
01.05.2026 1 145.50 146.90 -1.41 ❌ 0.60
04.05.2026 1 147.90 146.90 -1.41 ✅ 0.60
05.05.2026 1 148.40 143.80 -2.11 ❌ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 149.04 145.00 0.83 ✅ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 147.90 145.00 0.83 ❌ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 147.89 145.00 0.83 ✅ 0.60
07.05.2026 1 147.10 147.40 1.66 ❌ 0.60
08.05.2026 1 146.85 152.50 3.46 ✅ 0.60
11.05.2026 1 147.57 145.20 -4.79 ❌ 0.60
12.05.2026 1 147.96 142.00 -2.20 ❌ 0.60
14.05.2026 1 147.09 145.00 0.00 ❌ 0.60
15.05.2026 1 147.17 146.70 1.17 ✅ 0.60
18.05.2026 1 146.98 149.00 1.57 ❌ 0.60
19.05.2026 1 146.10 146.00 -2.01 ✅ 0.60
19.05.2026 1 146.81 146.00 -2.01 ❌ 0.60
20.05.2026 1 147.64 146.00 -2.01 ✅ 0.60
21.05.2026 1 147.77 145.50 -0.34 ✅ 0.60
22.05.2026 1 147.62 144.00 -1.03 ❌ 0.60
23.05.2026 1 146.81 142.00 -1.39 ❌ 0.60
24.05.2026 1 145.79 142.00 -1.39 ❌ 0.45
01.06.2026 1 144.58 148.00 3.79 ✅ 0.60
02.06.2026 1 144.99 160.00 8.11 ✅ 0.60
04.06.2026 1 137.39 110.70 2.50 ❌ 0.60
05.06.2026 1 130.70 114.00 2.98 ✅ 0.60
08.06.2026 1 124.64 111.20 -2.46 ✅ 0.60
09.06.2026 1 118.34 110.00 -1.08 ❌ 0.60
10.06.2026 1 110.77 114.70 4.27 ✅ 0.60
11.06.2026 1 111.72 115.00 0.26 ❌ 0.60
12.06.2026 1 112.63 115.00 0.00 ✅ 0.60
15.06.2026 1 113.12 116.50 1.30 ✅ 0.60
16.06.2026 1 114.24 2.70 -97.68 ❌ 0.60
18.06.2026 1 116.89 127.00 2.42 ❌ 0.60
19.06.2026 1 119.61 130.00 2.36 ❌ 0.60
22.06.2026 1 122.58 130.20 0.15 ✅ 0.60
23.06.2026 1 125.60 134.40 3.23 ✅ 0.60
24.06.2026 1 126.43 138.80 3.27 ❌ 0.60
25.06.2026 1 125.94 143.00 3.03 ❌ 0.60
25.06.2026 1 124.87 143.00 3.03 ❌ 0.60
26.06.2026 1 125.24 144.50 1.05 ❌ 0.60
26.06.2026 1 125.85 144.50 1.05 ❌ 0.60
29.06.2026 1 129.57 153.50 6.23 ❌ 0.60
30.06.2026 1 135.65 154.20 0.46 ❌ 0.60
01.07.2026 1 142.12 155.00 0.52 ❌ 0.60
02.07.2026 1 146.61 157.50 1.61 ❌ 0.60
03.07.2026 1 151.07 156.00 -0.95 ✅ 0.60
06.07.2026 1 154.34 154.30 -1.09 ✅ 0.60
06.07.2026 1 155.31 154.30 -1.09 ❌ 0.60
07.07.2026 1 155.56 166.20 7.71 ✅ 0.60
08.07.2026 1 157.95 182.80 9.99 ✅ 0.60
09.07.2026 1 163.17 185.00 1.20 ✅ 0.60
10.07.2026 1 169.01 188.00 1.62 ✅ 0.60
13.07.2026 1 174.79 195.00 3.72 ❌ 0.60
16.07.2026 1 182.44 194.80 1.14 ✅ 0.60