Toplam Tahmin
803
Doğru
399
Yanlış
404
Başarı Oranı
%49.69
HALKB - Halkbank
Tahmin ID: #128230 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 38.5000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 39.2000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.23
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 39.2345 TL | %0.09 |
| 20.07.2026 | 39.2553 TL | %0.05 |
| 21.07.2026 | 39.2724 TL | %0.04 |
| 22.07.2026 | 39.2940 TL | %0.06 |
| 23.07.2026 | 39.2888 TL | %-0.01 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Gün | %23.36 | %4.85 | 137 |
| 2 Gün | %24.82 | %4.30 | 137 |
| 4 Gün | %23.70 | %5.95 | 135 |
| 5 Gün | %19.40 | %6.68 | 134 |
| 1 Gün | %36.23 | %2.66 | 138 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 36.00 | 37.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 36.00 | 37.00 | 2.78 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 36.67 | 37.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 37.00 | 37.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 36.80 | 36.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 36.80 | 36.00 | -2.70 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 36.80 | 38.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 36.40 | 38.00 | 5.56 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 37.60 | 42.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 39.20 | 42.00 | -2.33 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 40.40 | 42.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 41.60 | 42.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 43.00 | 41.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 42.80 | 41.00 | -2.38 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 42.40 | 41.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 42.40 | 41.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 42.20 | 41.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 41.80 | 41.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 41.60 | 41.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 41.60 | 41.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 41.20 | 42.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 41.00 | 42.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 41.20 | 42.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 41.20 | 42.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 41.20 | 43.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 41.60 | 43.00 | 2.38 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 42.20 | 45.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 42.40 | 45.00 | 4.65 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 43.00 | 46.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 43.60 | 46.00 | 2.22 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 44.40 | 47.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 45.00 | 47.00 | 2.17 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 45.80 | 44.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 46.20 | 44.00 | -6.38 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 46.00 | 44.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 45.60 | 44.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 45.20 | 44.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 44.60 | 44.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 44.00 | 43.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 44.00 | 43.00 | -2.27 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 43.80 | 43.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 43.60 | 43.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 43.40 | 43.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 43.20 | 43.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 43.00 | 44.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 43.00 | 44.00 | 2.33 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 43.20 | 45.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 43.40 | 45.00 | 2.27 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 43.80 | 43.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 44.20 | 43.00 | -4.44 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 44.20 | 43.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 44.00 | 43.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 43.80 | 45.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 43.40 | 45.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 43.00 | 45.00 | 4.65 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 43.00 | 45.00 | 4.65 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 43.80 | 49.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 44.60 | 49.00 | 2.08 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 45.80 | 48.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 47.00 | 48.00 | -2.04 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 48.00 | 48.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 48.20 | 48.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 48.20 | 49.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 47.80 | 49.00 | 4.26 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 48.00 | 49.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 48.40 | 49.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 48.60 | 49.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 49.00 | 49.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 49.40 | 49.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.59 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 49.20 | 49.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.58 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 49.00 | 49.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.59 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 49.00 | 49.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.59 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 48.21 | 45.00 | -8.16 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 46.91 | 42.44 | -5.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 45.69 | 42.80 | 0.85 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 44.58 | 47.74 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 43.47 | 47.74 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 44.01 | 47.74 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 45.07 | 49.24 | 3.14 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 46.05 | 49.24 | 3.14 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 47.22 | 49.24 | 3.14 | ✅ | 0.58 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 47.33 | 41.52 | -5.94 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 46.08 | 39.70 | -4.38 | ❌ | 0.52 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 44.64 | 39.46 | -2.57 | ❌ | 0.49 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 43.00 | 38.74 | -1.82 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 41.06 | 39.30 | 1.45 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 40.12 | 38.06 | -3.16 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 39.70 | 37.82 | -0.63 | ❌ | 0.47 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 39.16 | 36.66 | -3.07 | ❌ | 0.63 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 38.60 | 36.80 | 0.38 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 38.06 | 35.78 | -2.77 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 37.57 | 35.78 | -2.77 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 37.07 | 35.78 | -2.77 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 36.88 | 35.78 | -2.77 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 36.91 | 35.78 | -2.77 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 36.91 | 35.78 | -2.77 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 36.70 | 35.12 | -1.84 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 36.35 | 36.26 | 3.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 36.22 | 36.74 | 1.32 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 36.17 | 36.52 | -0.60 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 36.11 | 36.86 | 0.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 36.29 | 35.52 | -3.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 36.36 | 37.96 | 6.87 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 36.72 | 38.68 | 1.90 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 37.12 | 40.00 | 3.41 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 37.81 | 39.86 | -0.35 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 38.44 | 39.86 | -0.35 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 39.31 | 39.78 | -0.20 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 39.65 | 40.06 | 0.70 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 39.92 | 39.42 | -1.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 39.82 | 41.14 | 4.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 40.07 | 40.72 | -1.02 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 40.33 | 40.72 | -1.02 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 40.53 | 40.74 | 0.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 40.67 | 40.36 | -0.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 40.85 | 40.82 | 1.14 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 40.70 | 40.82 | 1.14 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 40.63 | 39.86 | -2.35 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 40.46 | 38.30 | -3.91 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 39.98 | 37.50 | -2.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 39.40 | 37.84 | 0.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 38.89 | 36.48 | -3.59 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 38.29 | 36.48 | -3.59 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 37.88 | 36.46 | -0.05 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 37.79 | 38.12 | 4.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 37.58 | 38.12 | 4.55 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 37.58 | 38.12 | 4.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 37.64 | 40.32 | 5.77 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 38.10 | 39.76 | -1.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 38.47 | 40.80 | 2.62 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 39.35 | 40.76 | -0.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 39.71 | 41.18 | 4.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 40.28 | 40.40 | -1.89 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 40.35 | 40.00 | -0.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 40.42 | 38.88 | -2.80 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 40.28 | 38.88 | -2.80 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 40.36 | 38.88 | -2.80 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 39.91 | 35.02 | -9.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 38.81 | 38.08 | 8.74 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 38.41 | 41.88 | 9.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 38.00 | 41.88 | 9.98 | ❌ | 0.53 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 38.40 | 43.50 | 3.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 39.32 | 47.84 | 9.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 41.75 | 45.42 | -3.81 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 43.23 | 45.00 | -0.92 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 44.62 | 45.70 | 1.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 45.34 | 46.64 | 2.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 46.01 | 45.24 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 45.66 | 45.24 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 45.62 | 45.56 | 0.71 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 45.73 | 48.74 | 6.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 46.33 | 48.16 | -1.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 46.67 | 49.10 | 1.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 47.41 | 47.48 | -3.30 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 47.83 | 46.84 | -1.35 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 48.20 | 45.50 | -2.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 47.57 | 43.50 | -4.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 46.99 | 43.10 | -0.92 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 46.29 | 43.10 | -0.92 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 45.43 | 44.04 | 2.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 44.57 | 44.04 | 2.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 44.29 | 43.22 | -1.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 43.84 | 42.94 | -0.65 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 43.34 | 44.20 | 2.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 43.56 | 45.70 | 3.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 44.06 | 43.76 | -4.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 44.00 | 43.80 | 0.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 44.10 | 43.80 | 0.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 44.27 | 43.44 | -0.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 44.18 | 41.94 | -3.45 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 43.44 | 41.44 | -1.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 42.98 | 40.52 | -2.22 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 42.33 | 39.34 | -2.91 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 41.44 | 39.20 | -0.36 | ❌ | 0.60 |