Toplam Tahmin
803
Doğru
426
Yanlış
377
Başarı Oranı
%53.05
GRTHO - GrainTurk Tarım
Tahmin ID: #128222 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 243.7000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 250.5000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.06
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 250.6012 TL | %0.04 |
| 20.07.2026 | 250.6232 TL | %0.01 |
| 21.07.2026 | 250.5976 TL | %-0.01 |
| 22.07.2026 | 250.6803 TL | %0.03 |
| 23.07.2026 | 250.6488 TL | %-0.01 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Gün | %38.41 | %2.83 | 138 |
| 2 Gün | %25.55 | %4.29 | 137 |
| 5 Gün | %34.85 | %5.90 | 132 |
| 4 Gün | %32.85 | %5.47 | 137 |
| 3 Gün | %28.47 | %4.72 | 137 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 292.00 | 263.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 292.00 | 263.00 | -4.71 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 285.67 | 267.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 282.50 | 267.00 | 1.52 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 284.80 | 287.00 | 7.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 285.20 | 287.00 | 7.49 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 285.40 | 284.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 289.40 | 284.00 | -1.05 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 290.80 | 251.00 | -9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 288.00 | 251.00 | -10.04 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 279.40 | 240.00 | -4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 271.00 | 240.00 | -4.38 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 260.40 | 238.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 252.40 | 238.00 | -0.83 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 243.80 | 250.00 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 241.00 | 250.00 | 5.04 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 240.60 | 247.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 242.40 | 247.00 | -1.20 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 243.80 | 244.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 245.80 | 244.00 | -1.21 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 246.60 | 241.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 245.00 | 241.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 241.80 | 230.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 239.00 | 230.00 | -1.29 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 235.60 | 230.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 233.40 | 230.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 231.20 | 226.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 230.60 | 226.00 | -1.74 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 229.20 | 219.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 228.40 | 219.00 | -3.10 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 226.20 | 219.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 224.00 | 219.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 221.80 | 218.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 220.40 | 218.00 | -0.46 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 218.80 | 217.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 218.60 | 217.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 218.40 | 217.00 | -0.46 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 218.20 | 217.00 | -0.46 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 217.80 | 221.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 217.60 | 221.00 | 1.84 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 218.20 | 214.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 218.80 | 214.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 219.40 | 214.00 | -3.17 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 220.20 | 214.00 | -3.17 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 219.60 | 226.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 218.20 | 226.00 | 5.61 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 219.20 | 239.00 | 5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 220.20 | 239.00 | 5.75 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 223.60 | 239.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 228.40 | 239.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 233.40 | 252.00 | 5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 236.00 | 252.00 | 5.44 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 241.20 | 247.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 244.00 | 247.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 246.80 | 247.00 | -1.98 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 249.40 | 247.00 | -1.98 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 254.40 | 263.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 256.80 | 263.00 | -0.75 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 258.80 | 259.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 260.80 | 259.00 | -1.52 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 262.20 | 254.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 261.20 | 254.00 | -1.93 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 256.00 | 242.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 251.20 | 242.00 | 1.68 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 247.40 | 235.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 244.20 | 235.00 | -3.29 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 239.40 | 230.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 238.80 | 230.00 | -2.13 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 237.23 | 230.00 | -2.13 | ✅ | 0.55 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 234.66 | 230.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.55 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 231.69 | 228.00 | -0.87 | ✅ | 0.55 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 229.72 | 225.00 | -1.32 | ✅ | 0.55 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 228.56 | 229.00 | 1.78 | ✅ | 0.55 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 229.13 | 232.80 | 1.66 | ✅ | 0.55 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 231.81 | 243.40 | 4.55 | ✅ | 0.55 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 233.21 | 249.80 | 6.30 | ✅ | 0.55 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 235.21 | 249.80 | 6.30 | ✅ | 0.55 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 239.36 | 249.80 | 6.30 | ✅ | 0.55 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 242.76 | 262.50 | 5.08 | ✅ | 0.55 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 244.03 | 262.50 | 5.08 | ✅ | 0.55 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 249.52 | 262.50 | 5.08 | ✅ | 0.55 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 256.05 | 259.00 | -3.45 | ✅ | 0.50 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 257.79 | 249.00 | -3.86 | ✅ | 0.51 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 256.23 | 242.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 254.66 | 241.70 | -0.12 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 250.57 | 245.00 | 1.37 | ✅ | 0.48 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 246.01 | 241.80 | -1.31 | ✅ | 0.50 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 242.65 | 249.00 | 2.98 | ✅ | 0.55 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 243.99 | 308.00 | 23.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 257.31 | 232.70 | -24.45 | ❌ | 0.59 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 255.45 | 226.50 | -2.66 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 253.04 | 226.50 | -2.66 | ❌ | 0.62 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 251.24 | 226.50 | -2.66 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 248.03 | 226.50 | -2.66 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 232.86 | 226.50 | -2.66 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 232.84 | 226.50 | -2.66 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 231.59 | 226.00 | -0.22 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 230.27 | 228.50 | 1.11 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 229.44 | 239.80 | 4.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 231.03 | 241.60 | 0.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 232.74 | 241.40 | -0.08 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 235.72 | 232.50 | -3.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 236.91 | 245.80 | 5.72 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 240.46 | 251.00 | 2.12 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 242.64 | 276.00 | 9.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 249.52 | 281.75 | 2.08 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 256.58 | 281.75 | 2.08 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 266.49 | 266.00 | -5.59 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 273.40 | 253.25 | -4.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 273.60 | 253.50 | 0.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 269.08 | 255.50 | 0.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 264.49 | 252.00 | -1.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 258.74 | 252.00 | -1.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 253.09 | 242.60 | -3.73 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 251.22 | 239.60 | -1.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 248.60 | 250.50 | 4.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 245.83 | 250.50 | 4.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 245.41 | 247.20 | -1.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 244.36 | 244.70 | -1.01 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 244.68 | 254.00 | 3.80 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 247.50 | 258.00 | 1.57 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 251.10 | 247.40 | -4.11 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 252.50 | 247.40 | -4.11 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 254.63 | 245.20 | -0.89 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 254.64 | 246.10 | 0.37 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 255.43 | 246.10 | 0.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 255.44 | 246.10 | 0.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 253.05 | 250.50 | 1.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 251.46 | 253.50 | 1.20 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 253.16 | 252.00 | -0.59 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 251.99 | 241.40 | -4.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 248.87 | 242.50 | 1.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 248.09 | 232.40 | -4.16 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 244.72 | 220.50 | -5.12 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 238.10 | 217.10 | -1.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 231.80 | 217.10 | -1.54 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 227.27 | 217.10 | -1.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 222.13 | 203.90 | -6.08 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 216.25 | 213.40 | 4.66 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 214.97 | 217.10 | 1.73 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 213.41 | 217.10 | 1.73 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 210.52 | 212.90 | 3.55 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 209.75 | 215.80 | 1.36 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 210.68 | 205.90 | -1.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 209.01 | 208.50 | 1.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 208.06 | 210.10 | 0.77 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 209.01 | 205.70 | -2.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 207.63 | 223.70 | 8.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 210.62 | 213.60 | -4.52 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 212.15 | 232.00 | 8.61 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 216.90 | 233.30 | 0.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 221.53 | 229.70 | -1.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 230.84 | 252.50 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 236.62 | 248.80 | -1.47 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 243.67 | 256.75 | 3.20 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 248.63 | 255.50 | -0.49 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 253.07 | 251.00 | -1.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 253.68 | 230.90 | -8.01 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 254.25 | 230.90 | -8.01 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 250.75 | 245.40 | 6.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 245.64 | 245.40 | 6.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 243.61 | 250.00 | 1.87 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 242.53 | 250.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 241.48 | 242.50 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 243.77 | 242.90 | 0.16 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 246.10 | 245.70 | 1.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 246.27 | 240.30 | -2.20 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 245.45 | 240.30 | -2.20 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 243.59 | 241.50 | 0.50 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 243.46 | 235.30 | -2.57 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 241.99 | 239.00 | 1.57 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 240.62 | 249.50 | 4.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 241.41 | 249.40 | -0.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 242.39 | 250.50 | 2.04 | ✅ | 0.60 |