Toplam Tahmin
789
Doğru
411
Yanlış
378
Başarı Oranı
%52.09
GARAN - Garanti Bankası
Tahmin ID: #128199 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 126.4000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 128.9000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.01
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 16.07.2026 | 128.9915 TL | %0.07 |
| 17.07.2026 | 128.9446 TL | %-0.04 |
| 20.07.2026 | 128.9345 TL | %-0.01 |
| 21.07.2026 | 128.9370 TL | %0.00 |
| 22.07.2026 | 128.9074 TL | %-0.02 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Gün | %36.57 | %4.06 | 134 |
| 1 Gün | %49.64 | %1.75 | 137 |
| 3 Gün | %36.03 | %3.21 | 136 |
| 5 Gün | %34.59 | %4.51 | 133 |
| 2 Gün | %43.07 | %2.64 | 137 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 140.00 | 141.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 140.00 | 141.00 | 1.44 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 141.33 | 142.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 142.00 | 142.00 | 0.71 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 141.60 | 143.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 141.60 | 143.00 | 0.70 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 143.20 | 149.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 144.00 | 149.00 | 4.20 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 145.60 | 146.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 148.00 | 146.00 | -2.67 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 149.60 | 145.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 149.60 | 145.00 | -0.68 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 149.40 | 145.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 148.40 | 145.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 147.40 | 145.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 147.20 | 145.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 147.00 | 147.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 147.00 | 147.00 | 1.38 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 147.40 | 146.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 147.80 | 146.00 | -0.68 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 147.20 | 148.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 146.60 | 148.00 | 2.78 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 146.40 | 151.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 145.80 | 151.00 | 3.42 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 146.00 | 148.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 147.20 | 148.00 | -1.99 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 148.00 | 151.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 148.40 | 151.00 | 2.03 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 149.40 | 150.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 149.60 | 150.00 | -0.66 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 149.60 | 147.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 150.00 | 147.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 149.80 | 150.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 149.00 | 150.00 | 2.04 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 148.80 | 157.00 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 148.80 | 157.00 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 148.80 | 157.00 | 4.67 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 149.40 | 157.00 | 4.67 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 151.40 | 161.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 152.80 | 161.00 | 2.55 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 155.00 | 160.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 157.20 | 160.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 159.40 | 160.00 | -0.62 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 160.20 | 160.00 | -0.62 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 160.80 | 165.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 160.60 | 165.00 | 3.13 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 161.20 | 161.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 161.80 | 161.00 | -2.42 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 161.80 | 154.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 162.00 | 154.00 | -4.35 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 160.80 | 154.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 158.80 | 154.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 156.80 | 157.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 155.40 | 157.00 | 1.95 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 155.80 | 160.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 157.60 | 160.00 | -1.84 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 158.80 | 161.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 160.00 | 161.00 | 0.63 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 161.40 | 159.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 161.00 | 159.00 | -1.24 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 159.40 | 157.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 158.40 | 157.00 | 1.29 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 158.00 | 159.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 157.40 | 159.00 | 0.63 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 157.00 | 160.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 157.80 | 160.00 | 0.63 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 158.81 | 160.00 | 0.63 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 159.82 | 163.00 | 1.88 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 160.24 | 160.00 | -1.84 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 157.67 | 146.00 | -8.75 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 153.33 | 137.00 | -6.16 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 149.10 | 138.60 | 1.17 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 144.59 | 140.20 | 1.15 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 139.72 | 135.90 | 0.30 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 137.64 | 135.90 | 0.30 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 137.43 | 135.90 | 0.30 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 136.89 | 141.10 | 3.83 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 136.04 | 141.10 | 3.83 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 137.20 | 141.10 | 3.83 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 137.64 | 132.80 | -3.70 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 136.95 | 134.10 | 0.98 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 137.43 | 135.80 | -1.95 | ❌ | 0.67 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 137.33 | 135.10 | -0.52 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 136.21 | 134.30 | -0.59 | ❌ | 0.67 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 135.46 | 130.00 | -3.20 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 135.73 | 130.40 | 0.31 | ✅ | 0.69 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 134.08 | 126.70 | -2.84 | ✅ | 0.73 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 132.27 | 126.50 | -0.16 | ❌ | 0.70 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 130.42 | 125.50 | -0.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 128.90 | 125.50 | -0.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 127.39 | 125.50 | -0.79 | ❌ | 0.73 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 126.62 | 125.50 | -0.79 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 126.57 | 125.50 | -0.79 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 126.57 | 125.50 | -0.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 126.31 | 126.50 | 0.80 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 126.26 | 128.80 | 1.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 126.72 | 131.30 | 1.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 127.71 | 132.20 | 0.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 128.80 | 135.60 | 2.57 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 130.81 | 127.10 | -6.27 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 131.02 | 137.50 | 8.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 132.75 | 136.70 | -0.58 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 133.76 | 140.40 | 2.71 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 135.45 | 138.70 | -1.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 136.43 | 138.70 | -1.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 138.71 | 140.00 | 0.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 139.18 | 138.80 | -0.86 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 139.65 | 137.00 | -1.30 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 138.93 | 146.40 | 6.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 140.09 | 144.00 | -1.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 141.62 | 144.00 | -1.64 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 142.47 | 141.80 | -1.53 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 143.07 | 139.40 | -1.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 143.59 | 138.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 142.28 | 138.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 140.59 | 136.70 | -0.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 139.21 | 134.60 | -1.54 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 137.81 | 132.70 | -1.41 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 136.46 | 133.80 | 0.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 135.34 | 129.60 | -3.14 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 134.52 | 129.60 | -3.14 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 133.89 | 129.40 | -0.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 133.72 | 136.60 | 5.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 133.03 | 136.60 | 5.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 133.04 | 136.60 | 5.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 133.56 | 137.60 | 0.73 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 134.33 | 137.30 | -0.22 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 134.98 | 138.20 | 0.66 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 136.74 | 133.40 | -3.47 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 136.79 | 133.70 | 1.67 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 136.26 | 129.80 | -2.92 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 134.68 | 129.30 | -0.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 133.11 | 129.80 | 0.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 131.34 | 129.80 | 0.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 130.35 | 129.80 | 0.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 129.43 | 120.00 | -7.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 127.43 | 122.30 | 1.92 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 126.09 | 125.20 | 2.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 124.69 | 125.20 | 2.37 | ✅ | 0.53 |
| 30.05.2026 | 1 | 123.43 | 123.10 | 0.16 | ✅ | 0.53 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 122.15 | 123.10 | 0.16 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 122.80 | 128.80 | 4.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 123.41 | 129.50 | 2.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 124.82 | 125.00 | -3.47 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 125.21 | 129.30 | 3.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 126.45 | 130.40 | 0.85 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 127.90 | 128.20 | -1.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 128.39 | 129.00 | 0.62 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 128.31 | 135.90 | 5.35 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 130.47 | 141.00 | 3.75 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 132.82 | 140.20 | -0.57 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 134.90 | 144.00 | 2.13 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 138.00 | 143.70 | -0.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 140.95 | 143.70 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 142.59 | 140.70 | -2.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 142.57 | 140.40 | -0.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 142.57 | 137.60 | -1.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 142.01 | 137.60 | -1.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 140.82 | 138.40 | 0.58 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 139.59 | 138.40 | 0.58 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 139.12 | 137.30 | -0.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 138.43 | 138.00 | 0.51 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 137.90 | 138.50 | 0.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 138.07 | 138.60 | 0.07 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 138.23 | 133.50 | -3.68 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 137.25 | 133.70 | 0.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 136.49 | 133.70 | 0.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 135.60 | 134.40 | 0.52 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 134.63 | 130.40 | -2.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 133.00 | 130.10 | -0.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 132.32 | 129.00 | -0.85 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 131.41 | 126.70 | -1.78 | ✅ | 0.60 |