Toplam Tahmin

789

Doğru

472

Yanlış

317

Başarı Oranı

%59.82

FROTO - Ford Otosan

Tahmin ID: #128197 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026

Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 83.8500 TL

Temel Veriler
  • Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 81.0500 TL
  • Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
  • 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.15
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
Gün Tahmin Fiyatı %Getiri
16.07.2026 81.0402 TL %-0.01
17.07.2026 80.9736 TL %-0.08
20.07.2026 80.9520 TL %-0.03
21.07.2026 80.9461 TL %-0.01
22.07.2026 80.9302 TL %-0.02
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu

📊 Model Başarı Performansı

Vade Başarı Yüzdesi Ort. Hata Yüzdesi Toplam Tahmin
4 Gün %38.35 %9.57 133
3 Gün %40.74 %7.35 135
1 Gün %44.12 %10.03 136
2 Gün %43.38 %9.60 136
5 Gün %45.11 %8.62 133
Tahmin; yönü doğruysa ve hata %5'in altındaysa başarılı kabul edilir.
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması

📊 Model Başarı Performansı

Tarih Gün Tahmin Gerçek Getiri % Yön Güven
29.12.2025 1 93.00 91.00 -3.00 ✅ 0.00
29.12.2025 1 93.00 91.00 -3.19 ✅ 0.00
30.12.2025 1 92.33 92.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
30.12.2025 1 92.00 92.00 1.10 ✅ 0.00
31.12.2025 1 91.60 92.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
31.12.2025 1 91.00 92.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
02.01.2026 1 90.80 95.00 3.00 ✅ 0.00
02.01.2026 1 91.00 95.00 3.26 ✅ 0.00
07.01.2026 1 92.60 97.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
07.01.2026 1 94.40 97.00 -1.02 ❌ 0.00
08.01.2026 1 96.00 98.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
08.01.2026 1 97.20 98.00 1.03 ✅ 0.00
09.01.2026 1 98.40 98.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
09.01.2026 1 98.20 98.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
12.01.2026 1 98.20 98.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
12.01.2026 1 98.40 98.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
13.01.2026 1 98.60 100.00 2.00 ✅ 0.00
13.01.2026 1 98.80 100.00 2.04 ✅ 0.00
14.01.2026 1 99.40 101.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
14.01.2026 1 99.80 101.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
19.01.2026 1 101.00 103.00 -1.00 ❌ 0.00
19.01.2026 1 102.20 103.00 -1.90 ❌ 0.00
21.01.2026 1 103.00 103.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
21.01.2026 1 103.40 103.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
22.01.2026 1 103.80 103.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
22.01.2026 1 103.40 103.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
23.01.2026 1 103.00 105.00 1.00 ❌ 0.00
23.01.2026 1 103.00 105.00 1.94 ✅ 0.00
26.01.2026 1 103.20 107.00 2.00 ❌ 0.00
26.01.2026 1 103.40 107.00 1.90 ❌ 0.00
27.01.2026 1 104.20 109.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
27.01.2026 1 105.00 109.00 1.87 ✅ 0.00
28.01.2026 1 106.20 110.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
28.01.2026 1 107.20 110.00 0.92 ✅ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 108.40 112.00 1.00 ❌ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 109.00 112.00 1.00 ❌ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 109.60 112.00 1.82 ✅ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 109.80 112.00 1.82 ✅ 0.00
30.01.2026 1 110.40 113.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
30.01.2026 1 110.80 113.00 0.89 ✅ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 111.40 113.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 112.00 113.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 112.60 113.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 112.80 113.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
03.02.2026 1 113.00 116.00 2.00 ✅ 0.00
03.02.2026 1 113.00 116.00 2.65 ✅ 0.00
04.02.2026 1 113.60 115.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
04.02.2026 1 114.20 115.00 -0.86 ❌ 0.00
05.02.2026 1 114.60 115.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
05.02.2026 1 115.00 115.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
06.02.2026 1 115.40 115.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
06.02.2026 1 115.20 115.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 115.00 119.00 3.00 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 115.00 119.00 3.48 ✅ 0.00
13.02.2026 1 117.40 129.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
13.02.2026 1 119.80 129.00 1.57 ✅ 0.00
16.02.2026 1 122.60 134.00 4.00 ✅ 0.00
16.02.2026 1 125.40 134.00 3.88 ✅ 0.00
17.02.2026 1 129.20 127.00 -4.00 ❌ 0.00
17.02.2026 1 130.60 127.00 -5.22 ❌ 0.00
20.02.2026 1 129.20 121.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
20.02.2026 1 127.40 121.00 0.83 ✅ 0.00
24.02.2026 1 125.60 119.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
24.02.2026 1 122.80 119.00 -0.83 ❌ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 119.80 117.00 -2.00 ❌ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 119.60 117.00 -1.68 ❌ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 118.97 117.00 -1.68 ✅ 0.69
26.02.2026 1 118.55 118.00 0.85 ✅ 0.67
27.02.2026 1 117.53 115.00 -2.54 ✅ 0.68
02.03.2026 1 115.91 111.00 -3.48 ✅ 0.68
03.03.2026 1 113.71 108.00 -2.70 ✅ 0.68
04.03.2026 1 111.89 107.80 -0.19 ✅ 0.67
05.03.2026 1 110.61 111.40 3.34 ✅ 0.67
09.03.2026 1 109.34 108.90 0.37 ✅ 0.67
09.03.2026 1 108.86 108.90 0.37 ✅ 0.67
09.03.2026 1 109.06 108.90 0.37 ✅ 0.67
13.03.2026 1 93.75 109.70 -2.05 ✅ 0.64
16.03.2026 1 93.90 105.60 -3.74 ❌ 0.66
18.03.2026 1 91.88 105.70 -2.04 ✅ 0.45
19.03.2026 1 90.58 109.80 3.88 ❌ 0.45
23.03.2026 1 105.49 108.90 -0.82 ✅ 0.45
24.03.2026 1 104.79 104.20 -4.32 ✅ 0.45
25.03.2026 1 103.59 104.60 0.38 ❌ 0.45
26.03.2026 1 104.67 102.70 -1.82 ✅ 0.45
27.03.2026 1 104.61 103.80 1.07 ❌ 0.45
28.03.2026 1 104.36 100.00 -3.66 ✅ 0.60
28.03.2026 1 103.54 100.00 -3.66 ✅ 0.45
28.03.2026 1 103.54 100.00 -3.66 ✅ 0.60
29.03.2026 1 103.31 100.00 -3.66 ✅ 0.60
29.03.2026 1 103.52 100.00 -3.66 ✅ 0.60
30.03.2026 1 103.32 100.00 -3.66 ✅ 0.60
31.03.2026 1 102.51 101.10 1.10 ❌ 0.60
01.04.2026 1 101.65 102.50 1.38 ❌ 0.60
02.04.2026 1 101.53 100.70 -1.76 ❌ 0.60
03.04.2026 1 100.99 99.60 -1.09 ✅ 0.60
06.04.2026 1 100.38 100.40 0.80 ✅ 0.60
07.04.2026 1 100.55 96.70 -3.69 ❌ 0.60
08.04.2026 1 100.02 101.80 5.27 ✅ 0.60
09.04.2026 1 99.93 102.20 0.39 ✅ 0.60
10.04.2026 1 100.28 105.30 3.03 ✅ 0.60
12.04.2026 1 101.41 104.90 -0.38 ❌ 0.60
13.04.2026 1 102.35 104.90 -0.38 ✅ 0.60
14.04.2026 1 104.05 106.10 1.14 ✅ 0.60
15.04.2026 1 104.61 106.80 0.66 ❌ 0.60
16.04.2026 1 105.50 105.90 -0.84 ✅ 0.60
17.04.2026 1 105.58 109.30 3.21 ❌ 0.60
20.04.2026 1 106.35 107.50 -1.65 ✅ 0.60
20.04.2026 1 107.07 107.50 -1.65 ✅ 0.60
21.04.2026 1 107.61 103.50 -3.72 ❌ 0.60
22.04.2026 1 106.99 102.30 -1.16 ❌ 0.60
23.04.2026 1 106.31 104.50 2.15 ✅ 0.60
24.04.2026 1 104.96 104.50 2.15 ✅ 0.60
27.04.2026 1 104.10 102.60 -1.82 ❌ 0.60
28.04.2026 1 103.12 99.15 -3.36 ❌ 0.60
29.04.2026 1 102.29 98.05 -1.11 ❌ 0.60
30.04.2026 1 101.40 98.00 -0.05 ✅ 0.60
01.05.2026 1 100.44 96.00 -2.04 ✅ 0.60
04.05.2026 1 99.12 96.00 -2.04 ✅ 0.60
05.05.2026 1 98.20 98.05 2.14 ✅ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 97.94 99.00 0.97 ✅ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 97.94 99.00 0.97 ❌ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 98.01 99.00 0.97 ❌ 0.60
07.05.2026 1 98.14 98.90 -0.10 ✅ 0.60
08.05.2026 1 98.33 97.50 -1.42 ❌ 0.60
11.05.2026 1 98.19 97.00 -0.51 ✅ 0.60
12.05.2026 1 97.98 94.10 -2.99 ✅ 0.60
14.05.2026 1 97.09 93.45 0.00 ❌ 0.60
15.05.2026 1 96.06 91.45 -2.14 ❌ 0.60
18.05.2026 1 94.55 87.35 -4.48 ❌ 0.60
19.05.2026 1 92.52 86.65 -0.80 ✅ 0.60
19.05.2026 1 90.64 86.65 -0.80 ❌ 0.60
20.05.2026 1 89.44 86.65 -0.80 ❌ 0.60
22.05.2026 1 76.98 86.85 140.98 ❌ 0.60
23.05.2026 1 76.93 41.10 -52.68 ❌ 0.60
24.05.2026 1 76.71 41.10 -52.68 ✅ 0.60
01.06.2026 1 76.05 85.20 1.25 ❌ 0.60
02.06.2026 1 75.71 88.90 4.34 ❌ 0.60
04.06.2026 1 86.53 88.60 -0.39 ❌ 0.60
05.06.2026 1 86.54 86.20 -2.71 ✅ 0.60
08.06.2026 1 86.67 87.10 1.04 ✅ 0.60
09.06.2026 1 87.23 86.30 -0.92 ✅ 0.60
10.06.2026 1 87.66 87.45 1.33 ✅ 0.60
11.06.2026 1 87.17 86.55 -1.03 ❌ 0.60
12.06.2026 1 87.14 86.70 0.17 ✅ 0.60
15.06.2026 1 87.00 90.10 3.92 ❌ 0.60
16.06.2026 1 87.44 91.30 1.33 ❌ 0.60
18.06.2026 1 87.92 91.85 2.57 ❌ 0.60
19.06.2026 1 88.73 91.10 -0.82 ✅ 0.60
22.06.2026 1 89.59 89.85 -1.37 ❌ 0.60
23.06.2026 1 90.52 87.95 -2.11 ❌ 0.60
24.06.2026 1 90.30 86.45 -1.71 ❌ 0.60
25.06.2026 1 90.00 86.35 -0.12 ❌ 0.60
25.06.2026 1 89.26 86.35 -0.12 ❌ 0.60
26.06.2026 1 88.33 86.25 -0.12 ❌ 0.60
26.06.2026 1 87.43 86.25 -0.12 ❌ 0.60
29.06.2026 1 87.08 85.45 -0.93 ❌ 0.60
30.06.2026 1 86.58 84.55 -1.05 ❌ 0.60
01.07.2026 1 85.92 85.20 0.77 ✅ 0.60
02.07.2026 1 85.63 83.70 -1.76 ✅ 0.60
03.07.2026 1 85.05 83.75 0.06 ✅ 0.60
06.07.2026 1 84.53 82.00 -2.09 ✅ 0.60
06.07.2026 1 84.18 82.00 -2.09 ❌ 0.60
07.07.2026 1 83.65 83.00 1.22 ✅ 0.60
08.07.2026 1 83.23 80.80 -2.65 ✅ 0.60
09.07.2026 1 83.09 80.85 0.06 ✅ 0.60
10.07.2026 1 82.52 81.80 1.18 ❌ 0.60
13.07.2026 1 82.13 81.55 -0.31 ❌ 0.60