Toplam Tahmin
809
Doğru
512
Yanlış
297
Başarı Oranı
%63.29
EREGL - Ereğli Demir Çelik
Tahmin ID: #128175 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 42.6800 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 41.8800 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.03
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 16.07.2026 | 41.8763 TL | %-0.01 |
| 17.07.2026 | 41.8670 TL | %-0.02 |
| 20.07.2026 | 41.8795 TL | %0.03 |
| 21.07.2026 | 41.8820 TL | %0.01 |
| 22.07.2026 | 41.8920 TL | %0.02 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Gün | %42.22 | %3.29 | 135 |
| 1 Gün | %50.00 | %2.03 | 138 |
| 5 Gün | %39.55 | %3.89 | 134 |
| 2 Gün | %47.10 | %2.59 | 138 |
| 3 Gün | %44.20 | %3.02 | 138 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 25.00 | 23.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 25.00 | 23.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 25.33 | 23.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 25.50 | 23.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 25.40 | 23.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 25.40 | 23.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 25.20 | 24.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 24.80 | 24.00 | 4.35 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 24.60 | 24.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 24.60 | 24.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 24.40 | 24.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 24.40 | 24.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 24.40 | 24.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 24.20 | 24.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 24.00 | 24.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 24.00 | 24.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 24.20 | 25.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 24.40 | 25.00 | 4.17 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 24.60 | 25.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 24.80 | 25.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 25.20 | 26.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 25.40 | 26.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 25.40 | 25.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 25.40 | 25.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 25.40 | 26.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 25.20 | 26.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 25.20 | 27.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 25.40 | 27.00 | 3.85 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 25.80 | 27.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 26.20 | 27.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 26.60 | 27.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 26.80 | 27.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 27.00 | 27.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 27.00 | 27.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 27.00 | 28.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 27.00 | 28.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 27.00 | 28.00 | 3.70 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 27.00 | 28.00 | 3.70 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 27.20 | 28.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 27.40 | 28.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 27.60 | 27.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 27.80 | 27.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 28.00 | 27.00 | -3.57 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 28.00 | 27.00 | -3.57 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 27.80 | 28.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 27.60 | 28.00 | 3.70 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 27.60 | 28.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 27.60 | 28.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 27.60 | 28.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 27.80 | 28.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 28.00 | 29.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 28.00 | 29.00 | 3.57 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 28.20 | 30.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 28.40 | 30.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 28.60 | 30.00 | 3.45 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 28.80 | 30.00 | 3.45 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 29.20 | 29.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 29.40 | 29.00 | -3.33 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 29.40 | 29.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 29.40 | 29.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 29.40 | 30.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 29.20 | 30.00 | 3.45 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 29.20 | 29.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 29.40 | 29.00 | -3.33 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 29.40 | 30.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 29.40 | 30.00 | 3.45 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 29.80 | 31.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 30.00 | 31.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 30.20 | 31.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 30.60 | 31.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 31.00 | 31.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 31.01 | 31.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 31.21 | 32.00 | 3.23 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 31.22 | 31.00 | -3.13 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 30.83 | 29.00 | -6.45 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 30.41 | 28.86 | -0.48 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 29.99 | 28.88 | 0.07 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 29.23 | 28.32 | 0.43 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 28.67 | 28.32 | 0.43 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 28.53 | 28.32 | 0.43 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 28.62 | 29.32 | 3.53 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 28.51 | 29.32 | 3.53 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 28.53 | 29.32 | 3.53 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 28.68 | 28.40 | -0.91 | ❌ | 0.67 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 28.66 | 28.16 | -0.85 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 28.53 | 28.28 | -1.46 | ❌ | 0.66 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 28.51 | 27.90 | -1.34 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 28.51 | 28.66 | 2.72 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 28.45 | 27.78 | -3.07 | ❌ | 0.67 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 28.53 | 27.92 | 0.50 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 28.36 | 26.90 | -3.65 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 28.09 | 27.90 | 3.72 | ✅ | 0.69 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 28.01 | 27.58 | -1.15 | ❌ | 0.65 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 27.86 | 27.58 | -1.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 27.71 | 27.58 | -1.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 27.72 | 27.58 | -1.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 27.92 | 27.58 | -1.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 27.92 | 27.58 | -1.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 27.85 | 28.22 | 2.32 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 27.78 | 28.78 | 1.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 27.95 | 28.20 | -2.02 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 28.01 | 29.20 | 3.55 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 28.26 | 30.06 | 2.95 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 28.75 | 28.84 | -4.06 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 29.01 | 29.58 | 2.57 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 29.02 | 30.10 | 1.76 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 29.39 | 31.30 | 3.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 29.82 | 32.00 | 2.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 30.08 | 32.00 | 2.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 30.71 | 31.46 | -1.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 31.23 | 31.64 | 0.57 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 31.54 | 30.90 | -2.34 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 31.45 | 32.04 | 3.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 31.60 | 33.30 | 3.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 31.61 | 33.30 | 3.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 31.99 | 33.72 | 1.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 32.42 | 32.60 | -3.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 32.75 | 33.00 | 1.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 32.87 | 33.00 | 1.23 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 33.05 | 33.60 | 1.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 33.10 | 32.98 | -1.85 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 32.95 | 33.72 | 2.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 33.18 | 35.12 | 4.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 33.68 | 35.82 | 1.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 34.11 | 35.82 | 1.99 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 34.41 | 37.22 | 3.91 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 34.84 | 37.68 | 1.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 35.53 | 37.68 | 1.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 35.53 | 37.68 | 1.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 35.96 | 38.48 | 2.12 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 36.65 | 41.26 | 7.22 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 37.87 | 40.86 | -0.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 38.58 | 40.08 | -1.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 39.58 | 39.74 | -1.88 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 40.07 | 39.62 | -0.30 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 40.31 | 38.54 | -2.73 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 39.75 | 38.64 | 0.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 39.33 | 38.64 | 0.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 39.04 | 38.64 | 0.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 38.81 | 35.18 | -8.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 37.91 | 38.68 | 9.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 37.96 | 39.48 | 2.07 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 37.96 | 39.48 | 2.07 | ❌ | 0.62 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 38.06 | 40.00 | 2.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 38.35 | 41.00 | 2.50 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 39.36 | 40.10 | -0.50 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 39.68 | 39.16 | -2.34 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 39.97 | 39.02 | -0.36 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 39.95 | 38.64 | -0.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 39.68 | 38.64 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 39.36 | 38.40 | -0.62 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 38.98 | 39.36 | 2.50 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 38.83 | 40.20 | 2.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 39.07 | 40.30 | 0.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 39.22 | 40.00 | 1.52 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 39.36 | 40.02 | 0.05 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 39.67 | 40.34 | 0.80 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 39.87 | 39.82 | -1.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 39.79 | 39.94 | 0.30 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 39.88 | 40.32 | 0.95 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 39.96 | 40.32 | 0.95 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 40.03 | 42.12 | 4.46 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 40.03 | 42.12 | 4.46 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 40.48 | 41.20 | -2.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 40.93 | 40.48 | -1.75 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 41.21 | 40.44 | -0.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 41.23 | 40.80 | 0.89 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 41.33 | 40.10 | -1.72 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 40.93 | 41.52 | 3.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 40.54 | 41.52 | 3.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 40.60 | 41.26 | -0.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 40.77 | 39.94 | -3.20 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 40.60 | 40.06 | 0.30 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 40.58 | 40.40 | 0.85 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 40.57 | 40.86 | 1.14 | ❌ | 0.60 |