Toplam Tahmin
613
Doğru
446
Yanlış
167
Başarı Oranı
%72.76
ENSRI - Ensari Deri
Tahmin ID: #128170 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 6.1800 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 5.7100 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.65
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 5.7269 TL | %0.30 |
| 20.07.2026 | 5.7325 TL | %0.10 |
| 21.07.2026 | 5.7346 TL | %0.04 |
| 22.07.2026 | 5.7589 TL | %0.42 |
| 23.07.2026 | 5.7469 TL | %-0.21 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Gün | %25.26 | %8.75 | 95 |
| 5 Gün | %16.30 | %18.47 | 92 |
| 3 Gün | %28.42 | %12.74 | 95 |
| 4 Gün | %17.20 | %15.42 | 93 |
| 1 Gün | %38.54 | %9.64 | 96 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 16.00 | 16.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 16.00 | 16.00 | 6.67 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 16.33 | 16.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 16.50 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 16.40 | 17.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 16.40 | 17.00 | 6.25 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 16.60 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 16.60 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 16.80 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 17.20 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 17.60 | 18.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 17.80 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 19.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 19.00 | 5.56 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 18.20 | 19.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 18.40 | 19.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 18.60 | 19.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 18.80 | 19.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 19.00 | 21.00 | 7.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 19.00 | 21.00 | 10.53 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 18.80 | 17.00 | -5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 18.60 | 17.00 | -5.56 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 18.20 | 18.00 | 5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 17.80 | 18.00 | 5.88 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 17.60 | 19.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 17.60 | 19.00 | 5.56 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 17.80 | 20.00 | 9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 18.20 | 20.00 | 5.26 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 18.80 | 23.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 19.20 | 23.00 | 15.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 20.20 | 23.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 23.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 21.80 | 23.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 22.40 | 23.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 23.00 | 23.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 23.00 | 23.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 23.00 | 23.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 23.00 | 23.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 23.00 | 25.00 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 23.00 | 25.00 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 23.00 | 25.00 | 8.70 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 23.00 | 25.00 | 8.70 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 23.40 | 24.00 | -4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 23.80 | 24.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 24.00 | 25.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 24.20 | 25.00 | 4.17 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 24.60 | 25.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 24.60 | 25.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 24.60 | 27.00 | 8.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 24.80 | 27.00 | 8.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 25.40 | 27.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 25.80 | 27.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 26.20 | 27.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 26.60 | 27.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 27.40 | 30.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 27.80 | 30.00 | 3.45 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 28.40 | 30.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 29.00 | 30.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 29.60 | 31.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 29.80 | 31.00 | 3.33 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 30.20 | 33.00 | 6.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 30.40 | 33.00 | 6.45 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 30.40 | 27.00 | -9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 30.40 | 27.00 | -6.90 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 29.80 | 28.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 29.00 | 28.00 | 3.70 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 28.41 | 28.00 | 3.70 | ✅ | 0.58 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 28.01 | 28.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.58 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 27.82 | 29.00 | 3.57 | ✅ | 0.58 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 27.83 | 27.00 | -6.90 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 28.03 | 28.00 | 3.70 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 28.43 | 30.02 | 7.21 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 29.01 | 30.94 | 3.06 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 29.26 | 30.46 | 0.59 | ❌ | 0.61 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 29.90 | 30.46 | 0.59 | ❌ | 0.61 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 30.39 | 30.46 | 0.59 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 30.49 | 32.26 | 5.91 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 30.40 | 32.26 | 5.91 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 30.81 | 32.26 | 5.91 | ✅ | 0.62 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 31.55 | 33.80 | -0.53 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 32.20 | 35.38 | 4.67 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 33.70 | 34.10 | -9.98 | ❌ | 0.62 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 34.42 | 30.70 | -9.97 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 34.78 | 28.34 | -7.69 | ❌ | 0.73 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 33.66 | 27.88 | -1.62 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 32.49 | 28.24 | 1.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 30.55 | 28.60 | 1.27 | ✅ | 0.47 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 29.46 | 30.18 | 5.52 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 28.68 | 29.82 | -1.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 29.05 | 29.82 | -1.19 | ❌ | 0.48 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 29.51 | 29.82 | -1.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 29.88 | 29.82 | -1.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 30.19 | 29.82 | -1.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 30.19 | 29.82 | -1.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 30.11 | 30.00 | 0.60 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 30.07 | 31.60 | 5.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 30.35 | 31.20 | -1.27 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 30.57 | 31.16 | -0.13 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 30.77 | 33.22 | 6.61 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 31.45 | 31.90 | -3.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 31.82 | 34.00 | 6.58 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 32.31 | 34.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 32.86 | 32.00 | -5.88 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 33.00 | 31.76 | -0.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 32.74 | 31.76 | -0.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 32.73 | 28.60 | -9.95 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 31.65 | 26.40 | -7.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 30.14 | 23.76 | -10.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 28.53 | 21.92 | -7.74 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 26.53 | 22.84 | 4.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 24.57 | 22.84 | 4.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 38.90 | 20.22 | -80.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 38.17 | 22.24 | 9.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 37.80 | 22.24 | 9.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 37.83 | 20.02 | -9.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 37.25 | 18.02 | -9.99 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 20.11 | 16.22 | -9.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 19.61 | 14.60 | -9.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 18.54 | 13.14 | -85.73 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 17.16 | 13.14 | -85.73 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 16.20 | 12.54 | -4.57 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 15.59 | 13.79 | 9.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 15.08 | 13.79 | 9.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 13.26 | 5.59 | -1.41 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 11.32 | 5.64 | 0.89 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 9.40 | 5.93 | 5.14 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 7.56 | 5.74 | -3.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 5.70 | 5.45 | -5.05 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 5.67 | 5.71 | 3.82 | ✅ | 0.60 |