Toplam Tahmin
803
Doğru
347
Yanlış
456
Başarı Oranı
%43.21
EMKEL - Emek Elektrik
Tahmin ID: #128162 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 20.1800 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 20.2000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.01
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 20.1978 TL | %-0.01 |
| 20.07.2026 | 20.2035 TL | %0.03 |
| 21.07.2026 | 20.2029 TL | %0.00 |
| 22.07.2026 | 20.2037 TL | %0.00 |
| 23.07.2026 | 20.2026 TL | %-0.01 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Gün | %17.78 | %11.93 | 135 |
| 3 Gün | %18.98 | %10.35 | 137 |
| 5 Gün | %18.66 | %12.86 | 134 |
| 1 Gün | %42.75 | %6.34 | 138 |
| 2 Gün | %22.63 | %8.79 | 137 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 49.80 | 34.00 | -8.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 46.40 | 34.00 | -8.11 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 42.20 | 33.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 40.40 | 33.00 | -2.94 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 37.60 | 29.00 | -9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 35.80 | 29.00 | -9.38 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 33.40 | 27.00 | -7.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 31.80 | 27.00 | -6.90 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 29.80 | 25.00 | -5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 28.80 | 25.00 | -7.41 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 27.40 | 23.00 | -9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 26.60 | 23.00 | -8.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 25.40 | 23.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 24.60 | 23.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 23.80 | 21.00 | -9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 23.40 | 21.00 | -8.70 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 22.60 | 21.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 22.20 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 21.60 | 20.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 20.40 | 21.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 20.20 | 21.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 22.00 | 6.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 22.00 | 4.76 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 20.40 | 21.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 20.80 | 21.00 | -4.55 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 21.20 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 21.40 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 21.20 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 21.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 21.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 20.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 20.00 | -4.76 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 20.80 | 20.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 20.60 | 20.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 20.40 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 20.20 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 20.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 20.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 22.00 | 9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 22.00 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 20.40 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 20.80 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 21.20 | 21.00 | -4.55 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 21.60 | 21.00 | -4.55 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 21.80 | 21.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 21.60 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 21.40 | 22.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 21.20 | 22.00 | 4.76 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 21.20 | 22.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 21.40 | 22.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 21.40 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 21.40 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 21.40 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 21.20 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 20.80 | 20.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 20.60 | 20.00 | -4.76 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 20.40 | 20.00 | -4.76 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 20.20 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 19.61 | 18.00 | -10.00 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 19.21 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 16.14 | 19.44 | 271.70 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 15.88 | 18.43 | -1.55 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 16.02 | 18.43 | -1.55 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 16.10 | 18.43 | -1.55 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 18.74 | 18.77 | 1.84 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 18.54 | 18.77 | 1.84 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 18.55 | 18.77 | 1.84 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 18.63 | 18.70 | -1.27 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 18.70 | 18.88 | 0.96 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 18.69 | 20.28 | 9.92 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 19.07 | 21.82 | 7.59 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 19.36 | 24.00 | 9.99 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 20.35 | 24.10 | 0.42 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 21.43 | 26.50 | 9.96 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 23.06 | 25.82 | -2.57 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 24.30 | 23.24 | -9.99 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 24.93 | 22.22 | -4.39 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 24.79 | 22.22 | -4.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 24.63 | 22.22 | -4.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 23.98 | 22.22 | -4.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 23.35 | 22.22 | -4.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 23.34 | 22.22 | -4.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 23.14 | 20.98 | -5.58 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 22.68 | 22.66 | 8.01 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 22.57 | 21.60 | -4.68 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 22.23 | 20.50 | -5.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 21.69 | 20.34 | -0.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 21.28 | 19.91 | -2.11 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 21.05 | 19.95 | 0.20 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 20.49 | 21.02 | 5.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 20.35 | 21.50 | 2.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 20.53 | 21.82 | 1.49 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 20.76 | 21.82 | 1.49 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 21.13 | 22.16 | 1.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 21.55 | 24.36 | 9.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 22.22 | 26.78 | 9.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 23.28 | 29.44 | 9.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 24.87 | 30.94 | 5.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 26.39 | 30.94 | 5.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 28.15 | 28.04 | -9.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 28.89 | 27.42 | -2.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 29.02 | 28.44 | 3.72 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 28.61 | 28.44 | 3.72 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 28.41 | 28.36 | -0.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 27.91 | 30.24 | 6.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 28.35 | 26.14 | -13.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 28.10 | 26.08 | -0.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 27.85 | 24.52 | -5.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 27.38 | 24.52 | -5.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 26.92 | 24.74 | 0.90 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 26.09 | 25.04 | 1.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 25.81 | 25.04 | 1.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 25.82 | 25.04 | 1.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 25.61 | 25.22 | 0.72 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 25.41 | 24.84 | -1.51 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 25.17 | 24.26 | -2.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 25.08 | 23.34 | -3.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 24.54 | 23.42 | -0.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 24.21 | 24.70 | 5.47 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 24.13 | 23.74 | -3.89 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 23.91 | 23.80 | 0.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 23.80 | 23.80 | 0.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 23.87 | 23.80 | 0.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 23.95 | 21.74 | -8.66 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 23.37 | 22.28 | 2.48 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 23.07 | 22.14 | -0.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 22.77 | 22.14 | -0.63 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 22.38 | 22.54 | 3.11 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 22.15 | 22.62 | 0.35 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 22.38 | 25.22 | 9.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 22.95 | 22.90 | -9.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 23.07 | 22.30 | -2.62 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 23.16 | 22.24 | -0.27 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 23.10 | 21.16 | -4.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 22.74 | 21.04 | -0.57 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 21.92 | 20.82 | -1.05 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 21.51 | 21.06 | 1.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 21.27 | 22.08 | 4.84 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 20.99 | 20.60 | -1.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 20.88 | 19.88 | -3.50 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 20.64 | 19.89 | 0.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 20.46 | 19.48 | -2.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 20.14 | 18.98 | -2.57 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 19.87 | 18.56 | -2.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 19.65 | 18.56 | -2.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 19.38 | 18.55 | -0.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 19.12 | 18.55 | -0.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 18.92 | 18.88 | 1.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 18.80 | 18.80 | -0.42 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 18.65 | 18.51 | -1.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 18.63 | 18.48 | -0.16 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 18.62 | 19.87 | 7.52 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 18.88 | 19.15 | -3.62 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 19.08 | 19.15 | -3.62 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 19.16 | 20.00 | 4.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 19.46 | 19.54 | -2.30 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 19.67 | 19.21 | -1.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 19.54 | 19.43 | 1.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 19.46 | 20.32 | 4.58 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 19.68 | 20.20 | -0.30 | ❌ | 0.60 |