Toplam Tahmin
803
Doğru
441
Yanlış
362
Başarı Oranı
%54.92
EGSER - Ege Seramik
Tahmin ID: #128156 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 2.9300 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 2.9900 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.14
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 2.9894 TL | %-0.02 |
| 20.07.2026 | 2.9911 TL | %0.05 |
| 21.07.2026 | 2.9928 TL | %0.06 |
| 22.07.2026 | 2.9933 TL | %0.02 |
| 23.07.2026 | 2.9940 TL | %0.02 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Gün | %44.53 | %10.46 | 137 |
| 5 Gün | %40.74 | %10.85 | 135 |
| 4 Gün | %38.52 | %10.82 | 135 |
| 1 Gün | %47.83 | %8.39 | 138 |
| 2 Gün | %39.42 | %10.04 | 137 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 50.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 50.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 2.20 | 3.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 2.40 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 2.60 | 3.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 2.80 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.57 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.62 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 7.07 | 2.94 | -88.41 | ✅ | 0.62 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 7.03 | 2.80 | -1.75 | ❌ | 0.62 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 7.20 | 2.80 | -1.75 | ❌ | 0.62 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 7.36 | 2.80 | -1.75 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 2.85 | 2.90 | 3.57 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 2.82 | 2.90 | 3.57 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 2.84 | 2.90 | 3.57 | ✅ | 0.59 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 2.86 | 2.92 | 0.69 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 2.90 | 2.88 | -1.37 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 2.93 | 2.88 | -1.37 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 2.95 | 2.92 | 1.39 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 2.94 | 2.93 | 0.34 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 2.94 | 2.88 | -1.71 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 2.92 | 2.90 | 0.69 | ✅ | 0.73 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 2.92 | 2.83 | -2.41 | ❌ | 0.55 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 2.91 | 2.74 | -3.18 | ❌ | 0.62 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 2.89 | 2.69 | -1.82 | ❌ | 0.69 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 2.85 | 2.69 | -1.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 2.83 | 2.69 | -1.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 2.80 | 2.69 | -1.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 2.78 | 2.69 | -1.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 2.78 | 2.69 | -1.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 2.76 | 2.69 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 2.75 | 2.76 | 2.60 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 2.75 | 2.74 | -0.72 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 2.75 | 2.77 | 1.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 2.74 | 2.81 | 1.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 2.76 | 2.74 | -2.49 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 2.76 | 2.80 | 2.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 2.77 | 2.79 | -0.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 2.78 | 2.87 | 2.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 2.80 | 2.86 | -0.35 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 2.80 | 2.86 | -0.35 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 2.83 | 2.88 | 0.70 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 2.85 | 2.92 | 1.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 2.87 | 2.91 | -0.34 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 2.87 | 2.97 | 2.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 2.90 | 2.97 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 2.92 | 2.97 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 2.94 | 2.96 | -0.34 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 2.95 | 3.04 | 2.70 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 2.98 | 3.10 | 1.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 2.99 | 3.10 | 1.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 3.02 | 3.07 | -0.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 3.04 | 3.00 | -2.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 3.05 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 3.04 | 3.05 | 1.67 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 3.05 | 3.02 | -0.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 3.04 | 3.02 | -0.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 3.03 | 3.16 | 4.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 3.04 | 3.18 | 0.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 3.07 | 3.18 | 0.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 3.07 | 3.18 | 0.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 3.10 | 3.26 | 2.52 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 3.14 | 3.33 | 2.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 3.20 | 3.64 | 9.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 3.29 | 3.73 | 2.47 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 3.38 | 3.45 | -1.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 3.44 | 3.49 | 1.16 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 3.48 | 3.70 | 6.02 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 3.56 | 3.77 | 1.89 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 3.57 | 3.77 | 1.89 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 3.62 | 3.77 | 1.89 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 3.68 | 3.40 | -9.81 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 3.67 | 3.43 | 0.88 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 3.61 | 3.64 | 6.12 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 3.55 | 3.64 | 6.12 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 3.53 | 3.60 | -0.83 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 3.50 | 3.60 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 3.50 | 3.44 | 0.58 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 3.51 | 3.45 | 0.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 3.51 | 3.40 | -1.45 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 3.47 | 3.22 | -5.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 3.39 | 3.11 | -3.42 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 3.33 | 3.10 | -0.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 3.26 | 3.22 | 3.87 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 3.21 | 3.21 | -0.31 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 3.17 | 3.16 | -1.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 3.17 | 3.21 | 0.31 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 3.19 | 3.34 | 4.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 3.23 | 3.45 | 3.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 3.28 | 3.49 | 1.16 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 3.34 | 3.32 | -4.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 3.39 | 3.33 | 0.30 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 3.45 | 3.33 | 0.30 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 3.45 | 3.40 | 2.10 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 3.42 | 3.40 | 2.10 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 3.41 | 3.30 | -2.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 3.37 | 3.25 | -1.52 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 3.32 | 3.28 | 0.92 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 3.31 | 3.23 | -1.52 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 3.29 | 3.20 | -0.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 3.25 | 3.12 | -2.50 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 3.23 | 3.12 | -2.50 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 3.21 | 3.03 | -2.88 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 3.18 | 2.99 | -1.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 3.13 | 2.96 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 3.09 | 3.02 | 2.03 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 3.05 | 2.95 | -2.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 3.01 | 2.99 | 2.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |