Toplam Tahmin

813

Doğru

448

Yanlış

365

Başarı Oranı

%55.10

ECILC - Eczacıbaşı İlaç

Tahmin ID: #128145 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026

Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 73.5500 TL

Temel Veriler
  • Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 75.1000 TL
  • Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
  • 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.07
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
Gün Tahmin Fiyatı %Getiri
17.07.2026 75.0167 TL %-0.11
20.07.2026 75.0058 TL %-0.01
21.07.2026 75.0514 TL %0.06
22.07.2026 75.0465 TL %-0.01
23.07.2026 75.0504 TL %0.01
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu

📊 Model Başarı Performansı

Vade Başarı Yüzdesi Ort. Hata Yüzdesi Toplam Tahmin
1 Gün %42.45 %3.40 139
5 Gün %21.48 %6.44 135
3 Gün %32.61 %5.04 138
2 Gün %36.23 %4.58 138
4 Gün %27.94 %6.07 136
Tahmin; yönü doğruysa ve hata %5'in altındaysa başarılı kabul edilir.
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması

📊 Model Başarı Performansı

Tarih Gün Tahmin Gerçek Getiri % Yön Güven
29.12.2025 1 83.00 80.00 -2.44 ❌ 0.00
29.12.2025 1 83.00 80.00 -2.00 ❌ 0.00
30.12.2025 1 84.00 80.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
30.12.2025 1 84.50 80.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
31.12.2025 1 83.40 81.00 1.25 ❌ 0.00
31.12.2025 1 82.60 81.00 1.00 ❌ 0.00
02.01.2026 1 83.80 83.00 2.47 ✅ 0.00
02.01.2026 1 84.40 83.00 2.00 ✅ 0.00
07.01.2026 1 84.60 84.00 -2.33 ❌ 0.00
07.01.2026 1 86.20 84.00 -2.00 ❌ 0.00
08.01.2026 1 87.40 92.00 9.52 ✅ 0.00
08.01.2026 1 86.60 92.00 8.00 ✅ 0.00
09.01.2026 1 87.40 91.00 -1.09 ❌ 0.00
09.01.2026 1 88.60 91.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
12.01.2026 1 89.60 100.00 9.89 ✅ 0.00
12.01.2026 1 91.00 100.00 9.00 ✅ 0.00
13.01.2026 1 94.20 104.00 3.00 ✅ 0.00
13.01.2026 1 95.80 104.00 4.00 ✅ 0.00
14.01.2026 1 98.20 101.00 -2.88 ❌ 0.00
14.01.2026 1 100.80 101.00 -2.00 ❌ 0.00
19.01.2026 1 102.80 103.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
19.01.2026 1 103.00 103.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
21.01.2026 1 103.40 108.00 4.85 ✅ 0.00
21.01.2026 1 103.00 108.00 5.00 ✅ 0.00
22.01.2026 1 103.60 119.00 9.00 ✅ 0.00
22.01.2026 1 104.80 119.00 10.19 ✅ 0.00
23.01.2026 1 108.20 122.00 2.52 ✅ 0.00
23.01.2026 1 111.40 122.00 2.00 ✅ 0.00
26.01.2026 1 115.20 122.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
26.01.2026 1 118.00 122.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
27.01.2026 1 120.80 128.00 5.00 ❌ 0.00
27.01.2026 1 121.40 128.00 4.92 ✅ 0.00
28.01.2026 1 123.20 126.00 -1.56 ❌ 0.00
28.01.2026 1 124.40 126.00 -2.00 ❌ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 125.20 120.00 -4.76 ❌ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 126.00 120.00 -4.00 ❌ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 126.80 120.00 -4.76 ❌ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 126.40 120.00 -4.00 ❌ 0.00
30.01.2026 1 124.80 118.00 -1.00 ❌ 0.00
30.01.2026 1 123.60 118.00 -1.67 ❌ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 122.00 115.00 -2.00 ✅ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 120.40 115.00 -2.00 ❌ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 118.80 115.00 -2.54 ❌ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 118.40 115.00 -2.54 ❌ 0.00
03.02.2026 1 117.40 116.00 0.87 ✅ 0.00
03.02.2026 1 116.80 116.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
04.02.2026 1 116.40 113.00 -2.00 ❌ 0.00
04.02.2026 1 116.00 113.00 -2.59 ❌ 0.00
05.02.2026 1 115.00 113.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
05.02.2026 1 114.60 113.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
06.02.2026 1 114.20 108.00 -4.42 ❌ 0.00
06.02.2026 1 113.60 108.00 -5.00 ❌ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 112.00 118.00 10.00 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 111.00 118.00 9.26 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 110.00 118.00 9.26 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 109.00 118.00 10.00 ✅ 0.00
10.02.2026 1 110.00 121.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
10.02.2026 1 112.00 121.00 2.54 ✅ 0.00
13.02.2026 1 115.20 126.00 1.61 ✅ 0.00
13.02.2026 1 118.40 126.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
16.02.2026 1 122.00 128.00 1.59 ✅ 0.00
16.02.2026 1 123.60 128.00 2.00 ✅ 0.00
17.02.2026 1 125.60 131.00 1.00 ❌ 0.00
17.02.2026 1 126.40 131.00 2.34 ✅ 0.00
20.02.2026 1 125.20 118.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
20.02.2026 1 123.60 118.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
24.02.2026 1 123.20 117.00 -4.88 ❌ 0.00
24.02.2026 1 122.40 117.00 -5.00 ❌ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 120.20 112.00 -4.00 ❌ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 120.00 112.00 -4.27 ❌ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 118.81 112.00 -4.27 ✅ 0.55
26.02.2026 1 117.03 115.00 2.68 ✅ 0.55
27.02.2026 1 115.25 115.00 0.00 ✅ 0.55
02.03.2026 1 114.28 112.00 -2.61 ✅ 0.55
03.03.2026 1 113.17 111.00 -0.89 ✅ 0.55
04.03.2026 1 103.26 62.30 -43.87 ✅ 0.55
05.03.2026 1 102.89 112.90 81.22 ✅ 0.55
09.03.2026 1 102.03 110.40 -2.13 ✅ 0.55
09.03.2026 1 102.20 110.40 -2.13 ❌ 0.55
09.03.2026 1 102.52 110.40 -2.13 ❌ 0.55
10.03.2026 1 112.18 115.10 4.26 ✅ 0.55
10.03.2026 1 111.70 115.10 4.26 ✅ 0.55
10.03.2026 1 112.66 115.10 4.26 ✅ 0.56
13.03.2026 1 113.37 121.20 3.50 ❌ 0.45
16.03.2026 1 114.93 114.40 -5.61 ✅ 0.45
18.03.2026 1 116.32 121.00 2.37 ❌ 0.45
19.03.2026 1 118.35 115.70 -4.38 ✅ 0.45
23.03.2026 1 119.39 120.00 3.72 ✅ 0.45
24.03.2026 1 120.06 115.20 -4.00 ✅ 0.45
25.03.2026 1 118.92 115.90 0.61 ❌ 0.45
26.03.2026 1 118.48 112.00 -3.37 ✅ 0.45
27.03.2026 1 116.67 109.00 -2.68 ✅ 0.45
28.03.2026 1 114.29 107.00 -1.83 ✅ 0.60
28.03.2026 1 112.09 107.00 -1.83 ✅ 0.45
28.03.2026 1 110.86 107.00 -1.83 ✅ 0.60
29.03.2026 1 109.54 107.00 -1.83 ✅ 0.60
29.03.2026 1 108.95 107.00 -1.83 ✅ 0.60
30.03.2026 1 108.93 107.00 -1.83 ✅ 0.60
31.03.2026 1 108.53 104.80 -2.06 ✅ 0.60
01.04.2026 1 107.68 109.00 4.01 ❌ 0.60
02.04.2026 1 107.70 107.90 -1.01 ❌ 0.60
03.04.2026 1 107.42 105.80 -1.95 ✅ 0.60
06.04.2026 1 106.80 106.90 1.04 ❌ 0.60
07.04.2026 1 106.80 105.80 -1.03 ❌ 0.60
08.04.2026 1 107.01 109.30 3.31 ❌ 0.60
09.04.2026 1 107.07 108.80 -0.46 ❌ 0.60
10.04.2026 1 107.32 110.40 1.47 ✅ 0.60
12.04.2026 1 108.24 109.20 -1.09 ✅ 0.60
13.04.2026 1 108.92 109.20 -1.09 ✅ 0.60
14.04.2026 1 109.59 99.95 -8.47 ✅ 0.60
15.04.2026 1 107.70 92.10 -7.85 ❌ 0.60
16.04.2026 1 104.38 89.85 -2.44 ❌ 0.60
17.04.2026 1 100.29 91.45 1.78 ✅ 0.60
20.04.2026 1 96.55 90.45 -1.09 ❌ 0.60
20.04.2026 1 93.03 90.45 -1.09 ✅ 0.60
21.04.2026 1 91.14 88.15 -2.54 ❌ 0.60
22.04.2026 1 90.34 85.95 -2.50 ❌ 0.60
23.04.2026 1 89.56 89.65 4.30 ✅ 0.60
24.04.2026 1 88.47 89.65 4.30 ✅ 0.60
27.04.2026 1 88.13 88.65 -1.12 ❌ 0.60
28.04.2026 1 87.75 85.65 -3.38 ✅ 0.60
29.04.2026 1 87.23 85.55 -0.12 ✅ 0.60
30.04.2026 1 87.11 85.45 -0.12 ✅ 0.60
01.05.2026 1 86.95 84.10 -1.58 ✅ 0.60
04.05.2026 1 86.08 84.10 -1.58 ✅ 0.60
05.05.2026 1 85.39 85.75 1.96 ✅ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 85.33 85.75 0.00 ❌ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 85.42 85.75 0.00 ✅ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 85.41 85.75 0.00 ❌ 0.60
07.05.2026 1 85.52 87.40 1.92 ✅ 0.60
08.05.2026 1 85.90 91.05 4.18 ❌ 0.60
11.05.2026 1 87.03 88.75 -2.53 ✅ 0.60
12.05.2026 1 87.63 85.75 -3.38 ❌ 0.60
14.05.2026 1 87.43 87.00 3.69 ✅ 0.60
15.05.2026 1 87.64 84.85 -2.47 ✅ 0.60
18.05.2026 1 87.16 83.90 -1.12 ✅ 0.60
19.05.2026 1 85.74 83.15 -0.89 ✅ 0.60
19.05.2026 1 84.66 83.15 -0.89 ✅ 0.60
20.05.2026 1 84.50 83.15 -0.89 ✅ 0.60
21.05.2026 1 83.72 76.65 -7.82 ✅ 0.60
22.05.2026 1 82.09 82.05 7.05 ❌ 0.60
23.05.2026 1 81.76 84.80 3.35 ✅ 0.60
24.05.2026 1 81.48 84.80 3.35 ❌ 0.52
01.06.2026 1 82.55 86.00 -3.26 ❌ 0.60
02.06.2026 1 83.13 87.80 2.09 ❌ 0.60
04.06.2026 1 84.95 86.10 0.35 ❌ 0.60
05.06.2026 1 85.75 84.00 -2.44 ❌ 0.60
08.06.2026 1 86.16 84.40 0.48 ✅ 0.60
09.06.2026 1 85.25 84.30 -0.12 ✅ 0.60
10.06.2026 1 84.93 82.60 -2.02 ❌ 0.60
11.06.2026 1 84.34 81.65 -1.15 ❌ 0.60
12.06.2026 1 83.45 79.90 -2.14 ❌ 0.60
15.06.2026 1 82.62 84.00 5.13 ✅ 0.60
16.06.2026 1 82.54 84.90 1.07 ❌ 0.60
18.06.2026 1 82.19 83.35 0.91 ❌ 0.60
19.06.2026 1 82.31 82.35 -1.20 ✅ 0.60
22.06.2026 1 82.41 85.15 3.40 ❌ 0.60
23.06.2026 1 83.44 82.35 -3.29 ✅ 0.60
24.06.2026 1 83.13 79.95 -2.91 ❌ 0.60
25.06.2026 1 83.09 78.50 -1.81 ❌ 0.60
25.06.2026 1 82.91 78.50 -1.81 ❌ 0.60
26.06.2026 1 82.16 76.30 -2.80 ❌ 0.60
26.06.2026 1 80.84 76.30 -2.80 ❌ 0.60
29.06.2026 1 79.62 75.35 -1.25 ❌ 0.60
30.06.2026 1 78.22 74.90 -0.60 ❌ 0.60
01.07.2026 1 76.76 74.90 0.00 ✅ 0.60
02.07.2026 1 76.04 77.10 2.94 ✅ 0.60
03.07.2026 1 75.76 76.95 -0.19 ✅ 0.60
06.07.2026 1 75.88 74.65 -2.99 ✅ 0.60
06.07.2026 1 76.18 74.65 -2.99 ✅ 0.60
07.07.2026 1 76.09 76.20 2.08 ❌ 0.60
08.07.2026 1 76.35 72.85 -4.40 ✅ 0.60
09.07.2026 1 75.50 73.25 0.55 ❌ 0.60
10.07.2026 1 74.77 75.90 3.62 ✅ 0.60
13.07.2026 1 74.57 72.85 -4.02 ✅ 0.60
16.07.2026 1 74.29 75.10 2.60 ✅ 0.60