Toplam Tahmin
813
Doğru
465
Yanlış
348
Başarı Oranı
%57.20
DSTKF - Destek Finans Faktoring
Tahmin ID: #128138 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 2,522.5000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 2,802.5000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.16
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 2,806.5112 TL | %0.14 |
| 20.07.2026 | 2,810.6741 TL | %0.15 |
| 21.07.2026 | 2,810.5925 TL | %0.00 |
| 22.07.2026 | 2,805.8210 TL | %-0.17 |
| 23.07.2026 | 2,798.0183 TL | %-0.28 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Gün | %17.04 | %52.09 | 135 |
| 2 Gün | %39.13 | %53.32 | 138 |
| 3 Gün | %36.96 | %55.17 | 138 |
| 1 Gün | %42.45 | %52.04 | 139 |
| 4 Gün | %24.26 | %52.29 | 136 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 610.00 | 602.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 610.00 | 602.00 | 1.01 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 597.67 | 581.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 591.50 | 581.00 | -3.49 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 579.40 | 555.00 | -4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 563.60 | 555.00 | -4.48 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 544.20 | 560.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 532.20 | 560.00 | 0.90 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 543.60 | 636.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 563.40 | 636.00 | 1.11 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 585.20 | 678.00 | 6.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 610.60 | 678.00 | 6.60 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 644.20 | 667.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 654.40 | 667.00 | -1.62 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 662.40 | 660.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 668.40 | 660.00 | -1.05 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 673.00 | 660.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 669.40 | 660.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 665.60 | 667.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 664.00 | 667.00 | 1.06 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 662.40 | 649.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 662.20 | 649.00 | -1.96 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 661.00 | 672.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 660.00 | 672.00 | 2.28 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 661.80 | 673.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 663.60 | 673.00 | 0.15 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 665.60 | 700.00 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 668.60 | 700.00 | 4.01 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 676.80 | 700.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 682.20 | 700.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 687.60 | 730.00 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 692.80 | 730.00 | 4.29 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 704.20 | 756.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 710.40 | 756.00 | 3.56 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 721.80 | 800.00 | 5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 733.20 | 800.00 | 5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 744.60 | 800.00 | 5.82 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 749.80 | 800.00 | 5.82 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 764.00 | 800.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 773.00 | 800.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 781.80 | 827.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 790.80 | 827.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 799.80 | 827.00 | 3.38 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 799.60 | 827.00 | 3.38 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 805.00 | 828.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 810.60 | 828.00 | 0.12 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 816.40 | 850.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 822.20 | 850.00 | 2.66 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 832.40 | 855.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 837.00 | 855.00 | 0.59 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 843.00 | 852.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 848.60 | 852.00 | -0.35 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 853.40 | 855.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 854.00 | 855.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 854.60 | 855.00 | 0.35 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 853.80 | 855.00 | 0.35 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 853.60 | 858.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 854.20 | 858.00 | 0.35 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 869.60 | 940.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 885.00 | 940.00 | 1.08 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 902.40 | 987.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 919.20 | 987.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 945.60 | 1080.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 957.20 | 1080.00 | 9.42 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 1005.00 | 1275.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 1050.80 | 1275.00 | 9.16 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 1143.60 | 1487.00 | 6.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 1226.80 | 1487.00 | 6.06 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 1327.20 | 1350.00 | -9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 1391.40 | 1350.00 | -9.21 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 1428.34 | 1350.00 | -9.21 | ✅ | 0.47 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 1441.28 | 1469.00 | 8.81 | ✅ | 0.47 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 1459.14 | 1497.00 | 1.91 | ✅ | 0.47 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 1459.97 | 1500.00 | 0.20 | ❌ | 0.47 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 1462.56 | 1510.00 | 0.67 | ✅ | 0.47 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 1196.16 | 21.84 | -98.55 | ✅ | 0.47 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 1234.70 | 1673.00 | 7560.26 | ✅ | 0.47 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 1279.43 | 1731.00 | 0.06 | ❌ | 0.47 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 1324.00 | 1731.00 | 0.06 | ❌ | 0.47 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 1367.33 | 1731.00 | 0.06 | ❌ | 0.47 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 1706.91 | 1759.00 | 1.62 | ❌ | 0.47 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 1718.55 | 1759.00 | 1.62 | ❌ | 0.47 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 1724.84 | 1759.00 | 1.62 | ✅ | 0.47 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 1737.78 | 1749.00 | -2.83 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 1737.40 | 1740.00 | -0.51 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 1747.83 | 1840.00 | 1.38 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 1767.87 | 1844.00 | 0.22 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 1783.05 | 1871.00 | 1.46 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 1799.94 | 1853.00 | -0.96 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 1828.38 | 1848.00 | -0.27 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 1846.23 | 1823.00 | -1.35 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 1848.94 | 1850.00 | 1.48 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 1858.72 | 1852.00 | 0.11 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 1860.17 | 1852.00 | 0.11 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 1862.83 | 1852.00 | 0.11 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 1861.77 | 1852.00 | 0.11 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 1866.23 | 1852.00 | 0.11 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 1861.48 | 1852.00 | 0.11 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 1857.16 | 1882.00 | 1.62 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 1859.86 | 1920.00 | 2.02 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 1874.20 | 1953.00 | 1.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 1893.83 | 1957.00 | 0.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 1918.42 | 1974.00 | 0.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 1944.62 | 1961.00 | -0.66 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 1963.20 | 2002.00 | 2.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 1975.61 | 2000.00 | -0.10 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 1984.78 | 2097.00 | 4.85 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 2008.50 | 2077.00 | -0.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 2030.10 | 2077.00 | -0.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 2050.36 | 2115.00 | 1.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 2074.79 | 2130.00 | 0.71 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 2100.85 | 2194.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 2120.30 | 2276.00 | 3.74 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 2157.83 | 2300.00 | 1.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 2198.45 | 2300.00 | 1.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 2235.68 | 2423.00 | 5.35 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 2293.85 | 2525.00 | 4.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 2361.45 | 2632.50 | 4.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 2410.09 | 2632.50 | 4.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 2478.89 | 2810.00 | 6.74 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 2580.51 | 2670.00 | -4.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 2631.00 | 2572.50 | -3.65 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 2638.68 | 2730.00 | 6.12 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 2680.01 | 2745.00 | 0.55 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 2701.15 | 2745.00 | 0.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 2686.25 | 2760.00 | 0.55 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 2698.23 | 2755.00 | -0.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 2738.59 | 2755.00 | -0.18 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 2740.70 | 2755.00 | -0.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 2745.77 | 2775.00 | 0.73 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 2752.43 | 2498.00 | -9.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 2705.46 | 2522.50 | 0.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 2656.12 | 2423.00 | -3.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 2546.23 | 1963.00 | -10.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 2387.43 | 1970.00 | 0.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 2223.67 | 1950.00 | -1.02 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 2114.03 | 1900.00 | -2.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 2000.23 | 1900.00 | -2.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 1953.13 | 1900.00 | -2.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 1939.91 | 1860.00 | -2.11 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 1921.28 | 1987.00 | 6.83 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 1926.41 | 2075.00 | 4.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 1933.25 | 2075.00 | 4.43 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 1962.31 | 1950.00 | -7.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 1971.83 | 2023.00 | 3.74 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 2041.99 | 2257.00 | 2.59 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 2098.88 | 2325.00 | 3.01 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 2166.23 | 2470.00 | 6.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 2239.25 | 2550.00 | 3.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 2359.33 | 2600.00 | 1.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 2439.15 | 2600.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 2506.49 | 2612.50 | 0.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 2565.26 | 2810.00 | 7.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 2634.79 | 2810.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 2700.17 | 3072.50 | 7.06 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 2794.20 | 3200.00 | 4.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 2915.01 | 3300.00 | 3.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 3052.70 | 3325.00 | 0.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 3155.22 | 3330.00 | 0.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 3245.75 | 3420.00 | 2.70 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 3296.26 | 3420.00 | 2.70 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 3341.03 | 3465.00 | 1.32 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 3365.41 | 3465.00 | 1.32 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 3394.39 | 3550.00 | 2.45 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 3439.08 | 3622.50 | 2.04 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 3498.68 | 3750.00 | 3.52 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 3563.79 | 3810.00 | 1.60 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 3641.22 | 3750.00 | -1.57 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 3698.72 | 3585.00 | -4.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 3738.93 | 3585.00 | -4.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 3731.71 | 3920.00 | 9.34 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 3764.70 | 3820.00 | -2.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 3766.26 | 3835.00 | 0.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 3781.78 | 3840.00 | 0.13 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 3799.82 | 3457.50 | -9.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 3705.36 | 2802.50 | -9.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |