Toplam Tahmin
803
Doğru
414
Yanlış
389
Başarı Oranı
%51.56
DOKTA - Döktaş Dökümcülük
Tahmin ID: #128137 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 23.1800 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 23.6200 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.06
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 23.6326 TL | %0.05 |
| 20.07.2026 | 23.6455 TL | %0.05 |
| 21.07.2026 | 23.6328 TL | %-0.05 |
| 22.07.2026 | 23.6143 TL | %-0.08 |
| 23.07.2026 | 23.6069 TL | %-0.03 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Gün | %30.60 | %4.32 | 134 |
| 3 Gün | %37.96 | %3.40 | 137 |
| 2 Gün | %45.26 | %2.65 | 137 |
| 1 Gün | %47.10 | %2.01 | 138 |
| 4 Gün | %33.33 | %3.98 | 135 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 23.00 | 24.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 23.00 | 24.00 | 14.29 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 22.33 | 22.00 | -5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 22.00 | 22.00 | -8.33 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 22.00 | 24.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 21.80 | 24.00 | 9.09 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 21.80 | 23.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 22.20 | 23.00 | -4.17 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 22.60 | 24.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 22.80 | 24.00 | 4.35 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 23.20 | 24.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 23.40 | 24.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 23.60 | 24.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 23.80 | 24.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 24.00 | 23.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 24.00 | 23.00 | -4.17 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 24.00 | 24.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 24.00 | 24.00 | 4.35 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 24.00 | 23.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 24.00 | 23.00 | -4.17 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 24.00 | 24.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 24.00 | 24.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 24.00 | 24.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 24.00 | 24.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 24.00 | 24.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 24.00 | 24.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 24.00 | 24.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 24.00 | 24.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 24.00 | 24.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 24.00 | 24.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 24.00 | 25.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 24.00 | 25.00 | 4.17 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 24.20 | 27.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 24.40 | 27.00 | 8.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 25.00 | 28.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 25.60 | 28.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 26.20 | 28.00 | 3.70 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 26.60 | 28.00 | 3.70 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 27.20 | 27.00 | -4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 27.40 | 27.00 | -3.57 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 27.40 | 26.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 27.40 | 26.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 27.40 | 26.00 | -3.70 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 27.20 | 26.00 | -3.70 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 26.80 | 26.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 26.60 | 26.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 26.40 | 26.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 26.20 | 26.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 26.00 | 25.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 26.00 | 25.00 | -3.85 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 25.80 | 25.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 25.60 | 25.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 25.40 | 25.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 25.20 | 25.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 25.00 | 25.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 25.00 | 25.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 25.20 | 25.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 25.40 | 25.00 | -3.85 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 25.40 | 26.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 25.40 | 26.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 25.60 | 26.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 25.60 | 26.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 25.20 | 24.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 25.00 | 24.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 24.80 | 23.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 24.40 | 23.00 | -4.17 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 23.80 | 23.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 23.60 | 23.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 23.40 | 23.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 23.19 | 23.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 22.78 | 22.00 | -4.35 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 22.57 | 22.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 22.16 | 21.00 | -4.55 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 21.92 | 21.84 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 21.89 | 22.88 | 4.76 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 21.93 | 22.26 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 21.97 | 22.26 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 22.22 | 22.26 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 22.38 | 22.66 | 1.80 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 22.26 | 22.66 | 1.80 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 22.26 | 22.66 | 1.80 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 22.31 | 22.30 | -0.36 | ❌ | 0.73 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 22.35 | 22.32 | 0.09 | ✅ | 0.73 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 22.38 | 22.20 | -2.37 | ❌ | 0.73 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 22.38 | 22.38 | 0.81 | ❌ | 0.73 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 22.39 | 22.50 | 0.54 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 22.40 | 22.82 | 1.42 | ❌ | 0.73 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 22.49 | 23.16 | 1.49 | ❌ | 0.74 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 22.58 | 22.74 | -1.81 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 22.69 | 22.80 | 0.26 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 22.80 | 22.18 | -2.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 22.86 | 22.18 | -2.72 | ✅ | 0.73 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 22.85 | 22.18 | -2.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 22.78 | 22.18 | -2.72 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 22.79 | 22.18 | -2.72 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 22.79 | 22.18 | -2.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 22.67 | 22.28 | 0.45 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 22.57 | 23.66 | 6.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 22.75 | 23.24 | -1.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 22.84 | 23.00 | -1.03 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 22.88 | 23.42 | 1.83 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 23.12 | 23.36 | -0.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 23.34 | 23.88 | 2.23 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 23.38 | 23.60 | -1.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 23.45 | 24.14 | 2.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 23.67 | 23.44 | -2.90 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 23.82 | 23.44 | -2.90 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 23.83 | 23.88 | 1.88 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 23.83 | 24.30 | 1.76 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 23.97 | 24.00 | -1.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 23.95 | 24.86 | 3.58 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 24.10 | 24.62 | -0.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 24.38 | 24.62 | -0.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 24.53 | 24.24 | -1.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 24.51 | 24.48 | 0.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 24.60 | 24.50 | 0.08 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 24.53 | 24.50 | 0.08 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 24.46 | 24.94 | 1.80 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 24.53 | 24.52 | -1.68 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 24.59 | 24.24 | -1.14 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 24.54 | 24.68 | 1.82 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 24.58 | 24.52 | -0.65 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 24.62 | 24.52 | -0.65 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 24.57 | 24.88 | 1.47 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 24.60 | 24.98 | 0.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 24.68 | 24.98 | 0.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 24.71 | 24.98 | 0.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 24.79 | 25.70 | 2.88 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 25.01 | 26.02 | 1.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 25.28 | 27.92 | 7.30 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 25.93 | 29.44 | 5.44 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 26.34 | 26.78 | -0.52 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 26.73 | 27.58 | 2.99 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 27.07 | 25.98 | -5.80 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 27.09 | 26.06 | 0.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 26.70 | 26.06 | 0.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 26.56 | 26.06 | 0.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 26.40 | 25.42 | -2.46 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 25.96 | 26.56 | 4.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 26.04 | 28.00 | 5.42 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 26.14 | 28.00 | 5.42 | ❌ | 0.52 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 26.44 | 28.26 | 1.80 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 26.85 | 28.74 | 1.70 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 27.76 | 31.46 | 5.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 28.74 | 30.14 | -4.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 29.46 | 28.00 | -7.10 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 29.52 | 26.72 | -4.57 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 29.23 | 25.70 | -3.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 28.40 | 25.00 | -2.72 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 27.14 | 25.68 | 2.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 26.27 | 26.00 | 1.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 25.89 | 25.56 | -1.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 25.86 | 25.84 | -2.71 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 25.88 | 26.78 | 3.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 26.22 | 26.10 | -2.54 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 26.31 | 26.30 | 0.77 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 26.36 | 25.54 | -2.89 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 26.30 | 24.88 | -2.58 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 26.39 | 24.88 | -2.58 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 26.00 | 24.68 | -0.80 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 25.74 | 24.68 | -0.80 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 25.41 | 24.80 | 0.49 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 25.11 | 24.24 | -2.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 24.70 | 24.26 | 0.08 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 24.57 | 24.08 | -0.74 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 24.42 | 24.50 | 1.74 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 24.38 | 23.90 | -2.45 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 24.32 | 23.90 | -2.45 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 24.26 | 24.10 | 0.84 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 24.23 | 23.70 | -1.66 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 24.16 | 23.56 | -0.59 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 23.97 | 23.74 | 0.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 23.82 | 23.16 | -2.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 23.68 | 23.62 | 1.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |