Toplam Tahmin
799
Doğru
471
Yanlış
328
Başarı Oranı
%58.95
DOHOL - Doğan Holding
Tahmin ID: #128136 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 21.4000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 21.3600 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.28
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 16.07.2026 | 21.3391 TL | %-0.10 |
| 17.07.2026 | 21.3213 TL | %-0.08 |
| 20.07.2026 | 21.3087 TL | %-0.06 |
| 21.07.2026 | 21.3081 TL | %0.00 |
| 22.07.2026 | 21.3009 TL | %-0.03 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Gün | %43.80 | %2.45 | 137 |
| 4 Gün | %34.81 | %3.79 | 135 |
| 1 Gün | %48.18 | %1.95 | 137 |
| 5 Gün | %27.07 | %4.15 | 133 |
| 3 Gün | %41.18 | %3.17 | 136 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 18.00 | 17.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 18.00 | 17.00 | -5.56 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 17.67 | 17.00 | -5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 17.50 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 17.40 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 17.20 | 16.00 | -5.88 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 17.20 | 17.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 17.40 | 17.00 | 6.25 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 17.60 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 17.80 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 18.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 18.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 19.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 19.00 | 5.56 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 18.20 | 19.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 18.40 | 19.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 18.60 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 18.80 | 20.00 | 5.26 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 19.20 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 19.40 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 19.60 | 20.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 19.80 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 20.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 21.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 21.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 20.20 | 21.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 20.40 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 20.60 | 21.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 20.80 | 21.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 21.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 21.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 21.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 21.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 20.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 20.00 | -4.76 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 20.80 | 20.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 20.60 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 20.40 | 21.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 20.20 | 21.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 20.20 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 20.40 | 20.00 | -4.76 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 20.80 | 21.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 21.20 | 21.00 | -4.55 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 21.40 | 22.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 21.40 | 22.00 | 4.76 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 21.60 | 21.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 21.60 | 21.00 | -4.55 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 21.20 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 20.80 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 20.60 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 20.80 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.67 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.67 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 20.80 | 20.00 | -4.76 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 20.40 | 19.00 | -5.00 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 19.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 19.79 | 19.88 | 4.63 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 19.59 | 20.02 | 0.70 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 19.57 | 20.04 | 0.80 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 19.75 | 20.04 | 0.80 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 19.96 | 20.04 | 0.80 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 19.99 | 21.54 | 7.49 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 19.99 | 21.54 | 7.49 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 20.32 | 21.54 | 7.49 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 20.59 | 21.26 | -0.09 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 20.83 | 21.00 | -1.22 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 21.04 | 21.06 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 21.24 | 20.90 | -0.76 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 21.15 | 20.84 | -0.29 | ❌ | 0.69 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 21.07 | 20.80 | -0.19 | ❌ | 0.69 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 20.98 | 21.14 | 1.63 | ❌ | 0.67 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 20.66 | -2.27 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 20.92 | 21.18 | 2.52 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 20.94 | 20.38 | -3.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 20.38 | -3.78 | ❌ | 0.69 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 21.08 | 20.38 | -3.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 21.08 | 20.38 | -3.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 21.19 | 20.38 | -3.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 21.19 | 20.38 | -3.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 21.03 | 19.97 | -2.01 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 20.79 | 20.60 | 3.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 20.68 | 19.80 | -3.88 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 20.41 | 19.46 | -1.72 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 20.05 | 19.71 | 1.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 19.91 | 19.55 | -0.81 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 19.82 | 20.38 | 4.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 19.60 | 20.78 | 1.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 19.78 | 21.08 | 1.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 20.10 | 21.48 | 1.90 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 20.38 | 21.48 | 1.90 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 20.77 | 21.80 | 1.49 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 21.22 | 21.70 | -0.46 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 21.40 | 21.66 | -0.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 21.52 | 21.44 | -1.02 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 21.59 | 21.00 | -2.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 21.58 | 21.00 | -2.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 21.43 | 21.28 | 1.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 21.36 | 21.14 | -0.66 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 21.26 | 21.48 | 1.61 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 21.20 | 21.48 | 1.61 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 21.21 | 22.84 | 6.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 21.57 | 22.80 | -0.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 21.87 | 22.56 | -1.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 22.15 | 22.74 | 0.80 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 22.46 | 23.42 | 2.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 22.71 | 23.42 | 2.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 22.69 | 23.52 | 0.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 22.84 | 24.64 | 4.76 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 22.88 | 24.64 | 4.76 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 22.88 | 24.64 | 4.76 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 23.26 | 24.48 | -0.65 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 23.61 | 24.50 | 0.08 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 23.80 | 24.50 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 24.15 | 24.26 | -0.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 24.52 | 23.40 | -4.57 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 24.29 | 23.18 | -0.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 24.04 | 22.60 | -2.50 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 23.67 | 23.44 | 3.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 23.29 | 23.44 | 3.72 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 22.89 | 23.44 | 3.72 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 22.86 | 21.54 | -8.11 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 22.53 | 23.54 | 9.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 22.70 | 22.90 | -2.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 22.88 | 22.90 | -2.72 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 23.06 | 22.50 | -4.34 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 22.89 | 23.58 | 4.80 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 23.13 | 22.86 | 0.88 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 23.01 | 21.58 | -5.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 22.64 | 21.96 | 1.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 22.34 | 21.54 | -1.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 22.16 | 21.80 | 1.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 21.98 | 22.00 | 0.92 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 21.80 | 21.92 | -0.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 21.85 | 23.20 | 5.84 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 22.09 | 22.84 | -1.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 22.21 | 22.40 | 0.54 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 22.33 | 21.40 | -4.46 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 22.21 | 21.28 | -0.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 22.10 | 20.88 | -1.88 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 21.65 | 20.84 | -0.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 21.38 | 20.88 | 0.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 21.08 | 20.88 | 0.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 20.98 | 21.14 | 1.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 20.90 | 21.14 | 1.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 20.94 | 21.02 | -0.57 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 20.96 | 20.50 | -2.47 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 20.88 | 20.38 | -0.59 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 20.78 | 20.56 | 0.88 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 20.72 | 20.48 | -0.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 20.59 | 20.66 | 0.88 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 20.49 | 20.66 | 0.88 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 20.52 | 20.60 | -0.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 20.57 | 20.32 | -1.36 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 20.53 | 20.40 | 0.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 20.49 | 21.18 | 3.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 20.63 | 21.24 | 0.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |