Toplam Tahmin
813
Doğru
460
Yanlış
353
Başarı Oranı
%56.58
DMSAS - Demisaş
Tahmin ID: #128129 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 8.3100 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 8.3400 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.41
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 8.3439 TL | %0.05 |
| 20.07.2026 | 8.3544 TL | %0.13 |
| 21.07.2026 | 8.3630 TL | %0.10 |
| 22.07.2026 | 8.3676 TL | %0.05 |
| 23.07.2026 | 8.3742 TL | %0.08 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Gün | %48.55 | %4.30 | 138 |
| 3 Gün | %46.38 | %5.56 | 138 |
| 5 Gün | %44.85 | %6.64 | 136 |
| 4 Gün | %46.32 | %6.21 | 136 |
| 1 Gün | %55.40 | %3.13 | 139 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 11.60 | 10.00 | -9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 11.80 | 10.00 | -9.09 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 11.80 | 9.00 | -9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 11.60 | 9.00 | -10.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 10.40 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 9.80 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 9.40 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 10.00 | 9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 10.00 | 11.11 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 10.20 | 9.00 | -9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 10.40 | 9.00 | -18.18 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 10.20 | 9.00 | -6.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 9.00 | -6.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 9.80 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 9.40 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 8.80 | 8.00 | -11.11 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 8.60 | 8.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.74 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 7.45 | 8.58 | 133.15 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 7.30 | 8.15 | -1.21 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 7.35 | 8.15 | -1.21 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 7.38 | 8.15 | -1.21 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 8.27 | 8.21 | 0.74 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 8.19 | 8.21 | 0.74 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 8.18 | 8.21 | 0.74 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 8.23 | 8.56 | 1.06 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 8.31 | 8.59 | 0.35 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 8.50 | 9.07 | -1.41 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 8.67 | 8.81 | -2.87 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 8.84 | 9.02 | 2.38 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 8.94 | 8.91 | -1.22 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 9.01 | 8.65 | -2.92 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 8.92 | 8.29 | -4.16 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 8.76 | 8.36 | 0.84 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 8.63 | 8.34 | -0.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 8.49 | 8.34 | -0.24 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 8.39 | 8.34 | -0.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 8.32 | 8.34 | -0.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 8.34 | 8.34 | -0.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 8.34 | 8.34 | -0.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 8.33 | 8.35 | 0.12 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 8.32 | 8.38 | 0.36 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 8.33 | 8.43 | 0.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 8.35 | 8.43 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 8.37 | 8.53 | 1.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 8.41 | 8.70 | 1.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 8.48 | 8.95 | 2.87 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 8.60 | 8.69 | -2.91 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 8.66 | 8.65 | -0.46 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 8.70 | 8.52 | -1.50 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 8.73 | 8.52 | -1.50 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 8.69 | 8.60 | 0.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 8.62 | 8.79 | 2.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 8.64 | 8.70 | -1.02 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 8.65 | 8.97 | 3.10 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 8.72 | 8.87 | -1.11 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 8.81 | 8.87 | -1.11 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 8.86 | 8.83 | -0.45 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 8.86 | 9.10 | 3.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 8.94 | 9.06 | -0.44 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 8.97 | 9.06 | -0.44 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 8.99 | 9.36 | 3.31 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 9.09 | 9.03 | -3.53 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 9.13 | 9.05 | 0.22 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 9.12 | 9.09 | 0.44 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 9.12 | 9.05 | -0.44 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 9.12 | 9.05 | -0.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 9.07 | 9.13 | 0.88 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 9.08 | 9.31 | 1.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 9.10 | 9.31 | 1.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 9.10 | 9.31 | 1.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 9.14 | 9.45 | 1.50 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 9.21 | 9.32 | -1.38 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 9.26 | 9.18 | -1.50 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 9.26 | 9.13 | -0.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 9.23 | 9.11 | 1.67 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 9.20 | 8.88 | -2.52 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 9.08 | 9.00 | 1.35 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 9.01 | 8.88 | -1.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 8.98 | 8.88 | -1.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 8.99 | 8.88 | -1.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 8.94 | 8.51 | -4.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 8.87 | 8.72 | 2.47 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 8.82 | 8.68 | -0.46 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 8.77 | 8.68 | -0.46 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 8.71 | 8.92 | 2.53 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 8.72 | 8.96 | 0.45 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 8.73 | 8.71 | 1.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 8.73 | 8.59 | -1.38 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 8.70 | 8.72 | 1.51 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 8.70 | 8.59 | -1.49 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 8.63 | 8.23 | -4.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 8.57 | 8.41 | 2.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 8.51 | 8.55 | 1.66 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 8.50 | 8.61 | 0.70 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 8.48 | 8.63 | 0.23 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 8.47 | 9.39 | 9.95 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 8.70 | 9.56 | 1.81 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 8.92 | 9.74 | 1.88 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 9.16 | 9.69 | -0.51 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 9.37 | 9.80 | 1.14 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 9.60 | 9.80 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 9.66 | 9.80 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 9.71 | 9.99 | 1.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 9.73 | 9.99 | 1.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 9.79 | 10.05 | 0.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 9.87 | 10.15 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 9.96 | 10.17 | 0.20 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 10.03 | 9.16 | -9.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 9.90 | 8.58 | -6.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 9.62 | 8.36 | -2.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 9.33 | 8.36 | -2.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 8.97 | 8.43 | 0.84 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 8.63 | 8.40 | -0.36 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 8.48 | 8.46 | 0.71 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 8.44 | 8.40 | -0.71 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 8.41 | 8.31 | -1.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 8.41 | 8.34 | -0.12 | ❌ | 0.60 |