Toplam Tahmin
803
Doğru
500
Yanlış
303
Başarı Oranı
%62.27
DENGE - Denge Holding
Tahmin ID: #128117 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 2.3900 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 2.4300 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.38
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 2.4322 TL | %0.09 |
| 20.07.2026 | 2.4345 TL | %0.09 |
| 21.07.2026 | 2.4373 TL | %0.12 |
| 22.07.2026 | 2.4400 TL | %0.11 |
| 23.07.2026 | 2.4392 TL | %-0.03 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Gün | %49.64 | %5.58 | 137 |
| 1 Gün | %54.35 | %4.08 | 138 |
| 3 Gün | %41.61 | %7.56 | 137 |
| 5 Gün | %32.84 | %7.91 | 134 |
| 4 Gün | %37.04 | %7.79 | 135 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 7.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 2.00 | -5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 2.00 | -33.33 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 2.80 | 2.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 2.60 | 2.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 2.40 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 2.20 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 8.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | -4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 6.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 50.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 2.20 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 2.40 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 2.60 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 2.80 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 2.80 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 2.60 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 2.40 | 2.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 2.20 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.62 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.62 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 2.01 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 2.12 | 2.55 | 27.50 | ✅ | 0.62 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 2.25 | 2.67 | 4.71 | ✅ | 0.62 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 2.36 | 2.53 | -1.56 | ❌ | 0.62 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 2.48 | 2.53 | -1.56 | ❌ | 0.62 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 2.58 | 2.53 | -1.56 | ✅ | 0.62 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 2.58 | 2.58 | 1.98 | ✅ | 0.62 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 2.55 | 2.58 | 1.98 | ✅ | 0.62 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 2.55 | 2.58 | 1.98 | ✅ | 0.62 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 3.76 | 2.50 | -71.16 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 3.75 | 2.45 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 3.74 | 2.49 | 0.81 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 3.73 | 2.47 | -0.80 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 3.71 | 2.42 | -2.02 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 2.47 | 2.35 | -2.89 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 2.45 | 2.32 | -1.28 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 2.43 | 2.29 | -1.29 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 2.39 | 2.26 | -1.31 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 2.35 | 2.23 | -1.33 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 2.32 | 2.23 | -1.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 2.31 | 2.23 | -1.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 2.29 | 2.23 | -1.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 2.28 | 2.23 | -1.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 2.28 | 2.23 | -1.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 2.27 | 2.27 | 1.79 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 2.27 | 2.39 | 5.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 2.30 | 2.50 | 4.60 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 2.35 | 2.43 | -2.80 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 2.38 | 2.45 | 0.82 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 2.42 | 2.34 | -4.49 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 2.43 | 2.41 | 2.99 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 2.43 | 2.40 | -0.41 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 2.41 | 2.44 | 1.67 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 2.41 | 2.39 | -2.05 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 2.41 | 2.39 | -2.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 2.42 | 2.44 | 2.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 2.42 | 2.49 | 2.05 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 2.44 | 2.53 | 1.61 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 2.45 | 2.60 | 2.77 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 2.49 | 2.70 | 3.85 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 2.53 | 2.70 | 3.85 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 2.58 | 2.61 | -3.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 2.60 | 2.66 | 1.92 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 2.63 | 2.67 | 0.38 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 2.64 | 2.67 | 0.38 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 2.66 | 2.64 | -1.12 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 2.65 | 2.55 | -3.41 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 2.64 | 2.54 | -0.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 2.61 | 2.53 | -0.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 2.59 | 2.51 | -0.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 2.56 | 2.51 | -0.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 2.54 | 2.54 | 1.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 2.53 | 2.57 | 1.18 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 2.53 | 2.57 | 1.18 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 2.53 | 2.57 | 1.18 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 2.54 | 2.63 | 2.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 2.56 | 2.68 | 1.90 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 2.59 | 2.68 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 2.62 | 2.59 | -3.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 2.62 | 2.53 | 0.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 2.61 | 2.46 | -2.77 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 2.58 | 2.41 | -2.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 2.52 | 2.35 | -2.49 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 2.47 | 2.35 | -2.49 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 2.45 | 2.35 | -2.49 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 2.41 | 2.21 | -5.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 2.35 | 2.27 | 2.71 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 2.33 | 2.32 | 2.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 2.30 | 2.32 | 2.20 | ❌ | 0.53 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 2.28 | 2.33 | 0.87 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 2.28 | 2.36 | 1.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 2.30 | 2.32 | -0.85 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 2.31 | 2.29 | -1.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 2.32 | 2.28 | -0.44 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 2.31 | 2.16 | -5.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 2.28 | 2.13 | -1.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 2.24 | 2.17 | 1.88 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 2.21 | 2.25 | 3.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 2.20 | 2.47 | 9.78 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 2.24 | 2.54 | 2.83 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 2.32 | 2.48 | -4.62 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 2.39 | 2.45 | -1.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 2.45 | 2.40 | -2.04 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 2.48 | 2.50 | 4.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 2.49 | 2.63 | 5.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 2.47 | 2.50 | -4.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 2.47 | 2.50 | -4.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 2.48 | 2.44 | -2.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 2.50 | 2.44 | -2.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 2.49 | 2.43 | -0.41 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 2.48 | 2.39 | -1.65 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 2.45 | 2.50 | 4.60 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 2.45 | 2.51 | 0.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 2.45 | 2.47 | -1.59 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 2.46 | 2.50 | 1.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 2.47 | 2.50 | 1.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 2.49 | 2.58 | 3.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 2.51 | 2.47 | -4.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 2.50 | 2.47 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 2.50 | 2.58 | 4.45 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 2.52 | 2.49 | -3.49 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 2.51 | 2.43 | -0.41 | ❌ | 0.60 |