Toplam Tahmin

813

Doğru

449

Yanlış

364

Başarı Oranı

%55.23

CRFSA - Carrefoursa

Tahmin ID: #128109 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026

Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 155.4000 TL

Temel Veriler
  • Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 151.6000 TL
  • Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
  • 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.12
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
Gün Tahmin Fiyatı %Getiri
17.07.2026 151.6762 TL %0.05
20.07.2026 151.7233 TL %0.03
21.07.2026 151.7878 TL %0.04
22.07.2026 151.7624 TL %-0.02
23.07.2026 151.7750 TL %0.01
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu

📊 Model Başarı Performansı

Vade Başarı Yüzdesi Ort. Hata Yüzdesi Toplam Tahmin
1 Gün %43.88 %2.84 139
3 Gün %32.61 %4.92 138
2 Gün %41.30 %4.09 138
4 Gün %25.74 %5.54 136
5 Gün %25.19 %6.22 135
Tahmin; yönü doğruysa ve hata %5'in altındaysa başarılı kabul edilir.
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması

📊 Model Başarı Performansı

Tarih Gün Tahmin Gerçek Getiri % Yön Güven
29.12.2025 1 120.00 116.00 -3.00 ✅ 0.00
29.12.2025 1 120.00 116.00 -4.13 ✅ 0.00
30.12.2025 1 117.67 117.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
30.12.2025 1 116.50 117.00 0.86 ❌ 0.00
31.12.2025 1 116.40 115.00 -1.00 ✅ 0.00
31.12.2025 1 115.60 115.00 -1.71 ✅ 0.00
02.01.2026 1 116.00 116.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
02.01.2026 1 117.80 116.00 0.87 ✅ 0.00
07.01.2026 1 118.80 116.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
07.01.2026 1 119.20 116.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
08.01.2026 1 119.40 113.00 -2.00 ❌ 0.00
08.01.2026 1 118.40 113.00 -2.59 ❌ 0.00
09.01.2026 1 116.80 112.00 -1.00 ❌ 0.00
09.01.2026 1 116.00 112.00 -0.89 ❌ 0.00
12.01.2026 1 115.00 116.00 3.00 ✅ 0.00
12.01.2026 1 114.20 116.00 3.57 ✅ 0.00
13.01.2026 1 114.20 117.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
13.01.2026 1 114.80 117.00 0.86 ✅ 0.00
14.01.2026 1 115.60 123.00 4.00 ✅ 0.00
14.01.2026 1 116.60 123.00 5.13 ✅ 0.00
19.01.2026 1 118.80 132.00 6.00 ❌ 0.00
19.01.2026 1 120.20 132.00 5.60 ❌ 0.00
21.01.2026 1 122.80 135.00 4.00 ✅ 0.00
21.01.2026 1 125.20 135.00 3.85 ✅ 0.00
22.01.2026 1 128.60 133.00 -1.00 ❌ 0.00
22.01.2026 1 130.80 133.00 -1.48 ❌ 0.00
23.01.2026 1 132.60 132.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
23.01.2026 1 133.20 132.00 -0.75 ❌ 0.00
26.01.2026 1 133.60 134.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
26.01.2026 1 133.00 134.00 1.52 ✅ 0.00
27.01.2026 1 132.80 126.00 -5.00 ❌ 0.00
27.01.2026 1 133.00 126.00 -5.97 ❌ 0.00
28.01.2026 1 131.60 125.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
28.01.2026 1 130.40 125.00 -0.79 ❌ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 129.20 128.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 127.60 128.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 126.00 128.00 2.40 ✅ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 126.00 128.00 2.40 ✅ 0.00
30.01.2026 1 126.40 125.00 -1.00 ❌ 0.00
30.01.2026 1 126.80 125.00 -2.34 ❌ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 126.60 132.00 5.00 ✅ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 126.40 132.00 5.00 ❌ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 126.20 132.00 5.60 ✅ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 125.60 132.00 5.60 ✅ 0.00
03.02.2026 1 126.40 132.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
03.02.2026 1 127.80 132.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
04.02.2026 1 129.20 132.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
04.02.2026 1 130.60 132.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
05.02.2026 1 132.00 129.00 -2.00 ✅ 0.00
05.02.2026 1 132.00 129.00 -2.27 ❌ 0.00
06.02.2026 1 131.40 126.00 -2.00 ❌ 0.00
06.02.2026 1 130.80 126.00 -2.33 ❌ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 129.40 131.00 4.00 ❌ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 128.00 131.00 4.00 ❌ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 126.60 131.00 3.97 ❌ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 125.80 131.00 3.97 ❌ 0.00
10.02.2026 1 126.20 139.00 5.00 ✅ 0.00
10.02.2026 1 127.40 139.00 6.11 ✅ 0.00
13.02.2026 1 129.80 138.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
13.02.2026 1 132.20 138.00 0.73 ✅ 0.00
16.02.2026 1 134.60 137.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
16.02.2026 1 135.80 137.00 -0.72 ✅ 0.00
17.02.2026 1 137.00 138.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
17.02.2026 1 137.00 138.00 0.73 ✅ 0.00
20.02.2026 1 137.00 138.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
20.02.2026 1 137.00 138.00 0.73 ✅ 0.00
24.02.2026 1 136.00 134.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
24.02.2026 1 135.00 134.00 1.52 ✅ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 134.40 132.00 -1.00 ✅ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 133.80 132.00 -1.49 ❌ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 132.81 132.00 -1.49 ✅ 0.62
26.02.2026 1 132.61 131.00 -0.76 ✅ 0.62
27.02.2026 1 132.42 131.00 0.00 ✅ 0.62
02.03.2026 1 130.84 126.00 -3.82 ✅ 0.61
03.03.2026 1 128.46 122.00 -3.17 ✅ 0.62
04.03.2026 1 125.99 119.50 -2.05 ✅ 0.62
05.03.2026 1 124.83 125.00 4.60 ✅ 0.62
09.03.2026 1 122.99 124.70 2.55 ✅ 0.62
09.03.2026 1 122.14 124.70 2.55 ✅ 0.62
09.03.2026 1 122.71 124.70 2.55 ✅ 0.62
10.03.2026 1 123.76 127.70 2.41 ✅ 0.62
10.03.2026 1 123.71 127.70 2.41 ✅ 0.62
10.03.2026 1 124.93 127.70 2.41 ✅ 0.62
13.03.2026 1 126.20 123.40 -3.74 ✅ 0.62
16.03.2026 1 125.87 121.50 -1.54 ✅ 0.61
18.03.2026 1 125.51 121.90 -0.97 ❌ 0.62
19.03.2026 1 124.92 122.40 0.41 ✅ 0.59
23.03.2026 1 123.70 118.80 -2.94 ✅ 0.63
24.03.2026 1 121.82 116.60 -1.85 ✅ 0.63
25.03.2026 1 120.49 117.60 0.86 ✅ 0.63
26.03.2026 1 119.38 118.80 1.02 ✅ 0.60
27.03.2026 1 118.74 120.50 1.43 ✅ 0.57
28.03.2026 1 118.50 119.80 -0.58 ❌ 0.60
28.03.2026 1 118.86 119.80 -0.58 ❌ 0.57
28.03.2026 1 119.65 119.80 -0.58 ❌ 0.60
29.03.2026 1 120.25 119.80 -0.58 ❌ 0.60
29.03.2026 1 120.59 119.80 -0.58 ❌ 0.60
30.03.2026 1 120.57 119.80 -0.58 ✅ 0.60
31.03.2026 1 120.42 125.00 4.34 ✅ 0.60
01.04.2026 1 121.28 123.00 -1.60 ✅ 0.60
02.04.2026 1 121.75 123.10 0.08 ❌ 0.60
03.04.2026 1 122.27 121.00 -1.71 ❌ 0.60
06.04.2026 1 122.36 133.10 10.00 ❌ 0.60
07.04.2026 1 125.01 146.40 9.99 ❌ 0.60
08.04.2026 1 129.28 157.00 7.24 ❌ 0.60
09.04.2026 1 136.07 158.40 0.89 ❌ 0.60
10.04.2026 1 143.06 154.20 -2.65 ✅ 0.60
12.04.2026 1 149.66 166.60 8.04 ❌ 0.60
13.04.2026 1 153.85 166.60 8.04 ❌ 0.60
14.04.2026 1 157.90 165.00 -0.96 ✅ 0.60
15.04.2026 1 159.59 165.50 0.30 ✅ 0.60
16.04.2026 1 161.06 182.00 9.97 ❌ 0.60
17.04.2026 1 166.74 192.00 5.49 ✅ 0.60
20.04.2026 1 174.26 172.80 -10.00 ✅ 0.60
20.04.2026 1 179.29 172.80 -10.00 ✅ 0.60
21.04.2026 1 180.78 155.60 -9.95 ❌ 0.60
22.04.2026 1 178.87 152.10 -2.25 ❌ 0.60
23.04.2026 1 172.80 148.30 -2.50 ✅ 0.60
24.04.2026 1 164.92 148.30 -2.50 ❌ 0.60
27.04.2026 1 156.30 142.30 -4.05 ❌ 0.60
28.04.2026 1 150.25 138.00 -3.02 ❌ 0.60
29.04.2026 1 146.72 136.00 -1.45 ❌ 0.60
30.04.2026 1 143.51 140.30 3.16 ✅ 0.60
01.05.2026 1 141.12 145.00 3.35 ❌ 0.60
04.05.2026 1 139.45 145.00 3.35 ❌ 0.60
05.05.2026 1 138.99 147.00 1.38 ❌ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 140.75 147.00 0.00 ❌ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 141.61 147.00 0.00 ❌ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 141.63 147.00 0.00 ❌ 0.60
07.05.2026 1 142.95 146.20 -0.54 ✅ 0.60
08.05.2026 1 144.05 146.20 0.00 ❌ 0.60
11.05.2026 1 143.94 152.20 4.10 ✅ 0.60
12.05.2026 1 146.37 148.60 -2.37 ❌ 0.60
14.05.2026 1 148.01 142.00 -0.14 ❌ 0.60
15.05.2026 1 147.07 134.50 -5.28 ❌ 0.60
18.05.2026 1 144.79 142.70 6.10 ❌ 0.60
19.05.2026 1 144.06 136.90 -4.06 ✅ 0.60
19.05.2026 1 142.25 136.90 -4.06 ❌ 0.60
20.05.2026 1 141.08 136.90 -4.06 ❌ 0.60
21.05.2026 1 140.03 123.30 -9.93 ✅ 0.60
22.05.2026 1 137.70 127.90 3.73 ❌ 0.60
23.05.2026 1 134.73 130.60 2.11 ❌ 0.60
24.05.2026 1 131.65 130.60 2.11 ✅ 0.49
01.06.2026 1 129.05 127.10 -1.93 ❌ 0.60
02.06.2026 1 127.12 127.40 0.24 ✅ 0.60
04.06.2026 1 128.14 126.80 -0.86 ✅ 0.60
05.06.2026 1 127.91 136.00 7.26 ❌ 0.60
08.06.2026 1 129.50 145.00 6.62 ❌ 0.60
09.06.2026 1 132.47 152.80 5.38 ❌ 0.60
10.06.2026 1 137.57 149.20 -2.36 ✅ 0.60
11.06.2026 1 141.84 152.40 2.14 ❌ 0.60
12.06.2026 1 146.98 147.90 -2.95 ❌ 0.60
15.06.2026 1 149.37 149.80 1.28 ✅ 0.60
16.06.2026 1 150.42 154.90 3.40 ❌ 0.60
18.06.2026 1 150.50 159.00 3.92 ✅ 0.60
19.06.2026 1 152.46 158.00 -0.63 ✅ 0.60
22.06.2026 1 153.56 157.50 -0.32 ✅ 0.60
23.06.2026 1 155.46 158.90 0.89 ❌ 0.60
24.06.2026 1 157.27 152.50 -4.03 ✅ 0.60
25.06.2026 1 158.41 151.10 -0.92 ❌ 0.60
25.06.2026 1 158.40 151.10 -0.92 ❌ 0.60
26.06.2026 1 157.03 148.80 -1.52 ❌ 0.60
26.06.2026 1 155.75 148.80 -1.52 ✅ 0.60
29.06.2026 1 153.78 150.40 1.08 ✅ 0.60
30.06.2026 1 152.11 148.50 -1.26 ❌ 0.60
01.07.2026 1 150.05 153.60 3.43 ✅ 0.60
02.07.2026 1 150.53 148.90 -3.06 ✅ 0.60
03.07.2026 1 150.12 151.50 1.75 ✅ 0.60
06.07.2026 1 150.63 149.50 -1.32 ❌ 0.60
06.07.2026 1 150.82 149.50 -1.32 ✅ 0.60
07.07.2026 1 150.99 151.20 1.14 ❌ 0.60
08.07.2026 1 150.50 144.10 -4.70 ✅ 0.60
09.07.2026 1 150.93 138.40 -3.96 ❌ 0.60
10.07.2026 1 148.30 139.80 1.01 ❌ 0.60
13.07.2026 1 145.98 137.70 -1.50 ❌ 0.60
16.07.2026 1 143.95 151.60 8.99 ✅ 0.60