Toplam Tahmin

813

Doğru

468

Yanlış

345

Başarı Oranı

%57.56

CRDFA - Creditwest Faktoring

Tahmin ID: #128108 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026

Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 40.4800 TL

Temel Veriler
  • Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 40.6000 TL
  • Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
  • 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.41
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
Gün Tahmin Fiyatı %Getiri
17.07.2026 40.5951 TL %-0.01
20.07.2026 40.5663 TL %-0.07
21.07.2026 40.5268 TL %-0.10
22.07.2026 40.4873 TL %-0.10
23.07.2026 40.4341 TL %-0.13
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu

📊 Model Başarı Performansı

Vade Başarı Yüzdesi Ort. Hata Yüzdesi Toplam Tahmin
1 Gün %51.08 %4.45 139
5 Gün %29.63 %21.90 135
3 Gün %32.61 %16.90 138
2 Gün %36.96 %14.42 138
4 Gün %29.93 %20.54 137
Tahmin; yönü doğruysa ve hata %5'in altındaysa başarılı kabul edilir.
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması

📊 Model Başarı Performansı

Tarih Gün Tahmin Gerçek Getiri % Yön Güven
29.12.2025 1 60.00 62.00 -4.00 ✅ 0.00
29.12.2025 1 60.00 62.00 -4.62 ✅ 0.00
30.12.2025 1 59.00 63.00 2.00 ❌ 0.00
30.12.2025 1 58.50 63.00 1.61 ❌ 0.00
31.12.2025 1 59.20 64.00 1.00 ❌ 0.00
31.12.2025 1 59.60 64.00 1.59 ❌ 0.00
02.01.2026 1 60.20 64.00 -1.00 ✅ 0.00
02.01.2026 1 61.40 64.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
07.01.2026 1 63.20 64.00 -1.00 ❌ 0.00
07.01.2026 1 64.00 64.00 -1.54 ❌ 0.00
08.01.2026 1 64.60 64.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
08.01.2026 1 65.00 64.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
09.01.2026 1 65.40 63.00 -1.00 ❌ 0.00
09.01.2026 1 65.20 63.00 -1.56 ❌ 0.00
12.01.2026 1 64.80 66.00 4.00 ✅ 0.00
12.01.2026 1 64.60 66.00 4.76 ✅ 0.00
13.01.2026 1 65.00 65.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
13.01.2026 1 65.40 65.00 -1.52 ❌ 0.00
14.01.2026 1 65.60 63.00 -3.00 ❌ 0.00
14.01.2026 1 66.00 63.00 -3.08 ❌ 0.00
19.01.2026 1 66.40 64.00 -3.00 ❌ 0.00
19.01.2026 1 66.20 64.00 -3.03 ❌ 0.00
21.01.2026 1 65.20 62.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
21.01.2026 1 64.40 62.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
22.01.2026 1 63.60 63.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
22.01.2026 1 62.80 63.00 1.61 ✅ 0.00
23.01.2026 1 62.20 69.00 9.00 ✅ 0.00
23.01.2026 1 62.40 69.00 9.52 ✅ 0.00
26.01.2026 1 63.80 73.00 5.00 ✅ 0.00
26.01.2026 1 65.20 73.00 5.80 ✅ 0.00
27.01.2026 1 67.40 71.00 -3.00 ✅ 0.00
27.01.2026 1 69.40 71.00 -2.74 ❌ 0.00
28.01.2026 1 71.00 71.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
28.01.2026 1 71.40 71.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 71.80 72.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 71.40 72.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 71.00 72.00 1.41 ✅ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 71.00 72.00 1.41 ✅ 0.00
30.01.2026 1 71.20 69.00 -2.00 ❌ 0.00
30.01.2026 1 71.40 69.00 -4.17 ❌ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 71.20 68.00 -2.00 ❌ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 70.80 68.00 -2.00 ❌ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 70.40 68.00 -1.45 ❌ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 70.00 68.00 -1.45 ❌ 0.00
03.02.2026 1 69.20 67.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
03.02.2026 1 68.80 67.00 -1.47 ❌ 0.00
04.02.2026 1 68.40 65.00 -3.00 ❌ 0.00
04.02.2026 1 68.00 65.00 -2.99 ❌ 0.00
05.02.2026 1 67.00 67.00 3.00 ✅ 0.00
05.02.2026 1 66.40 67.00 3.08 ✅ 0.00
06.02.2026 1 66.20 73.00 8.00 ❌ 0.00
06.02.2026 1 66.20 73.00 8.96 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 67.40 75.00 2.00 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 69.00 75.00 2.00 ❌ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 70.60 75.00 2.74 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 71.80 75.00 2.74 ✅ 0.00
10.02.2026 1 73.20 75.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
10.02.2026 1 73.40 75.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
13.02.2026 1 73.40 73.00 -1.00 ✅ 0.00
13.02.2026 1 73.40 73.00 -1.35 ✅ 0.00
16.02.2026 1 73.20 72.00 -1.00 ✅ 0.00
16.02.2026 1 72.80 72.00 -1.37 ✅ 0.00
17.02.2026 1 72.20 71.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
17.02.2026 1 71.80 71.00 -1.39 ✅ 0.00
20.02.2026 1 71.60 76.00 4.00 ✅ 0.00
20.02.2026 1 71.60 76.00 5.56 ✅ 0.00
24.02.2026 1 72.40 74.00 -3.00 ❌ 0.00
24.02.2026 1 73.40 74.00 -2.63 ❌ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 74.00 74.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 74.40 74.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 74.80 74.00 0.00 ✅ 0.45
26.02.2026 1 74.41 74.00 0.00 ✅ 0.45
27.02.2026 1 74.21 75.00 1.35 ✅ 0.45
02.03.2026 1 73.24 69.00 -8.00 ✅ 0.45
03.03.2026 1 72.48 70.00 1.45 ✅ 0.45
04.03.2026 1 72.06 71.70 2.43 ✅ 0.45
05.03.2026 1 72.50 76.00 6.00 ✅ 0.45
09.03.2026 1 72.82 74.00 -3.14 ❌ 0.45
09.03.2026 1 74.32 74.00 -3.14 ❌ 0.45
09.03.2026 1 75.13 74.00 -3.14 ✅ 0.45
10.03.2026 1 75.60 76.15 2.91 ✅ 0.45
10.03.2026 1 75.20 76.15 2.91 ✅ 0.45
10.03.2026 1 75.15 76.15 2.91 ✅ 0.45
13.03.2026 1 74.91 76.45 1.39 ✅ 0.45
16.03.2026 1 75.38 74.70 -2.29 ❌ 0.45
18.03.2026 1 75.64 80.00 5.96 ✅ 0.45
19.03.2026 1 76.79 85.10 6.38 ❌ 0.49
23.03.2026 1 77.51 83.40 -2.00 ✅ 0.48
24.03.2026 1 79.09 82.30 -1.32 ✅ 0.48
25.03.2026 1 80.22 81.55 -0.91 ✅ 0.45
26.03.2026 1 81.41 79.35 -2.70 ✅ 0.45
27.03.2026 1 81.27 82.50 3.97 ❌ 0.45
28.03.2026 1 81.77 80.75 -2.12 ❌ 0.60
28.03.2026 1 81.60 80.75 -2.12 ❌ 0.45
28.03.2026 1 81.65 80.75 -2.12 ❌ 0.60
29.03.2026 1 81.87 80.75 -2.12 ❌ 0.60
29.03.2026 1 82.53 80.75 -2.12 ❌ 0.60
30.03.2026 1 82.54 80.75 -2.12 ❌ 0.60
31.03.2026 1 82.18 27.00 -66.56 ✅ 0.60
01.04.2026 1 71.07 26.16 -3.11 ✅ 0.60
02.04.2026 1 59.79 26.00 -0.61 ✅ 0.60
03.04.2026 1 48.45 25.70 -1.15 ✅ 0.60
06.04.2026 1 37.08 25.60 -0.39 ✅ 0.60
07.04.2026 1 26.06 26.00 1.56 ✅ 0.60
08.04.2026 1 25.80 26.16 0.62 ❌ 0.60
09.04.2026 1 25.82 26.40 0.92 ✅ 0.60
10.04.2026 1 25.95 29.02 9.92 ✅ 0.60
12.04.2026 1 26.65 29.92 3.10 ✅ 0.60
13.04.2026 1 27.35 29.92 3.10 ✅ 0.60
14.04.2026 1 28.21 29.32 -2.01 ❌ 0.60
15.04.2026 1 28.87 29.56 0.82 ✅ 0.60
16.04.2026 1 29.48 29.94 1.29 ✅ 0.60
17.04.2026 1 29.65 30.54 2.00 ✅ 0.60
20.04.2026 1 29.96 30.70 0.52 ✅ 0.60
20.04.2026 1 30.09 30.70 0.52 ✅ 0.60
21.04.2026 1 30.35 30.06 -2.08 ❌ 0.60
22.04.2026 1 30.45 30.16 0.33 ✅ 0.60
23.04.2026 1 30.49 32.00 6.10 ✅ 0.60
24.04.2026 1 30.39 32.00 6.10 ✅ 0.60
27.04.2026 1 30.67 32.96 3.00 ✅ 0.60
28.04.2026 1 31.11 32.38 -1.76 ❌ 0.60
29.04.2026 1 31.57 32.36 -0.06 ❌ 0.60
30.04.2026 1 32.01 32.16 -0.62 ❌ 0.60
01.05.2026 1 32.41 31.50 -2.05 ❌ 0.60
04.05.2026 1 32.43 31.50 -2.05 ❌ 0.60
05.05.2026 1 32.27 30.72 -2.48 ❌ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 32.22 30.58 -0.46 ❌ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 31.87 30.58 -0.46 ✅ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 31.87 30.58 -0.46 ❌ 0.60
07.05.2026 1 31.57 29.88 -2.29 ❌ 0.60
08.05.2026 1 31.12 30.34 1.54 ✅ 0.60
11.05.2026 1 30.76 30.20 -0.46 ❌ 0.60
12.05.2026 1 30.67 32.50 7.62 ✅ 0.60
14.05.2026 1 30.96 35.50 5.91 ✅ 0.60
15.05.2026 1 31.93 37.52 5.69 ✅ 0.60
18.05.2026 1 33.45 37.86 0.91 ❌ 0.60
19.05.2026 1 34.92 37.00 -2.27 ✅ 0.60
19.05.2026 1 36.45 37.00 -2.27 ✅ 0.60
20.05.2026 1 37.30 37.00 -2.27 ❌ 0.60
21.05.2026 1 37.62 34.92 -5.62 ❌ 0.60
22.05.2026 1 37.11 35.72 2.29 ✅ 0.60
01.06.2026 1 36.19 36.34 -3.09 ✅ 0.60
02.06.2026 1 36.03 37.44 3.03 ❌ 0.60
04.06.2026 1 36.44 37.44 1.19 ✅ 0.60
05.06.2026 1 37.44 37.06 -1.02 ❌ 0.60
08.06.2026 1 37.47 36.96 -0.27 ✅ 0.60
09.06.2026 1 37.49 38.20 3.36 ✅ 0.60
10.06.2026 1 38.00 40.06 4.87 ✅ 0.60
11.06.2026 1 38.60 41.88 4.54 ❌ 0.60
12.06.2026 1 38.79 41.50 -0.91 ✅ 0.60
15.06.2026 1 39.84 41.00 -1.20 ✅ 0.60
16.06.2026 1 40.55 41.20 0.49 ✅ 0.60
18.06.2026 1 40.97 40.98 0.64 ✅ 0.60
19.06.2026 1 41.20 40.64 -0.83 ❌ 0.60
22.06.2026 1 41.01 38.32 -5.71 ❌ 0.60
23.06.2026 1 40.50 40.58 5.90 ✅ 0.60
24.06.2026 1 40.40 39.20 -3.40 ❌ 0.60
25.06.2026 1 40.36 39.30 0.26 ✅ 0.60
25.06.2026 1 40.28 39.30 0.26 ✅ 0.60
26.06.2026 1 40.01 37.50 -4.58 ❌ 0.60
26.06.2026 1 40.19 37.50 -4.58 ❌ 0.60
29.06.2026 1 39.56 36.70 -2.13 ✅ 0.60
30.06.2026 1 38.74 37.66 2.62 ❌ 0.60
01.07.2026 1 38.11 36.76 -2.39 ✅ 0.60
02.07.2026 1 37.58 36.88 0.33 ✅ 0.60
03.07.2026 1 37.08 36.70 -0.49 ❌ 0.60
06.07.2026 1 36.94 37.14 1.20 ✅ 0.60
06.07.2026 1 36.95 37.14 1.20 ❌ 0.60
07.07.2026 1 36.85 37.50 0.97 ❌ 0.60
08.07.2026 1 36.92 36.12 -3.68 ✅ 0.60
09.07.2026 1 36.76 37.00 2.44 ❌ 0.60
10.07.2026 1 36.79 36.50 -1.35 ✅ 0.60
13.07.2026 1 36.86 37.10 1.64 ✅ 0.60
16.07.2026 1 36.93 40.60 8.44 ✅ 0.60