Toplam Tahmin
813
Doğru
438
Yanlış
375
Başarı Oranı
%53.87
CMENT - Çimentaş
Tahmin ID: #128105 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 291.0000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 300.0000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.04
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 299.9413 TL | %-0.02 |
| 20.07.2026 | 299.9235 TL | %-0.01 |
| 21.07.2026 | 299.9086 TL | %0.00 |
| 22.07.2026 | 300.0997 TL | %0.06 |
| 23.07.2026 | 300.1061 TL | %0.00 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Gün | %47.83 | %3.29 | 138 |
| 4 Gün | %47.79 | %4.08 | 136 |
| 3 Gün | %43.48 | %92.26 | 138 |
| 1 Gün | %43.88 | %20.17 | 139 |
| 5 Gün | %41.48 | %22.52 | 135 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 317.00 | 332.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 317.00 | 332.00 | 3.11 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 328.00 | 325.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 333.50 | 325.00 | -2.11 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 329.00 | 344.00 | 5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 327.80 | 344.00 | 5.85 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 336.40 | 349.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 338.40 | 349.00 | 1.45 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 335.80 | 329.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 341.00 | 329.00 | -1.50 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 345.00 | 326.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 339.20 | 326.00 | -0.91 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 333.00 | 340.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 331.40 | 340.00 | 4.29 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 332.40 | 348.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 334.60 | 348.00 | 2.35 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 338.60 | 349.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 343.00 | 349.00 | 0.29 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 347.40 | 343.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 349.20 | 343.00 | -1.72 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 347.20 | 337.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 343.40 | 337.00 | 1.20 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 339.20 | 324.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 335.00 | 324.00 | -2.11 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 329.40 | 327.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 327.60 | 327.00 | 0.93 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 326.60 | 327.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 326.00 | 327.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 325.20 | 326.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 325.80 | 326.00 | -0.31 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 326.40 | 321.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 326.20 | 321.00 | -1.53 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 325.00 | 322.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 324.00 | 322.00 | 0.31 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 323.00 | 325.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 322.00 | 325.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 321.00 | 325.00 | 0.93 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 321.00 | 325.00 | 0.93 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 321.80 | 331.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 322.60 | 331.00 | 1.85 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 324.60 | 336.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 326.80 | 336.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 329.00 | 336.00 | 1.51 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 330.20 | 336.00 | 1.51 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 332.40 | 353.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 333.40 | 353.00 | 5.06 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 337.40 | 364.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 341.40 | 364.00 | 3.12 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 347.80 | 344.00 | -5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 353.20 | 344.00 | -5.49 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 354.60 | 344.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 352.80 | 344.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 351.20 | 359.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 347.40 | 359.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 343.60 | 359.00 | 4.36 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 343.80 | 359.00 | 4.36 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 347.00 | 364.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 350.00 | 364.00 | 1.39 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 351.60 | 371.00 | 5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 353.20 | 371.00 | 5.10 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 358.60 | 386.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 361.00 | 386.00 | 4.04 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 366.40 | 354.00 | -8.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 373.20 | 354.00 | -8.29 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 372.80 | 355.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 368.60 | 355.00 | 1.43 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 365.40 | 350.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 359.20 | 350.00 | -1.41 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 352.00 | 343.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 352.00 | 343.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 350.58 | 343.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 347.76 | 341.00 | -0.58 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 343.97 | 336.00 | -1.47 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 337.41 | 317.00 | -5.65 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 331.48 | 320.00 | 0.95 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 326.98 | 320.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 323.52 | 323.25 | 1.02 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 319.46 | 310.00 | -1.74 | ❌ | 0.70 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 319.16 | 310.00 | -1.74 | ❌ | 0.70 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 317.20 | 310.00 | -1.74 | ✅ | 0.69 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 315.23 | 325.00 | 4.84 | ✅ | 0.69 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 312.61 | 325.00 | 4.84 | ✅ | 0.69 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 314.56 | 325.00 | 4.84 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 321.04 | 344.00 | -1.15 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 327.75 | 334.00 | -2.91 | ❌ | 0.66 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 334.59 | 339.00 | -1.45 | ❌ | 0.69 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 340.27 | 339.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.70 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 343.00 | 330.50 | -2.51 | ❌ | 0.70 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 339.53 | 330.25 | -0.08 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 336.90 | 330.00 | -0.08 | ❌ | 0.67 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 334.06 | 323.50 | -1.97 | ❌ | 0.67 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 332.30 | 315.00 | -2.63 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 327.52 | 321.25 | 1.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 324.42 | 321.25 | 1.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 321.29 | 321.25 | 1.98 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 318.23 | 321.25 | 1.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 315.24 | 321.25 | 1.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 315.17 | 321.25 | 1.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 316.39 | 320.50 | -0.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 317.47 | 321.75 | 0.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 318.83 | 321.00 | -0.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 320.09 | 322.25 | 0.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 321.48 | 330.00 | 2.41 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 323.16 | 325.25 | -1.44 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 324.00 | 331.25 | 1.84 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 325.85 | 325.50 | -1.74 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 326.71 | 325.50 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 327.47 | 320.00 | -1.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 326.65 | 320.00 | -1.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 325.69 | 328.25 | 2.58 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 325.09 | 331.75 | 1.07 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 326.34 | 330.00 | -0.53 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 327.20 | 339.25 | 2.80 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 329.90 | 332.25 | -2.06 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 333.76 | 332.25 | -2.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 334.55 | 329.00 | -0.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 333.94 | 341.25 | 3.72 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 336.20 | 334.25 | -2.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 336.59 | 334.25 | -2.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 335.57 | 328.50 | -1.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 334.82 | 320.75 | -2.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 333.17 | 319.50 | -0.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 328.85 | 319.50 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 324.55 | 319.50 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 321.65 | 319.50 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 319.91 | 318.00 | -0.47 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 258.02 | 326.00 | 2497.61 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 259.31 | 321.50 | -1.38 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 259.88 | 324.50 | 0.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 260.80 | 318.50 | -1.85 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 260.53 | 316.25 | 0.48 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 321.10 | 312.00 | -1.34 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 318.14 | 305.00 | -2.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 314.53 | 301.50 | -1.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 310.96 | 301.50 | -1.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 308.15 | 301.50 | -1.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 305.35 | 294.75 | -2.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 301.97 | 304.75 | 3.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 302.19 | 299.00 | -1.89 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 301.80 | 299.00 | -1.89 | ✅ | 0.54 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 302.72 | 304.00 | -1.62 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 303.19 | 301.00 | -0.99 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 304.73 | 300.00 | -0.74 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 303.80 | 297.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 302.33 | 293.25 | -1.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 299.21 | 295.00 | 0.60 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 297.48 | 293.00 | -0.68 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 295.66 | 288.00 | -1.71 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 293.30 | 289.50 | 0.52 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 291.74 | 281.75 | -2.68 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 289.47 | 289.00 | 2.57 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 287.47 | 290.25 | 1.84 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 286.90 | 288.00 | -0.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 286.90 | 290.25 | 0.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 287.03 | 287.50 | -0.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 288.11 | 282.00 | -1.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 288.58 | 279.50 | -0.89 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 287.97 | 279.50 | -0.89 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 286.27 | 286.00 | 2.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 284.15 | 286.00 | 2.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 283.86 | 279.25 | -2.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 282.24 | 274.50 | -1.70 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 279.67 | 301.75 | 9.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 284.09 | 296.25 | -1.82 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 287.45 | 322.00 | 8.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 294.62 | 304.25 | -5.51 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 303.10 | 304.25 | -5.51 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 309.01 | 299.75 | -1.48 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 308.68 | 286.25 | -4.50 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 306.73 | 287.25 | 0.35 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 299.84 | 296.25 | 3.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 294.77 | 303.75 | 2.53 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 292.96 | 300.00 | 1.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |