Toplam Tahmin
809
Doğru
412
Yanlış
397
Başarı Oranı
%50.93
CMBTN - Çimbeton
Tahmin ID: #128104 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 1,617.0000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 1,583.0000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.12
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 16.07.2026 | 1,582.2948 TL | %-0.04 |
| 17.07.2026 | 1,582.3481 TL | %0.00 |
| 20.07.2026 | 1,581.6934 TL | %-0.04 |
| 21.07.2026 | 1,581.4969 TL | %-0.01 |
| 22.07.2026 | 1,581.0903 TL | %-0.03 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Gün | %35.56 | %26.40 | 135 |
| 3 Gün | %34.06 | %109.05 | 138 |
| 2 Gün | %40.58 | %3.15 | 138 |
| 4 Gün | %40.44 | %4.06 | 136 |
| 1 Gün | %39.13 | %22.91 | 138 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 2005.00 | 1921.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 2005.00 | 1921.00 | -3.13 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 2003.33 | 1918.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 2002.50 | 1918.00 | -0.16 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 2010.80 | 1945.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 2018.60 | 1945.00 | 1.41 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 2036.00 | 1952.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 2054.40 | 1952.00 | 0.36 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 2043.20 | 1960.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 2023.20 | 1960.00 | 1.66 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 2009.60 | 1927.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 1986.40 | 1927.00 | -1.68 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 1956.80 | 1916.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 1956.80 | 1916.00 | -0.57 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 1954.00 | 1903.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 1944.80 | 1903.00 | -0.68 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 1933.20 | 1923.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 1928.00 | 1923.00 | 1.05 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 1926.60 | 1912.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 1928.00 | 1912.00 | -0.57 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 1927.60 | 1969.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 1929.60 | 1969.00 | 1.92 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 1933.60 | 1910.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 1933.80 | 1910.00 | -1.55 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 1928.60 | 1943.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 1925.20 | 1943.00 | 1.73 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 1927.60 | 1934.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 1928.00 | 1934.00 | -0.46 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 1928.00 | 1950.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 1933.40 | 1950.00 | 0.83 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 1941.40 | 1918.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 1943.60 | 1918.00 | -1.64 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 1939.20 | 1947.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 1935.20 | 1947.00 | 1.51 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 1937.60 | 1940.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 1937.40 | 1940.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 1937.20 | 1940.00 | -0.36 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 1943.60 | 1940.00 | -0.36 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 1947.80 | 1913.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 1945.60 | 1913.00 | -1.39 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 1938.00 | 1897.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 1930.80 | 1897.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 1923.60 | 1897.00 | -0.84 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 1918.20 | 1897.00 | -0.84 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 1910.20 | 1899.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 1907.60 | 1899.00 | 0.11 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 1904.80 | 1899.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 1902.00 | 1899.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 1899.40 | 1885.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 1899.40 | 1885.00 | -0.74 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 1896.80 | 1906.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 1894.00 | 1906.00 | 1.11 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 1895.80 | 1971.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 1896.60 | 1971.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 1898.60 | 1971.00 | 3.41 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 1902.00 | 1971.00 | 3.41 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 1917.60 | 1980.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 1928.60 | 1980.00 | 0.46 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 1943.00 | 1996.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 1956.20 | 1996.00 | 1.01 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 1974.00 | 2073.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 1979.60 | 2073.00 | 3.86 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 2000.60 | 2104.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 2019.40 | 2104.00 | 1.50 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 2008.60 | 1933.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 1994.40 | 1933.00 | 0.73 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 1981.40 | 1900.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 1953.00 | 1900.00 | -1.25 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 1917.20 | 1887.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 1911.00 | 1887.00 | -0.68 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 1904.24 | 1887.00 | -0.68 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 1895.97 | 1885.00 | -0.11 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 1881.55 | 1854.00 | -1.64 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 1856.20 | 1763.00 | -4.91 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 1813.20 | 1675.00 | -4.99 | ✅ | 0.73 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 1773.79 | 1690.00 | 0.90 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 1751.94 | 1776.00 | 5.09 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 1729.13 | 1700.00 | -2.30 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 1724.65 | 1700.00 | -2.30 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 1729.85 | 1700.00 | -2.30 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 1732.04 | 1743.00 | 2.53 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 1716.96 | 1743.00 | 2.53 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 1717.72 | 1743.00 | 2.53 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 1712.89 | 1699.00 | -0.99 | ❌ | 0.69 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 1713.09 | 1719.00 | 1.18 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 1718.15 | 1713.00 | -0.46 | ❌ | 0.70 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 1720.82 | 1721.00 | 0.47 | ✅ | 0.69 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 1715.01 | 1723.00 | 0.12 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 1716.29 | 1714.00 | -0.52 | ❌ | 0.66 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 1719.10 | 1704.00 | -0.58 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 1714.75 | 1693.00 | -0.65 | ❌ | 0.69 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 1710.50 | 1665.00 | -1.65 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 1700.07 | 1664.00 | -0.06 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 1688.15 | 1664.00 | -0.06 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 1677.62 | 1664.00 | -0.06 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 1669.81 | 1664.00 | -0.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 1664.28 | 1664.00 | -0.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 1664.41 | 1664.00 | -0.06 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 1664.59 | 1664.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 1664.57 | 1679.00 | 0.90 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 1667.25 | 1663.00 | -0.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 1666.50 | 1710.00 | 2.83 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 1676.12 | 1691.00 | -1.11 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 1681.38 | 1686.00 | -0.30 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 1685.94 | 1725.00 | 2.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 1694.94 | 1711.00 | -0.81 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 1704.49 | 1725.00 | 0.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 1707.10 | 1696.00 | -1.68 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 1713.77 | 1696.00 | -1.68 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 1716.12 | 1730.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 1717.16 | 1793.00 | 3.64 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 1733.96 | 1805.00 | 0.67 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 1750.08 | 1901.00 | 5.32 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 1785.07 | 1875.00 | -1.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 1825.43 | 1875.00 | -1.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 1854.48 | 1859.00 | -0.85 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 1867.47 | 1880.00 | 1.13 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 1882.32 | 1850.00 | -1.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 1878.66 | 1850.00 | -1.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 1868.71 | 1828.00 | -1.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 1859.68 | 1785.00 | -2.35 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 1845.23 | 1770.00 | -0.84 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 1823.58 | 1761.00 | -0.51 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 1799.95 | 1726.00 | -1.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 1782.05 | 1726.00 | -1.99 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 1768.53 | 1711.00 | -0.87 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 1411.13 | 1756.00 | 2904.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 1408.90 | 1735.00 | -1.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 1403.37 | 1745.00 | 0.58 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 1399.71 | 1713.00 | -1.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 1399.77 | 1705.00 | 0.59 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 1729.78 | 1682.00 | -1.35 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 1716.14 | 1641.00 | -2.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 1697.73 | 1585.00 | -3.41 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 1677.35 | 1585.00 | -3.41 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 1662.80 | 1585.00 | -3.41 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 1638.83 | 1523.00 | -3.91 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 1605.82 | 1580.00 | 3.74 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 1593.51 | 1605.00 | 1.58 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 1581.07 | 1605.00 | 1.58 | ❌ | 0.49 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 1573.25 | 1614.00 | 0.75 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 1578.12 | 1632.00 | 1.12 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 1598.53 | 1610.00 | -0.49 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 1604.58 | 1596.00 | -0.87 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 1607.99 | 1577.00 | -1.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 1602.97 | 1555.00 | -1.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 1591.30 | 1526.00 | -1.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 1572.60 | 1506.00 | -1.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 1551.82 | 1511.00 | 0.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 1534.68 | 1546.00 | 2.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 1528.59 | 1530.00 | -1.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 1519.46 | 1533.00 | 1.52 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 1520.82 | 1518.00 | -0.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 1522.87 | 1516.00 | -0.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 1523.86 | 1520.00 | 0.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 1518.67 | 1508.00 | -0.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 1520.68 | 1501.00 | -0.46 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 1518.07 | 1501.00 | -0.46 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 1514.92 | 1563.00 | 4.13 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 1511.89 | 1563.00 | 4.13 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 1520.22 | 1619.00 | 3.58 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 1539.90 | 1590.00 | -1.79 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 1553.71 | 1749.00 | 10.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 1603.07 | 1709.00 | -2.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 1644.30 | 1879.00 | 9.95 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 1707.22 | 1812.00 | -3.57 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 1758.88 | 1812.00 | -3.57 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 1803.70 | 1701.00 | -6.13 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 1794.31 | 1710.00 | 0.53 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 1793.12 | 1635.00 | -4.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 1760.26 | 1628.00 | -0.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 1712.33 | 1595.00 | -2.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |