Toplam Tahmin
813
Doğru
456
Yanlış
357
Başarı Oranı
%56.09
CASA - Casa Emtia Petrol Kim.Tür.AŞ
Tahmin ID: #128093 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 75.2000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 73.0000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.17
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 72.9925 TL | %-0.01 |
| 20.07.2026 | 72.9747 TL | %-0.02 |
| 21.07.2026 | 72.9210 TL | %-0.07 |
| 22.07.2026 | 72.8953 TL | %-0.04 |
| 23.07.2026 | 72.8730 TL | %-0.03 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Gün | %47.79 | %4.23 | 136 |
| 1 Gün | %36.69 | %12.72 | 139 |
| 3 Gün | %40.58 | %55.87 | 138 |
| 5 Gün | %47.41 | %15.34 | 135 |
| 2 Gün | %30.43 | %3.61 | 138 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 109.00 | 106.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 109.00 | 106.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 104.33 | 109.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 102.00 | 109.00 | 2.83 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 101.20 | 106.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 99.00 | 106.00 | -2.75 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 97.40 | 107.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 98.60 | 107.00 | 0.94 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 100.00 | 104.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 100.80 | 104.00 | 1.96 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 102.20 | 115.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 103.00 | 115.00 | 10.58 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 105.80 | 114.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 108.40 | 114.00 | -0.87 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 110.80 | 108.00 | -5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 112.60 | 108.00 | -5.26 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 113.20 | 107.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 111.80 | 107.00 | -0.93 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 110.20 | 105.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 108.80 | 105.00 | -1.87 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 108.60 | 113.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 109.60 | 113.00 | -0.88 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 110.60 | 110.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 111.80 | 110.00 | -2.65 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 112.40 | 110.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 111.80 | 110.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 111.20 | 108.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 110.60 | 108.00 | -1.82 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 109.80 | 106.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 109.60 | 106.00 | -1.85 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 108.80 | 104.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 108.00 | 104.00 | -1.89 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 106.80 | 106.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 105.80 | 106.00 | 1.92 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 105.20 | 102.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 105.20 | 102.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 105.20 | 102.00 | -3.77 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 105.60 | 102.00 | -3.77 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 105.20 | 103.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 104.40 | 103.00 | 0.98 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 103.80 | 105.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 103.20 | 105.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 102.60 | 105.00 | 1.94 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 102.80 | 105.00 | 1.94 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 103.40 | 104.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 103.80 | 104.00 | -0.95 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 104.00 | 101.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 104.20 | 101.00 | -2.88 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 103.80 | 100.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 103.00 | 100.00 | -0.99 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 102.00 | 99.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 101.20 | 99.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 100.20 | 102.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 99.80 | 102.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 99.40 | 102.00 | 3.03 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 99.20 | 102.00 | 3.03 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 99.60 | 100.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 100.20 | 100.00 | -1.96 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 100.20 | 99.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 100.20 | 99.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 100.20 | 103.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 99.60 | 103.00 | 4.04 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 99.80 | 104.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 100.60 | 104.00 | 0.97 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 100.80 | 103.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 101.00 | 103.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 101.40 | 102.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 101.00 | 102.00 | 0.99 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 100.80 | 99.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 101.20 | 99.00 | -2.94 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 101.00 | 99.00 | -2.94 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 100.21 | 97.00 | -2.02 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 99.81 | 99.00 | 2.06 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 99.81 | 102.00 | 3.03 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 99.22 | 99.00 | -2.94 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 99.30 | 99.40 | 0.40 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 99.65 | 98.70 | -0.70 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 99.61 | 98.70 | -0.05 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 98.97 | 98.70 | -0.05 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 98.93 | 98.70 | -0.05 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 98.80 | 97.95 | -0.76 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 98.80 | 97.95 | -0.76 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 98.64 | 97.95 | -0.76 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 98.29 | 95.85 | -1.19 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 97.73 | 94.00 | -1.93 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 96.98 | 95.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.56 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 96.24 | 93.85 | -1.21 | ❌ | 0.66 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 95.62 | 92.50 | -1.44 | ❌ | 0.74 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 94.72 | 91.90 | -0.65 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 93.90 | 91.30 | -0.65 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 93.16 | 91.30 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.73 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 92.41 | 89.90 | -1.53 | ❌ | 0.74 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 91.39 | 90.10 | 0.22 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 90.86 | 90.10 | 0.22 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 90.45 | 90.10 | 0.22 | ❌ | 0.75 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 90.17 | 90.10 | 0.22 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 89.89 | 90.10 | 0.22 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 89.89 | 90.10 | 0.22 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 89.93 | 92.10 | 2.22 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 90.38 | 91.95 | -0.16 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 90.78 | 88.50 | -3.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 90.49 | 88.10 | -0.45 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 90.11 | 88.00 | -0.11 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 89.68 | 90.70 | 3.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 89.40 | 99.65 | 9.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 90.95 | 93.70 | -5.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 91.98 | 93.90 | 0.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 93.15 | 97.00 | 3.30 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 94.32 | 97.00 | 3.30 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 95.54 | 98.00 | 1.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 95.19 | 101.70 | 3.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 96.82 | 101.70 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 98.36 | 98.90 | -2.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 99.37 | 96.00 | -2.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 99.76 | 96.00 | -2.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 99.39 | 96.05 | 0.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 98.26 | 94.00 | -2.13 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 96.73 | 98.05 | 4.31 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 95.79 | 98.05 | 4.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 95.64 | 98.20 | 0.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 96.07 | 98.00 | -0.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 96.45 | 99.00 | 1.02 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 97.44 | 95.95 | -3.08 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 97.81 | 94.05 | -1.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 97.39 | 94.05 | -1.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 96.94 | 93.10 | -1.01 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 77.44 | 99.70 | 1495.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 78.19 | 96.60 | -3.11 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 78.33 | 95.95 | -0.67 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 78.85 | 92.00 | -4.12 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 78.20 | 91.20 | -1.51 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 95.18 | 93.85 | 2.91 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 94.05 | 91.50 | -2.50 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 93.06 | 92.05 | 0.60 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 92.16 | 92.05 | 0.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 91.96 | 92.05 | 0.60 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 92.08 | 88.60 | -3.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 91.01 | 91.00 | 2.71 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 90.88 | 88.60 | -2.64 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 90.81 | 88.60 | -2.64 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 90.14 | 88.50 | 0.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 89.48 | 88.80 | 0.34 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 89.49 | 87.20 | -1.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 88.72 | 84.20 | -3.44 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 87.35 | 80.00 | -4.99 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 85.71 | 80.95 | 1.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 84.20 | 79.00 | -2.41 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 82.29 | 79.05 | 0.06 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 80.67 | 82.00 | 3.73 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 80.23 | 82.95 | 1.16 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 80.80 | 81.50 | -1.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 80.79 | 79.90 | -1.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 80.95 | 80.95 | 1.31 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 81.31 | 80.00 | -1.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 80.92 | 79.00 | -1.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 80.14 | 77.95 | -1.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 79.75 | 77.75 | -0.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 79.56 | 77.75 | -0.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 78.92 | 77.10 | -0.84 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 78.47 | 77.10 | -0.84 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 78.09 | 76.00 | -1.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 77.48 | 75.65 | -0.46 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 76.83 | 77.55 | 2.51 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 76.79 | 75.55 | -2.58 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 76.36 | 79.45 | 5.16 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 76.82 | 82.40 | 3.71 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 77.51 | 82.40 | 3.71 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 78.84 | 74.20 | -9.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 79.81 | 72.00 | -2.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 79.11 | 70.90 | -1.53 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 77.41 | 70.90 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 75.71 | 68.00 | -4.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 73.45 | 73.00 | 2.82 | ✅ | 0.60 |