Toplam Tahmin
813
Doğru
423
Yanlış
390
Başarı Oranı
%52.03
BVSAN - Bülbüloğlu Vinç
Tahmin ID: #128090 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 119.8000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 123.2000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.06
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 123.1050 TL | %-0.08 |
| 20.07.2026 | 123.0757 TL | %-0.02 |
| 21.07.2026 | 123.0683 TL | %-0.01 |
| 22.07.2026 | 123.0832 TL | %0.01 |
| 23.07.2026 | 123.1209 TL | %0.03 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Gün | %29.71 | %3.50 | 138 |
| 1 Gün | %35.25 | %3.96 | 139 |
| 4 Gün | %28.26 | %4.44 | 138 |
| 5 Gün | %30.83 | %6.39 | 133 |
| 3 Gün | %34.78 | %9.45 | 138 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 103.00 | 97.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 103.00 | 97.00 | -3.96 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 102.33 | 100.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 102.00 | 100.00 | 3.09 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 101.60 | 101.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 101.00 | 101.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 100.60 | 103.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 100.60 | 103.00 | 1.98 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 100.80 | 100.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 101.20 | 100.00 | -1.96 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 101.20 | 101.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 101.00 | 101.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 101.00 | 102.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 100.80 | 102.00 | 0.99 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 100.80 | 100.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 101.20 | 100.00 | -1.96 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 101.20 | 103.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 101.00 | 103.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 101.40 | 107.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 101.60 | 107.00 | 3.88 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 102.00 | 113.00 | 8.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 102.80 | 113.00 | 8.65 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 105.20 | 117.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 107.00 | 117.00 | 4.46 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 109.80 | 129.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 112.40 | 129.00 | 10.26 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 117.40 | 129.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 120.80 | 129.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 124.20 | 125.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 126.60 | 125.00 | -3.10 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 128.20 | 122.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 127.40 | 122.00 | -2.40 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 126.00 | 118.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 124.60 | 118.00 | -3.28 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 122.40 | 116.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 121.00 | 116.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 119.60 | 116.00 | -1.69 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 118.80 | 116.00 | -1.69 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 117.80 | 116.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 117.60 | 116.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 117.40 | 113.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 117.20 | 113.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 117.00 | 113.00 | -2.59 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 117.00 | 113.00 | -2.59 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 116.20 | 114.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 115.40 | 114.00 | 0.89 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 114.80 | 115.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 114.20 | 115.00 | 0.88 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 113.80 | 113.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 114.20 | 113.00 | -1.74 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 114.20 | 114.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 114.00 | 114.00 | 0.89 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 114.00 | 119.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 113.80 | 119.00 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 113.60 | 119.00 | 4.39 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 113.80 | 119.00 | 4.39 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 115.00 | 116.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 116.00 | 116.00 | -2.52 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 116.60 | 120.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 117.20 | 120.00 | 2.56 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 118.40 | 123.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 118.60 | 123.00 | 2.50 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 119.40 | 124.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 120.60 | 124.00 | 0.81 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 119.80 | 114.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 118.40 | 114.00 | 0.89 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 117.20 | 113.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 115.40 | 113.00 | -0.88 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 113.40 | 108.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 113.40 | 108.00 | -4.42 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 112.41 | 108.00 | -4.42 | ✅ | 0.73 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 111.02 | 107.00 | -0.93 | ✅ | 0.73 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 110.23 | 110.00 | 2.80 | ✅ | 0.73 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 108.45 | 104.00 | -5.45 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 106.86 | 105.00 | 0.96 | ✅ | 0.73 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 106.41 | 105.70 | 0.67 | ✅ | 0.73 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 106.54 | 107.60 | 1.80 | ✅ | 0.73 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 105.64 | 104.30 | -1.04 | ❌ | 0.73 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 105.93 | 104.30 | -1.04 | ❌ | 0.73 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 105.80 | 104.30 | -1.04 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 105.54 | 108.40 | 3.93 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 104.88 | 108.40 | 3.93 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 105.48 | 108.40 | 3.93 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 106.35 | 107.10 | -2.55 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 106.96 | 104.40 | -2.52 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 107.41 | 105.80 | -1.12 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 107.68 | 105.90 | 0.09 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 107.18 | 106.40 | 0.47 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 106.49 | 105.00 | -1.32 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 105.99 | 107.00 | 1.90 | ❌ | 0.69 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 106.07 | 108.80 | 1.68 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 106.67 | 106.30 | -2.30 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 106.75 | 104.20 | -1.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 106.74 | 104.20 | -1.98 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 107.02 | 104.20 | -1.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 106.85 | 104.20 | -1.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 106.35 | 104.20 | -1.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 106.33 | 104.20 | -1.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 105.90 | 105.60 | 1.34 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 105.75 | 107.80 | 2.08 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 106.05 | 107.50 | -0.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 106.30 | 110.40 | 2.70 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 107.11 | 111.60 | 1.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 108.57 | 106.70 | -4.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 108.78 | 110.30 | 3.37 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 109.27 | 110.80 | 0.45 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 109.91 | 113.50 | 2.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 110.54 | 111.20 | -2.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 110.93 | 111.20 | -2.03 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 111.83 | 112.00 | 0.72 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 112.17 | 113.90 | 1.70 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 112.79 | 112.00 | -1.67 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 112.48 | 115.20 | 2.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 112.19 | 114.20 | -0.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 112.34 | 114.20 | -0.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 112.78 | 115.20 | 0.88 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 113.04 | 111.70 | -3.04 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 113.00 | 112.20 | 0.45 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 112.94 | 112.20 | 0.45 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 113.00 | 116.90 | 4.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 113.55 | 120.80 | 3.34 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 114.67 | 117.20 | -2.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 115.74 | 118.60 | 1.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 117.11 | 116.70 | -1.60 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 118.37 | 116.70 | -1.60 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 118.69 | 118.50 | 1.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 103.91 | 136.90 | 200.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 107.59 | 150.50 | 9.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 113.95 | 146.50 | -2.66 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 119.44 | 135.40 | -7.58 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 123.50 | 152.50 | 9.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 144.69 | 137.30 | -9.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 144.81 | 129.50 | -5.68 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 140.63 | 124.90 | -3.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 137.37 | 124.90 | -3.55 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 135.46 | 124.90 | -3.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 130.14 | 117.00 | -6.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 126.16 | 123.30 | 5.38 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 125.06 | 127.70 | 3.57 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 123.76 | 127.70 | 3.57 | ❌ | 0.49 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 122.92 | 125.40 | 0.32 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 122.98 | 132.50 | 5.66 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 124.82 | 125.00 | -1.57 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 125.02 | 121.90 | -2.48 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 124.76 | 121.70 | -0.16 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 124.05 | 117.90 | -3.12 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 122.63 | 119.60 | 1.44 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 121.20 | 119.30 | -0.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 120.15 | 127.00 | 6.45 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 121.17 | 132.00 | 3.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 123.22 | 129.30 | -2.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 124.94 | 124.50 | -1.81 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 125.88 | 123.20 | -1.04 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 126.59 | 123.80 | 0.49 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 125.97 | 121.70 | -1.70 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 123.97 | 120.80 | -0.74 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 123.02 | 118.90 | -1.57 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 122.48 | 118.90 | -1.57 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 121.65 | 117.70 | -1.01 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 120.67 | 117.70 | -1.01 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 119.87 | 118.60 | 0.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 119.25 | 117.50 | -0.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 118.40 | 117.60 | 0.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 118.11 | 117.80 | 0.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 117.88 | 117.30 | -0.42 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 117.79 | 115.70 | -1.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 117.48 | 115.70 | -1.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 117.11 | 121.20 | 4.75 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 117.83 | 116.00 | -4.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 118.51 | 118.30 | 1.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 118.71 | 121.30 | 2.54 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 119.51 | 125.40 | 3.38 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 120.97 | 123.20 | 0.16 | ❌ | 0.60 |