Toplam Tahmin
813
Doğru
408
Yanlış
405
Başarı Oranı
%50.18
BURCE - Burçelik
Tahmin ID: #128088 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 40.3400 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 41.3600 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.12
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 41.3387 TL | %-0.05 |
| 20.07.2026 | 41.3248 TL | %-0.03 |
| 21.07.2026 | 41.3191 TL | %-0.01 |
| 22.07.2026 | 41.3144 TL | %-0.01 |
| 23.07.2026 | 41.3102 TL | %-0.01 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Gün | %24.64 | %8.17 | 138 |
| 5 Gün | %17.78 | %9.94 | 135 |
| 2 Gün | %26.81 | %6.03 | 138 |
| 1 Gün | %33.09 | %4.22 | 139 |
| 4 Gün | %25.74 | %8.72 | 136 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 54.00 | 57.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 54.00 | 57.00 | -3.39 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 54.67 | 54.00 | -5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 55.00 | 54.00 | -5.26 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 55.00 | 57.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 55.20 | 57.00 | 5.56 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 55.20 | 59.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 54.80 | 59.00 | 3.51 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 57.80 | 64.00 | -8.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 61.00 | 64.00 | -7.25 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 63.00 | 70.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 65.20 | 70.00 | 9.38 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 68.80 | 77.00 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 69.00 | 77.00 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 70.60 | 80.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 73.40 | 80.00 | 3.90 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 77.00 | 78.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 79.20 | 78.00 | -2.50 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 80.80 | 73.00 | -6.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 81.00 | 73.00 | -6.41 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 78.80 | 63.00 | -7.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 75.80 | 63.00 | -7.35 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 71.40 | 59.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 67.60 | 59.00 | -3.28 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 63.40 | 62.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 61.60 | 62.00 | 5.08 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 60.40 | 60.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 60.60 | 60.00 | -3.23 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 60.40 | 54.00 | -9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 60.60 | 54.00 | -10.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 59.60 | 55.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 58.00 | 55.00 | 1.85 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 56.60 | 52.00 | -5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 55.60 | 52.00 | -5.45 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 54.00 | 58.00 | 9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 53.60 | 58.00 | 9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 53.20 | 58.00 | 11.54 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 52.60 | 58.00 | 11.54 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 53.00 | 63.00 | 10.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 54.00 | 63.00 | 8.62 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 56.20 | 70.00 | 9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 58.40 | 70.00 | 9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 60.60 | 70.00 | 11.11 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 61.80 | 70.00 | 11.11 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 64.20 | 65.00 | -6.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 65.40 | 65.00 | -7.14 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 65.80 | 72.00 | 10.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 66.20 | 72.00 | 10.77 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 67.80 | 71.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 68.20 | 71.00 | -1.39 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 68.40 | 65.00 | -7.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 69.40 | 65.00 | -8.45 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 69.40 | 62.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 68.20 | 62.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 67.00 | 62.00 | -4.62 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 66.00 | 62.00 | -4.62 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 64.40 | 62.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 63.80 | 62.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 62.60 | 63.00 | 6.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 61.40 | 63.00 | 6.78 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 61.00 | 60.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 61.20 | 60.00 | -4.76 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 60.80 | 59.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 61.00 | 59.00 | -1.67 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 60.40 | 56.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 59.00 | 56.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 57.40 | 55.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 56.40 | 55.00 | -1.79 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 55.40 | 53.00 | -4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 55.20 | 53.00 | -3.64 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 54.60 | 53.00 | -3.64 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 54.21 | 53.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 54.21 | 55.00 | 3.77 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 53.62 | 52.00 | -5.45 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 54.23 | 58.00 | 11.54 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 55.83 | 61.00 | 5.17 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 56.21 | 54.90 | -10.00 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 55.09 | 44.48 | -10.00 | ❌ | 0.66 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 54.56 | 44.48 | -10.00 | ❌ | 0.66 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 51.86 | 44.48 | -10.00 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 48.57 | 41.24 | -7.28 | ❌ | 0.66 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 46.49 | 41.24 | -7.28 | ❌ | 0.66 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 44.87 | 41.24 | -7.28 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 43.50 | 40.00 | -5.88 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 42.55 | 39.90 | -0.25 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 41.33 | 38.26 | -0.93 | ✅ | 0.57 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 40.06 | 38.48 | 0.58 | ❌ | 0.63 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 39.45 | 40.72 | 5.82 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 39.08 | 38.82 | -4.67 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 38.89 | 42.70 | 9.99 | ✅ | 0.62 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 39.73 | 45.14 | 5.71 | ❌ | 0.57 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 41.12 | 44.94 | -0.44 | ✅ | 0.46 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 42.44 | 45.72 | 1.74 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 43.28 | 45.72 | 1.74 | ❌ | 0.52 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 44.49 | 45.72 | 1.74 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 44.93 | 45.72 | 1.74 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 44.89 | 45.72 | 1.74 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 44.88 | 45.72 | 1.74 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 45.03 | 45.18 | -1.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 45.07 | 43.48 | -3.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 44.80 | 41.74 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 44.19 | 42.00 | 0.62 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 43.59 | 41.80 | -0.48 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 42.82 | 39.64 | -5.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 41.74 | 41.92 | 5.75 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 41.42 | 41.08 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 41.25 | 40.88 | -0.49 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 41.04 | 40.56 | -0.78 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 40.85 | 40.56 | -0.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 41.04 | 44.60 | 9.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 41.57 | 45.60 | 2.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 42.49 | 49.00 | 7.46 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 44.10 | 53.90 | 10.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 46.67 | 59.25 | 9.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 49.28 | 59.25 | 9.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 52.18 | 55.95 | -5.57 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 54.21 | 55.75 | -0.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 55.52 | 58.70 | 5.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 55.87 | 58.70 | 5.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 56.81 | 56.80 | -3.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 56.33 | 53.80 | -5.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 55.93 | 55.95 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 56.02 | 57.80 | 3.31 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 56.44 | 55.70 | -3.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 56.31 | 55.70 | -3.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 56.54 | 53.25 | -4.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 57.36 | 45.56 | -14.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 57.73 | 45.56 | -14.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 56.88 | 45.56 | -14.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 54.43 | 55.30 | 21.38 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 53.89 | 54.75 | -0.99 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 53.31 | 54.30 | -0.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 52.68 | 52.50 | -3.31 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 52.39 | 53.50 | 3.38 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 53.94 | 53.65 | 0.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 53.66 | 51.70 | -3.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 53.02 | 50.35 | -2.61 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 52.45 | 50.35 | -2.61 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 52.41 | 50.35 | -2.61 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 51.83 | 47.40 | -5.86 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 50.59 | 48.78 | 2.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 50.02 | 50.25 | 3.01 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 49.42 | 50.25 | 3.01 | ❌ | 0.69 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 48.83 | 46.20 | -5.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 47.99 | 46.80 | 1.30 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 47.90 | 47.72 | 1.32 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 47.68 | 46.90 | -1.72 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 47.32 | 46.92 | 0.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 46.95 | 45.34 | -3.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 46.79 | 44.00 | -2.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 46.17 | 42.64 | -3.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 45.15 | 42.04 | -1.41 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 44.18 | 46.24 | 9.99 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 44.06 | 45.00 | -2.68 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 43.86 | 43.36 | -2.34 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 43.73 | 42.94 | -0.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 43.79 | 42.50 | -1.02 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 43.88 | 42.48 | -0.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 43.12 | 41.50 | -2.31 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 42.74 | 40.44 | -2.55 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 42.57 | 40.44 | -2.55 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 42.07 | 40.18 | -0.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 41.65 | 40.18 | -0.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 41.19 | 40.00 | -0.45 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 40.69 | 43.32 | 8.30 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 40.85 | 43.50 | 0.42 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 41.46 | 41.24 | -5.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 41.62 | 41.22 | -0.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 41.82 | 40.94 | -0.68 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 42.06 | 40.94 | -0.68 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 41.59 | 40.86 | -0.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 41.07 | 39.96 | -2.20 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 40.82 | 39.60 | -0.90 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 40.51 | 40.18 | 1.46 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 40.31 | 39.92 | -0.65 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 40.29 | 41.36 | 1.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |