Toplam Tahmin
818
Doğru
441
Yanlış
377
Başarı Oranı
%53.91
BMSTL - BMS Birleşik Metal
Tahmin ID: #128070 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 46.0000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 46.2000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.33
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 46.1390 TL | %-0.13 |
| 20.07.2026 | 46.0948 TL | %-0.10 |
| 21.07.2026 | 46.1639 TL | %0.15 |
| 22.07.2026 | 46.2423 TL | %0.17 |
| 23.07.2026 | 46.3510 TL | %0.24 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Gün | %27.34 | %4.82 | 139 |
| 5 Gün | %26.47 | %10.28 | 136 |
| 1 Gün | %32.86 | %2.85 | 140 |
| 4 Gün | %31.39 | %9.36 | 137 |
| 3 Gün | %33.09 | %6.71 | 139 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 78.00 | 87.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 78.00 | 87.00 | -1.14 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 79.00 | 90.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 79.50 | 90.00 | 3.45 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 80.40 | 90.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 81.60 | 90.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 82.20 | 88.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 82.20 | 88.00 | -2.22 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 84.00 | 88.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 85.20 | 88.00 | -1.12 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 86.20 | 88.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 87.80 | 88.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 89.40 | 89.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 89.20 | 89.00 | 1.14 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 89.00 | 89.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 89.00 | 89.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 89.20 | 89.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 89.40 | 89.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 89.60 | 90.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 89.80 | 90.00 | 1.12 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 90.00 | 90.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 90.00 | 90.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 89.60 | 92.00 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 89.20 | 92.00 | 4.55 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 89.60 | 91.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 90.00 | 91.00 | -1.09 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 90.20 | 91.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 90.80 | 91.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 91.40 | 89.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 91.20 | 89.00 | -2.20 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 90.60 | 97.00 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 90.20 | 97.00 | 8.99 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 91.40 | 95.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 92.60 | 95.00 | -2.06 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 93.20 | 96.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 94.20 | 96.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 95.20 | 96.00 | 1.05 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 94.60 | 96.00 | 1.05 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 94.40 | 102.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 94.80 | 102.00 | 6.25 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 96.20 | 102.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 97.60 | 102.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 99.00 | 102.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 100.00 | 102.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 101.20 | 102.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 101.40 | 102.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 101.60 | 102.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 101.80 | 102.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 102.00 | 109.00 | 6.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 102.00 | 109.00 | 6.86 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 103.40 | 112.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 104.80 | 112.00 | 2.75 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 106.80 | 110.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 108.80 | 110.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 110.80 | 110.00 | -1.79 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 111.40 | 110.00 | -1.79 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 111.60 | 111.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 111.20 | 111.00 | 0.91 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 112.60 | 107.00 | -9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 114.00 | 107.00 | -10.08 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 113.00 | 96.00 | -9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 112.40 | 96.00 | -10.28 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 109.60 | 95.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 105.00 | 95.00 | -1.04 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 99.20 | 91.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 95.80 | 91.00 | 1.11 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 92.60 | 92.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 91.60 | 92.00 | 1.10 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 90.80 | 84.00 | -9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 91.20 | 84.00 | -8.70 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 89.96 | 84.00 | -8.70 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 87.53 | 79.00 | -5.95 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 84.10 | 74.00 | -6.33 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 79.07 | 67.00 | -9.46 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 74.24 | 68.00 | 1.49 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 70.67 | 66.10 | -2.79 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 69.10 | 71.15 | 7.64 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 69.92 | 80.05 | 2.63 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 72.13 | 80.05 | 2.63 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 74.55 | 80.05 | 2.63 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 77.34 | 83.35 | 4.12 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 79.12 | 83.35 | 4.12 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 80.19 | 83.35 | 4.12 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 81.72 | 88.50 | 3.39 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 83.51 | 87.50 | -1.13 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 85.14 | 85.55 | -2.78 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 86.27 | 85.20 | -0.41 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 86.72 | 84.35 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.47 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 86.50 | 84.75 | 0.47 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 85.68 | 84.25 | -0.59 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 84.92 | 86.60 | 2.79 | ✅ | 0.57 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 85.14 | 85.20 | -1.62 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 85.10 | 84.15 | -1.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 85.27 | 84.15 | -1.23 | ❌ | 0.47 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 85.36 | 84.15 | -1.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 85.57 | 84.15 | -1.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 85.29 | 84.15 | -1.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 85.29 | 84.15 | -1.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 85.07 | 84.50 | 0.42 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 84.92 | 85.60 | 1.30 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 84.99 | 85.25 | -0.41 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 84.97 | 85.60 | 0.41 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 85.02 | 87.00 | 1.64 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 85.64 | 84.05 | -3.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 85.49 | 88.60 | 5.41 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 86.00 | 85.80 | -3.16 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 86.04 | 86.10 | 0.35 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 86.15 | 84.65 | -1.68 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 85.86 | 84.65 | -1.68 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 86.03 | 85.30 | 0.77 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 85.42 | 83.80 | -1.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 85.12 | 83.90 | 0.12 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 84.68 | 83.90 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 84.29 | 84.00 | 0.12 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 84.16 | 84.00 | 0.12 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 83.92 | 84.75 | 0.89 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 84.09 | 84.60 | -0.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 84.22 | 84.90 | 0.35 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 84.34 | 84.90 | 0.35 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 84.52 | 84.80 | -0.12 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 84.66 | 85.65 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 84.84 | 87.95 | 2.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 85.51 | 90.50 | 2.90 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 86.70 | 90.80 | 0.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 87.83 | 90.80 | 0.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 88.98 | 85.90 | -5.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 89.00 | 84.15 | -2.04 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 89.52 | 84.15 | -2.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 89.53 | 84.15 | -2.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 88.25 | 79.90 | -5.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 86.12 | 79.80 | -0.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 84.95 | 80.30 | 0.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 82.89 | 78.65 | -2.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 80.55 | 81.05 | 3.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 80.01 | 78.45 | -3.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 79.67 | 78.60 | 0.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 79.41 | 77.50 | -1.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 79.16 | 77.50 | -1.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 79.11 | 77.50 | -1.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 78.32 | 79.65 | 2.77 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 78.65 | 80.05 | 0.50 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 78.96 | 81.10 | 1.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 79.19 | 81.10 | 1.31 | ✅ | 0.69 |
| 25.05.2026 | 1 | 79.72 | 81.10 | 1.31 | ✅ | 0.69 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 80.53 | 81.55 | -0.12 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 80.87 | 81.85 | 0.37 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 81.67 | 84.95 | 1.07 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 82.63 | 84.80 | -0.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 83.37 | 85.00 | 0.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 84.04 | 85.05 | 0.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 84.75 | 85.30 | 0.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 84.99 | 81.00 | -5.04 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 84.20 | 83.00 | 2.47 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 83.86 | 83.55 | 0.66 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 83.59 | 84.05 | 0.60 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 85.07 | 96.00 | 3.84 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 87.20 | 94.90 | -1.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 89.98 | 95.25 | 0.37 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 92.40 | 95.70 | 0.47 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 94.80 | 95.35 | -0.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 95.42 | 95.00 | -0.37 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 95.35 | 95.00 | -0.37 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 95.38 | 94.90 | -0.11 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 95.35 | 94.90 | -0.11 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 95.23 | 94.35 | -0.58 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 94.99 | 90.90 | -3.66 | ❌ | 0.60 |