Toplam Tahmin
808
Doğru
452
Yanlış
356
Başarı Oranı
%55.94
BERA - Bera Holding
Tahmin ID: #128052 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 14.8000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 15.0900 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.15
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 15.0884 TL | %-0.01 |
| 20.07.2026 | 15.0816 TL | %-0.05 |
| 21.07.2026 | 15.0885 TL | %0.05 |
| 22.07.2026 | 15.0796 TL | %-0.06 |
| 23.07.2026 | 15.0679 TL | %-0.08 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Gün | %32.12 | %5.05 | 137 |
| 2 Gün | %43.17 | %3.15 | 139 |
| 1 Gün | %36.43 | %2.12 | 140 |
| 4 Gün | %31.39 | %4.75 | 137 |
| 3 Gün | %39.57 | %3.75 | 139 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 16.00 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 16.00 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 16.33 | 18.00 | 8.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 16.50 | 18.00 | 12.50 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 16.40 | 17.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 16.40 | 17.00 | -5.56 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 16.60 | 18.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 16.60 | 18.00 | 5.88 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 16.80 | 17.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 17.20 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 17.40 | 18.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 17.40 | 18.00 | 5.88 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 17.60 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 17.60 | 17.00 | -5.56 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 17.60 | 18.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 17.80 | 18.00 | 5.88 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 18.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 17.80 | 17.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 17.60 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 17.20 | 17.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 16.80 | 17.00 | 6.25 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 16.60 | 17.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 16.60 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 16.60 | 17.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 16.80 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 17.00 | 18.00 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 17.00 | 18.00 | 5.88 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 17.20 | 19.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 17.40 | 19.00 | 5.56 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 17.80 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 18.20 | 18.00 | -5.26 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 18.40 | 18.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 18.40 | 18.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 18.40 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 18.20 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 18.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 18.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 18.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 19.00 | 7.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 19.00 | 5.56 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 18.20 | 21.00 | 7.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 18.40 | 21.00 | 10.53 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 19.00 | 20.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 19.60 | 20.00 | -4.76 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 19.80 | 19.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 19.80 | 19.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 19.80 | 20.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 19.40 | 20.00 | 5.26 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 19.20 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 19.40 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 19.20 | 18.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 19.00 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 18.80 | 17.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 18.40 | 17.00 | -5.56 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 17.80 | 17.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 17.60 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 17.40 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.65 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 17.19 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.64 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 16.99 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.65 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 16.79 | 16.00 | -5.88 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 16.59 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.65 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 16.61 | 17.07 | 6.69 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 16.91 | 18.53 | 8.55 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 17.29 | 20.18 | 6.77 | ❌ | 0.65 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 17.87 | 20.18 | 6.77 | ❌ | 0.65 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 18.70 | 20.18 | 6.77 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 19.31 | 20.90 | 3.57 | ❌ | 0.66 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 19.64 | 20.90 | 3.57 | ❌ | 0.66 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 20.03 | 20.90 | 3.57 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 20.05 | 17.60 | -7.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 19.55 | 17.50 | -0.57 | ❌ | 0.51 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 19.09 | 17.30 | -2.86 | ❌ | 0.55 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 18.53 | 17.13 | -0.98 | ❌ | 0.50 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 17.81 | 17.36 | 1.34 | ✅ | 0.52 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 17.49 | 17.14 | -1.27 | ❌ | 0.56 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 17.40 | 17.01 | -0.76 | ❌ | 0.54 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 17.25 | 16.64 | -2.18 | ❌ | 0.55 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 17.11 | 16.49 | -0.90 | ❌ | 0.49 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 16.99 | 17.10 | 3.70 | ✅ | 0.50 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 16.85 | 17.10 | 3.70 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 16.75 | 17.10 | 3.70 | ✅ | 0.50 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 16.68 | 17.10 | 3.70 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 16.68 | 17.10 | 3.70 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 16.67 | 17.10 | 3.70 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 16.67 | 17.10 | 3.70 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 16.76 | 17.25 | 0.88 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 16.88 | 17.36 | 0.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 17.02 | 17.30 | -0.35 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 17.16 | 17.05 | -1.45 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 17.24 | 17.04 | -0.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 17.21 | 16.58 | -2.70 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 17.07 | 17.64 | 6.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 17.11 | 17.39 | -1.42 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 17.12 | 17.57 | 1.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 17.22 | 17.21 | -2.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 17.33 | 17.21 | -2.05 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 17.46 | 17.36 | 0.87 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 17.41 | 17.75 | 2.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 17.48 | 17.38 | -2.08 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 17.44 | 17.56 | 1.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 17.44 | 17.62 | 0.34 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 17.51 | 17.62 | 0.34 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 17.57 | 17.22 | -2.27 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 17.46 | 17.32 | 0.58 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 17.45 | 17.09 | -1.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 17.40 | 17.09 | -1.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 17.31 | 17.00 | -0.53 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 17.19 | 16.67 | -1.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 17.09 | 16.82 | 0.90 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 16.99 | 17.05 | 1.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 16.93 | 17.11 | 0.35 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 16.93 | 17.11 | 0.35 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 16.94 | 17.35 | 1.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 17.01 | 18.00 | 3.75 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 17.06 | 18.00 | 3.75 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 17.12 | 18.00 | 3.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 17.29 | 18.20 | 1.11 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 17.52 | 17.60 | -3.30 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 17.62 | 17.80 | 1.14 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 17.78 | 17.39 | -2.30 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 17.77 | 17.12 | 1.66 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 17.61 | 16.75 | -2.16 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 17.35 | 16.43 | -1.91 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 17.13 | 16.17 | -1.58 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 16.85 | 16.17 | -1.58 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 16.69 | 16.17 | -1.58 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 16.49 | 15.42 | -4.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 16.20 | 16.63 | 7.85 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 16.23 | 17.07 | 2.65 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 16.26 | 17.07 | 2.65 | ❌ | 0.57 |
| 25.05.2026 | 1 | 16.38 | 17.07 | 2.65 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 16.54 | 17.07 | 0.35 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 16.87 | 17.18 | 0.64 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 16.93 | 17.11 | 0.88 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 17.03 | 16.74 | -2.16 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 16.97 | 16.65 | -0.54 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 16.91 | 16.43 | -1.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 16.79 | 18.06 | 9.92 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 17.01 | 17.11 | -5.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 17.20 | 17.29 | 1.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 17.30 | 18.19 | 5.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 17.60 | 18.38 | 1.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 17.88 | 18.22 | 1.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 17.91 | 17.28 | -5.16 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 17.75 | 17.04 | -1.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 17.70 | 16.66 | -2.23 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 17.40 | 16.17 | -2.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 17.17 | 16.22 | 0.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 16.87 | 16.22 | 0.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 16.66 | 16.20 | -0.12 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 16.50 | 16.20 | -0.12 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 16.41 | 16.09 | -0.68 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 16.29 | 15.94 | -0.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 16.15 | 15.99 | 0.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 16.10 | 16.06 | 0.44 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 16.07 | 16.05 | -0.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 16.05 | 15.41 | -3.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 16.04 | 15.41 | -3.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 15.93 | 15.31 | -0.65 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 15.80 | 14.95 | -2.35 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 15.65 | 14.73 | -1.47 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 15.42 | 15.00 | 1.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 15.22 | 14.60 | -2.67 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 15.07 | 15.09 | 2.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |