Toplam Tahmin
814
Doğru
530
Yanlış
284
Başarı Oranı
%65.11
BAYRK - Bayrak EBT Taban
Tahmin ID: #128050 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 4.7600 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 4.4400 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.05
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 16.07.2026 | 4.4417 TL | %0.04 |
| 17.07.2026 | 4.4417 TL | %0.00 |
| 20.07.2026 | 4.4403 TL | %-0.03 |
| 21.07.2026 | 4.4406 TL | %0.01 |
| 22.07.2026 | 4.4379 TL | %-0.06 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Gün | %53.24 | %23.19 | 139 |
| 5 Gün | %43.38 | %16.02 | 136 |
| 1 Gün | %50.71 | %19.14 | 140 |
| 4 Gün | %48.18 | %21.68 | 137 |
| 2 Gün | %52.14 | %19.55 | 140 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 13.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 11.40 | 5.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 8.20 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 4.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 4.00 | -20.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 4.80 | 5.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 4.60 | 5.00 | 25.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 4.40 | 5.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 4.20 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 4.20 | 5.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 4.40 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 4.60 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 4.80 | 4.00 | -20.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 4.80 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 4.60 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 4.40 | 4.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 4.20 | 4.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | -4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 25.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 4.20 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 4.40 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 4.60 | 4.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 4.80 | 4.00 | -20.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 4.80 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 4.60 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 4.40 | 4.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 4.20 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 4.16 | 4.76 | 19.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 4.32 | 4.79 | 0.63 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 4.42 | 4.40 | -2.44 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 4.52 | 4.40 | -2.44 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 4.60 | 4.40 | -2.44 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 4.53 | 4.50 | 2.27 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 4.45 | 4.50 | 2.27 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 4.45 | 4.50 | 2.27 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 4.45 | 4.49 | -0.22 | ❌ | 0.56 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 4.47 | 4.51 | 0.45 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 4.50 | 4.59 | 1.10 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 4.53 | 4.55 | -0.87 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 4.55 | 4.53 | -0.44 | ❌ | 0.69 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 4.55 | 4.80 | 5.96 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 4.61 | 4.84 | 0.83 | ❌ | 0.56 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 4.67 | 4.63 | -4.34 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 4.68 | 4.75 | 2.59 | ❌ | 0.70 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 4.70 | 4.72 | -0.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 4.75 | 4.72 | -0.63 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 4.74 | 4.72 | -0.63 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 4.72 | 4.72 | -0.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 4.74 | 4.72 | -0.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 4.74 | 4.72 | -0.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 4.74 | 4.72 | -0.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 4.74 | 4.61 | -2.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 4.71 | 4.74 | 2.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 4.71 | 4.66 | -1.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 4.69 | 4.65 | -0.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 4.67 | 4.67 | 0.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 4.67 | 4.51 | -3.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 4.65 | 4.59 | 1.77 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 4.61 | 4.66 | 1.53 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 4.61 | 4.68 | 0.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 4.62 | 4.62 | -1.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 4.62 | 4.62 | -1.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 4.64 | 4.73 | 2.38 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 4.67 | 4.92 | 4.02 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 4.96 | 4.77 | -0.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 4.90 | 4.77 | -0.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 4.91 | 4.78 | 0.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 4.92 | 4.60 | -3.77 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 4.86 | 4.60 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 4.85 | 4.92 | 6.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 4.94 | 4.92 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 4.96 | 4.92 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 5.02 | 4.87 | -1.02 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 5.01 | 5.14 | 4.68 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 5.03 | 5.03 | -2.14 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 5.02 | 5.08 | 0.99 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 5.02 | 5.08 | 0.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 5.03 | 5.08 | 0.99 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 5.06 | 5.10 | 0.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 5.05 | 5.61 | 10.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 5.17 | 5.55 | -1.07 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 5.28 | 5.55 | -1.07 | ✅ | 0.59 |
| 25.05.2026 | 1 | 5.38 | 5.55 | -1.07 | ✅ | 0.58 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 5.43 | 5.45 | 1.87 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 5.51 | 5.27 | -3.30 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 5.48 | 5.20 | -4.59 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 5.41 | 5.11 | -1.73 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 5.32 | 5.12 | 0.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 5.28 | 5.38 | 5.08 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 5.26 | 5.35 | -0.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 5.24 | 5.16 | -3.55 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 5.23 | 5.15 | -0.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 5.23 | 5.21 | 1.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 5.18 | 5.12 | 0.59 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 5.14 | 5.03 | -1.76 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 5.11 | 5.05 | 0.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 5.10 | 5.05 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 5.17 | 5.02 | -0.59 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 5.27 | 4.82 | -3.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 5.35 | 4.82 | -3.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 5.40 | 4.64 | -3.73 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 5.45 | 4.64 | -3.73 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 5.30 | 4.76 | 2.59 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 5.15 | 4.58 | -3.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 4.96 | 4.58 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 4.83 | 4.60 | 0.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 4.69 | 4.68 | 1.74 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 4.66 | 4.50 | -3.85 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 4.63 | 4.50 | -3.85 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 4.61 | 4.68 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 4.63 | 4.53 | -3.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 4.62 | 4.50 | -0.66 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 4.58 | 4.50 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 4.54 | 4.36 | -3.11 | ❌ | 0.60 |