Toplam Tahmin
818
Doğru
408
Yanlış
410
Başarı Oranı
%49.88
BAHKM - Bahadır Kimya
Tahmin ID: #128042 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 115.1000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 115.8000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.01
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 115.7300 TL | %-0.06 |
| 20.07.2026 | 115.7291 TL | %0.00 |
| 21.07.2026 | 115.7842 TL | %0.05 |
| 22.07.2026 | 115.8525 TL | %0.06 |
| 23.07.2026 | 115.8162 TL | %-0.03 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Gün | %29.29 | %4.79 | 140 |
| 1 Gün | %31.21 | %3.14 | 141 |
| 5 Gün | %18.25 | %7.93 | 137 |
| 3 Gün | %21.43 | %6.34 | 140 |
| 4 Gün | %21.01 | %7.38 | 138 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 62.00 | 66.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 62.00 | 66.00 | -1.49 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 62.67 | 71.00 | 8.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 63.00 | 71.00 | 7.58 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 63.20 | 68.00 | -4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 63.60 | 68.00 | -4.23 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 63.80 | 67.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 63.60 | 67.00 | -1.47 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 66.40 | 79.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 69.20 | 79.00 | 2.60 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 72.40 | 87.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 75.80 | 87.00 | 10.13 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 81.00 | 86.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 83.20 | 86.00 | -1.15 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 85.40 | 86.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 87.20 | 86.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 88.80 | 86.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 88.60 | 86.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 88.60 | 87.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 88.60 | 87.00 | 1.16 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 89.20 | 97.00 | 5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 90.00 | 97.00 | 5.43 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 92.40 | 104.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 94.60 | 104.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 97.60 | 104.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 100.00 | 104.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 102.60 | 107.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 103.60 | 107.00 | 2.88 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 105.00 | 106.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 105.60 | 106.00 | -0.93 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 106.00 | 96.00 | -9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 106.20 | 96.00 | -9.43 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 104.60 | 93.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 102.60 | 93.00 | -3.13 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 99.80 | 93.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 97.20 | 93.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 94.60 | 93.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 93.80 | 93.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 93.00 | 97.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 93.00 | 97.00 | 4.30 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 93.80 | 98.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 94.60 | 98.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 95.40 | 98.00 | 1.03 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 96.20 | 98.00 | 1.03 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 97.20 | 108.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 97.40 | 108.00 | 10.20 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 99.60 | 118.00 | 9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 101.80 | 118.00 | 9.26 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 106.00 | 125.00 | 5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 110.00 | 125.00 | 5.93 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 115.40 | 129.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 118.80 | 129.00 | 3.20 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 122.80 | 136.00 | 6.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 124.80 | 136.00 | 6.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 126.80 | 136.00 | 5.43 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 127.40 | 136.00 | 5.43 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 129.60 | 133.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 131.20 | 133.00 | -2.21 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 132.20 | 139.00 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 133.20 | 139.00 | 4.51 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 135.40 | 137.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 136.00 | 137.00 | -1.44 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 136.40 | 129.00 | -5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 137.40 | 129.00 | -5.84 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 135.00 | 120.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 131.40 | 120.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 127.40 | 113.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 123.60 | 113.00 | -4.24 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 118.60 | 109.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 117.00 | 109.00 | -3.54 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 114.59 | 109.00 | -3.54 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 113.60 | 114.00 | 4.59 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 112.40 | 113.00 | -0.88 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 112.40 | 113.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 112.60 | 114.00 | 0.89 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 114.32 | 117.60 | 3.16 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 113.78 | 111.30 | -5.36 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 113.96 | 114.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 114.15 | 114.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 114.15 | 114.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 113.43 | 114.70 | 0.61 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 113.98 | 114.70 | 0.61 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 114.16 | 114.70 | 0.61 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 115.63 | 125.40 | 3.29 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 117.83 | 114.70 | -8.53 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 120.30 | 138.70 | 9.99 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 125.23 | 143.00 | 3.10 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 130.02 | 145.70 | 1.89 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 134.91 | 142.50 | -2.20 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 138.38 | 145.80 | 2.32 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 142.21 | 133.60 | -8.37 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 141.17 | 129.30 | -3.22 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 139.27 | 129.80 | 0.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 135.99 | 129.80 | 0.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 133.39 | 129.80 | 0.39 | ✅ | 0.46 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 130.15 | 129.80 | 0.39 | ✅ | 0.46 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 129.31 | 129.80 | 0.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 129.29 | 129.80 | 0.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 129.27 | 129.80 | 0.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 129.36 | 129.90 | 0.08 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 129.39 | 142.80 | 9.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 132.05 | 142.60 | -0.14 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 134.70 | 138.80 | -2.66 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 136.53 | 139.40 | 0.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 138.41 | 139.00 | -0.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 140.27 | 140.50 | 1.08 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 139.86 | 139.20 | -0.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 139.22 | 136.90 | -1.65 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 138.94 | 133.00 | -2.85 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 138.49 | 133.00 | -2.85 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 137.38 | 126.00 | -5.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 134.49 | 126.30 | 0.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 131.91 | 122.20 | -3.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 128.98 | 121.60 | -0.49 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 125.93 | 118.50 | -2.55 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 123.65 | 118.50 | -2.55 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 122.17 | 115.50 | -2.53 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 120.03 | 113.50 | -1.73 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 118.30 | 114.10 | 0.53 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 116.70 | 114.10 | 0.53 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 115.16 | 112.70 | -1.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 113.98 | 112.30 | -0.35 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 113.32 | 123.50 | 9.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 115.25 | 120.00 | -2.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 116.49 | 132.00 | 10.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 117.62 | 132.00 | 10.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 119.06 | 124.40 | -5.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 121.43 | 123.50 | -0.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 120.75 | 123.50 | -0.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 120.78 | 123.50 | -0.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 121.55 | 122.60 | -0.73 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 122.14 | 119.10 | -2.85 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 121.12 | 119.00 | -0.08 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 120.89 | 120.10 | 0.92 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 120.27 | 118.00 | 1.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 119.02 | 119.90 | 1.61 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 118.35 | 116.50 | -2.84 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 117.83 | 113.30 | -2.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 117.35 | 113.30 | -2.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 117.27 | 113.30 | -2.75 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 116.44 | 104.30 | -7.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 113.36 | 109.00 | 4.51 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 111.87 | 111.00 | 1.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 110.36 | 111.00 | 1.83 | ❌ | 0.61 |
| 25.05.2026 | 1 | 109.23 | 111.00 | 1.83 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 108.07 | 109.50 | 1.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 109.13 | 120.40 | 9.95 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 112.67 | 127.70 | 0.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 116.44 | 122.70 | -3.92 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 118.76 | 117.00 | -4.65 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 120.66 | 112.70 | -3.68 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 121.37 | 114.00 | 1.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 118.88 | 116.80 | 2.46 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 116.74 | 114.10 | -2.31 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 115.13 | 125.50 | 9.99 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 116.86 | 129.50 | 3.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 119.61 | 122.00 | -3.71 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 121.13 | 118.50 | -2.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 121.41 | 117.80 | -0.59 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 122.09 | 115.70 | -1.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 120.16 | 112.30 | -2.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 117.98 | 111.90 | -0.36 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 116.76 | 111.90 | -0.36 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 115.47 | 112.90 | 0.89 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 114.30 | 112.90 | 0.89 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 113.74 | 113.60 | 0.62 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 113.34 | 114.30 | 0.62 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 113.03 | 115.90 | 1.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 113.81 | 115.20 | -0.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 114.44 | 116.20 | 0.87 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 115.04 | 117.00 | 0.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 115.52 | 117.00 | 0.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 116.04 | 111.80 | -4.44 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 115.22 | 110.50 | -1.16 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 114.32 | 121.50 | 9.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 115.40 | 131.70 | 8.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 118.48 | 118.60 | -9.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 118.18 | 115.80 | 0.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |