Toplam Tahmin
818
Doğru
425
Yanlış
393
Başarı Oranı
%51.96
AYDEM - Aydem Enerji
Tahmin ID: #128036 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 26.7000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 27.1400 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.05
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 27.1295 TL | %-0.04 |
| 20.07.2026 | 27.1200 TL | %-0.03 |
| 21.07.2026 | 27.1205 TL | %0.00 |
| 22.07.2026 | 27.1200 TL | %0.00 |
| 23.07.2026 | 27.1275 TL | %0.03 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Gün | %30.71 | %26.31 | 140 |
| 2 Gün | %33.57 | %22.49 | 140 |
| 1 Gün | %46.81 | %21.51 | 141 |
| 4 Gün | %28.26 | %24.38 | 138 |
| 5 Gün | %21.17 | %26.01 | 137 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 20.00 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 20.00 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 20.00 | 21.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 20.00 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 20.00 | 22.00 | 5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 20.00 | 22.00 | 4.76 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 23.00 | 5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 23.00 | 4.55 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 20.40 | 21.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 20.80 | 21.00 | -4.55 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 21.20 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 21.40 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 21.20 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 21.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 21.20 | 22.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 21.40 | 22.00 | 4.76 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 21.60 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 21.80 | 21.00 | -4.55 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 21.80 | 22.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 21.60 | 22.00 | 4.76 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 21.60 | 22.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 21.60 | 22.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 21.60 | 23.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 21.80 | 23.00 | 4.55 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 22.20 | 23.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 22.40 | 23.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 22.60 | 23.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 22.80 | 23.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 23.00 | 23.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 23.00 | 23.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 23.00 | 23.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 23.00 | 23.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 23.00 | 24.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 23.00 | 24.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 23.00 | 24.00 | 4.35 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 23.00 | 24.00 | 4.35 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 23.20 | 25.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 23.40 | 25.00 | 4.17 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 23.60 | 25.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 24.00 | 25.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 24.40 | 25.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 24.40 | 25.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 24.60 | 26.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 24.80 | 26.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 25.00 | 27.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 25.20 | 27.00 | 3.85 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 25.80 | 27.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 26.20 | 27.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 26.60 | 25.00 | -5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 26.80 | 25.00 | -7.41 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 26.60 | 26.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 26.20 | 26.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 25.80 | 26.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 25.40 | 26.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 25.20 | 26.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 25.40 | 26.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 25.60 | 26.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 25.80 | 26.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 26.00 | 26.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 26.00 | 26.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 26.00 | 26.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 26.00 | 26.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 25.80 | 26.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 25.60 | 26.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 25.40 | 25.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 25.20 | 25.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 25.00 | 25.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 25.00 | 25.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 25.00 | 25.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.70 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 25.00 | 25.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.70 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 25.00 | 25.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.70 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 24.80 | 24.00 | -4.00 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 24.60 | 24.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 24.72 | 25.58 | 6.58 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 25.15 | 27.18 | 6.25 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 25.52 | 27.94 | 4.10 | ❌ | 0.70 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 26.08 | 27.94 | 4.10 | ❌ | 0.70 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 26.86 | 27.94 | 4.10 | ✅ | 0.69 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 27.32 | 28.00 | 0.21 | ❌ | 0.69 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 27.47 | 28.00 | 0.21 | ❌ | 0.69 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 27.70 | 28.00 | 0.21 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 27.38 | 24.80 | -1.43 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 26.76 | 25.66 | 3.47 | ❌ | 0.73 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 26.38 | 26.32 | 1.23 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 26.06 | 26.82 | 1.90 | ❌ | 0.67 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 25.74 | 27.18 | 1.34 | ❌ | 0.66 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 26.12 | 26.90 | -1.03 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 26.54 | 27.50 | 2.23 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 26.83 | 27.08 | -1.53 | ✅ | 0.69 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 26.99 | 27.16 | 0.30 | ✅ | 0.69 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 27.16 | 29.86 | 9.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 27.16 | 29.86 | 9.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 27.21 | 29.86 | 9.94 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 27.15 | 29.86 | 9.94 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 27.15 | 29.86 | 9.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 27.15 | 29.86 | 9.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 27.15 | 29.86 | 9.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 27.69 | 30.84 | 3.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 28.42 | 31.00 | 0.52 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 29.18 | 32.00 | 3.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 30.14 | 31.76 | -0.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 31.04 | 31.06 | -2.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 31.27 | 31.38 | 1.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 31.38 | 31.32 | -0.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 31.45 | 30.96 | -1.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 31.26 | 30.66 | -0.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 31.07 | 30.16 | -1.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 31.00 | 30.16 | -1.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 30.77 | 29.46 | -2.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 30.41 | 29.46 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 30.11 | 29.36 | -0.34 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 29.84 | 29.48 | 0.41 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 29.61 | 29.38 | -0.34 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 29.47 | 29.38 | -0.34 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 29.46 | 29.00 | -1.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 29.37 | 28.90 | -0.34 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 29.28 | 28.68 | -0.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 29.15 | 28.68 | -0.76 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 28.99 | 28.74 | 0.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 28.85 | 27.98 | -2.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 28.65 | 28.24 | 0.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 28.51 | 29.00 | 2.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 28.53 | 29.30 | 1.03 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 28.60 | 29.30 | 1.03 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 28.65 | 28.86 | -1.50 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 27.86 | 26.52 | -4.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 27.52 | 25.30 | -4.60 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 27.00 | 25.10 | -0.79 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 26.43 | 25.10 | -0.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 26.01 | 25.10 | -0.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 25.49 | 24.10 | -3.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 25.02 | 24.62 | 2.16 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 24.90 | 25.00 | 1.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 24.76 | 25.00 | 1.54 | ❌ | 0.63 |
| 25.05.2026 | 1 | 24.68 | 25.00 | 1.54 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 24.61 | 25.64 | 3.64 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 24.92 | 27.02 | 5.38 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 25.19 | 25.60 | -1.84 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 25.39 | 25.92 | 1.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 25.57 | 26.12 | 0.77 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 25.84 | 26.04 | -0.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 25.92 | 26.02 | -0.08 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 25.92 | 25.48 | -2.08 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 25.91 | 25.22 | -1.02 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 25.77 | 25.38 | 0.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 25.63 | 25.24 | -0.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 25.38 | 25.06 | 1.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 25.19 | 25.16 | 0.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 25.12 | 26.14 | 3.90 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 25.11 | 26.50 | 1.38 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 25.34 | 25.66 | -3.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 25.67 | 25.18 | -1.87 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 25.95 | 25.18 | -1.87 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 25.95 | 24.74 | -1.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 25.95 | 24.74 | -1.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 25.60 | 25.10 | 1.46 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 25.32 | 25.12 | 0.08 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 25.05 | 25.88 | 3.03 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 25.20 | 25.98 | 0.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 25.36 | 25.98 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 25.61 | 26.22 | 0.92 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 25.79 | 26.22 | 0.92 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 26.00 | 26.64 | 1.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 26.07 | 26.00 | -2.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 26.07 | 25.68 | -1.23 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 26.02 | 26.14 | 1.79 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 26.05 | 26.10 | -0.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 26.16 | 27.14 | 1.42 | ✅ | 0.60 |