Toplam Tahmin
818
Doğru
421
Yanlış
397
Başarı Oranı
%51.47
AYCES - Altınyunus Çesme
Tahmin ID: #128035 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 507.5000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 522.5000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.04
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 522.5068 TL | %0.00 |
| 20.07.2026 | 522.4214 TL | %-0.02 |
| 21.07.2026 | 522.5938 TL | %0.03 |
| 22.07.2026 | 522.7822 TL | %0.04 |
| 23.07.2026 | 522.7202 TL | %-0.01 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Gün | %19.29 | %10.17 | 140 |
| 2 Gün | %22.14 | %5.60 | 140 |
| 1 Gün | %26.95 | %3.43 | 141 |
| 5 Gün | %19.26 | %12.19 | 135 |
| 3 Gün | %20.00 | %7.79 | 140 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 432.00 | 406.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 432.00 | 406.00 | -1.93 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 423.00 | 410.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 418.50 | 410.00 | 0.99 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 423.40 | 412.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 425.60 | 412.00 | 0.49 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 422.00 | 422.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 423.80 | 422.00 | 2.43 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 427.60 | 427.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 423.80 | 427.00 | 0.23 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 420.20 | 427.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 422.40 | 427.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 424.60 | 426.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 424.80 | 426.00 | -0.23 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 424.80 | 456.00 | 7.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 424.60 | 456.00 | 7.04 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 430.40 | 462.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 436.20 | 462.00 | 1.32 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 443.20 | 496.00 | 7.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 450.40 | 496.00 | 7.36 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 457.00 | 452.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 457.60 | 452.00 | -1.31 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 457.40 | 446.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 456.00 | 446.00 | -1.55 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 453.40 | 453.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 451.40 | 453.00 | 1.57 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 450.60 | 455.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 450.60 | 455.00 | 0.44 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 451.20 | 485.00 | 6.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 453.00 | 485.00 | 6.59 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 460.40 | 486.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 466.60 | 486.00 | 0.21 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 473.20 | 486.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 479.20 | 486.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 485.20 | 490.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 485.60 | 490.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 486.00 | 490.00 | 0.82 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 486.00 | 490.00 | 0.82 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 486.60 | 491.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 487.20 | 491.00 | 0.20 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 488.00 | 487.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 489.00 | 487.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 489.80 | 487.00 | -0.81 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 490.20 | 487.00 | -0.81 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 489.80 | 480.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 489.20 | 480.00 | -1.44 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 487.00 | 494.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 485.00 | 494.00 | 2.92 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 485.60 | 486.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 487.00 | 486.00 | -1.62 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 486.80 | 501.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 488.00 | 501.00 | 3.09 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 492.20 | 505.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 493.60 | 505.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 495.00 | 505.00 | 0.80 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 498.00 | 505.00 | 0.80 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 501.60 | 510.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 502.20 | 510.00 | 0.99 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 508.20 | 536.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 514.20 | 536.00 | 0.94 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 521.00 | 538.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 527.20 | 538.00 | 0.37 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 533.80 | 538.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 535.00 | 538.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 529.00 | 516.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 522.20 | 516.00 | 2.99 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 518.00 | 501.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 513.40 | 501.00 | -2.34 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 506.40 | 494.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 506.60 | 494.00 | -1.40 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 505.31 | 494.00 | -1.40 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 507.38 | 524.00 | 6.07 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 509.42 | 524.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 510.68 | 508.00 | -3.05 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 511.36 | 505.00 | -0.59 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 514.87 | 512.00 | 1.39 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 517.60 | 538.00 | 5.08 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 530.13 | 605.00 | 3.07 | ❌ | 0.63 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 545.84 | 605.00 | 3.07 | ❌ | 0.63 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 565.73 | 605.00 | 3.07 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 584.26 | 635.00 | 4.96 | ❌ | 0.65 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 597.63 | 635.00 | 4.96 | ❌ | 0.65 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 607.19 | 635.00 | 4.96 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 629.27 | 692.50 | -0.72 | ✅ | 0.58 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 646.79 | 750.00 | 8.30 | ❌ | 0.63 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 671.56 | 681.00 | -6.71 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 686.98 | 699.50 | 2.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 696.46 | 695.00 | -0.64 | ✅ | 0.56 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 696.01 | 717.50 | 3.24 | ❌ | 0.57 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 701.30 | 756.00 | 5.37 | ✅ | 0.55 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 706.87 | 738.00 | -2.38 | ❌ | 0.58 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 717.70 | 775.00 | 5.01 | ❌ | 0.57 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 736.30 | 805.00 | 3.87 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 752.33 | 805.00 | 3.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 763.58 | 805.00 | 3.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 767.31 | 805.00 | 3.87 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 775.02 | 805.00 | 3.87 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 774.91 | 805.00 | 3.87 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 774.79 | 805.00 | 3.87 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 780.64 | 800.00 | -0.62 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 785.47 | 844.00 | 5.50 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 799.29 | 895.00 | 6.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 822.91 | 956.00 | 6.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 859.08 | 974.00 | 1.88 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 892.98 | 948.50 | -2.62 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 922.56 | 1006.00 | 6.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 954.79 | 1069.00 | 6.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 989.88 | 1150.00 | 7.58 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 1029.14 | 1218.00 | 5.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 1064.65 | 1218.00 | 5.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 1119.27 | 1227.00 | 0.74 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 1163.51 | 1252.00 | 2.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 1200.78 | 1252.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 1221.01 | 1232.00 | -1.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 1241.78 | 1247.00 | 1.22 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 1248.32 | 1247.00 | 1.22 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 1253.39 | 1295.00 | 3.85 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 1262.36 | 1305.00 | 0.77 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 1273.75 | 1305.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 1284.03 | 1305.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 1294.81 | 1294.00 | -0.84 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 1303.17 | 1300.00 | 0.46 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 1303.33 | 1170.00 | -10.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 1275.47 | 1053.00 | -10.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 1224.85 | 948.00 | -9.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 1174.64 | 948.00 | -9.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 1126.76 | 853.50 | -9.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 1077.62 | 768.50 | -9.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 1054.70 | 768.50 | -9.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 1014.71 | 768.50 | -9.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 957.42 | 692.00 | -9.95 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 885.74 | 699.00 | 1.01 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 815.18 | 655.00 | -6.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 735.07 | 648.50 | -0.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 693.60 | 610.00 | 4.45 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 661.90 | 584.50 | -4.18 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 639.69 | 557.00 | -4.70 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 610.64 | 544.50 | -2.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 590.77 | 544.50 | -2.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 573.27 | 544.50 | -2.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 559.93 | 498.00 | -8.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 542.23 | 522.00 | 4.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 535.34 | 523.50 | 0.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 528.58 | 523.50 | 0.29 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 25.05.2026 | 1 | 521.55 | 523.50 | 0.29 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 515.70 | 510.00 | -1.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 518.40 | 514.00 | 0.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 527.38 | 621.50 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 547.73 | 683.50 | 9.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 579.46 | 623.00 | -8.85 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 601.21 | 685.00 | 9.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 636.28 | 665.00 | -2.92 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 655.82 | 636.50 | -4.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 658.63 | 606.00 | -4.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 643.67 | 610.00 | 0.66 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 640.91 | 593.00 | -2.79 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 619.33 | 576.50 | 0.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 601.81 | 560.00 | -2.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 586.36 | 616.00 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 588.23 | 631.00 | 2.44 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 592.66 | 617.00 | -2.22 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 603.67 | 587.50 | -4.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 614.55 | 587.50 | -4.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 620.16 | 587.50 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 614.58 | 587.50 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 605.59 | 582.00 | -0.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 595.88 | 610.00 | 4.81 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 591.64 | 597.50 | -2.05 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 593.43 | 588.00 | -1.59 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 593.31 | 574.50 | -2.30 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 590.93 | 568.50 | -1.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 589.23 | 568.50 | -1.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 581.07 | 563.00 | -0.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 574.36 | 543.00 | -3.55 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 565.53 | 537.00 | -1.11 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 558.13 | 534.50 | -0.47 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 550.33 | 516.00 | -3.46 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 539.67 | 522.50 | 1.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |