Toplam Tahmin
814
Doğru
506
Yanlış
308
Başarı Oranı
%62.16
AVTUR - Avrasya Petrol&Turistik Tesis
Tahmin ID: #128034 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 14.9400 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 15.0400 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.16
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 16.07.2026 | 15.0520 TL | %0.08 |
| 17.07.2026 | 15.0482 TL | %-0.03 |
| 20.07.2026 | 15.0580 TL | %0.07 |
| 21.07.2026 | 15.0641 TL | %0.04 |
| 22.07.2026 | 15.0638 TL | %0.00 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Gün | %35.04 | %4.62 | 137 |
| 1 Gün | %42.14 | %2.81 | 140 |
| 2 Gün | %30.71 | %3.82 | 140 |
| 5 Gün | %32.12 | %5.17 | 137 |
| 3 Gün | %30.94 | %3.82 | 139 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 15.00 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 15.00 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 15.00 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 15.00 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 7.14 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 16.00 | 8.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 16.00 | 6.67 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 15.20 | 16.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 15.40 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 15.60 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 15.80 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 16.00 | 15.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 16.00 | 15.00 | -6.25 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 15.80 | 16.00 | 7.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 15.60 | 16.00 | 6.67 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 15.60 | 17.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 15.60 | 17.00 | 6.25 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 15.60 | 17.00 | 5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 15.80 | 17.00 | 6.25 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 16.60 | 18.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 17.20 | 18.00 | -5.26 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 17.60 | 18.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 18.40 | 18.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 18.20 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 17.80 | 17.00 | -4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 17.60 | 17.00 | -5.56 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 17.40 | 16.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 17.20 | 16.00 | -5.88 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 16.80 | 17.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 16.60 | 17.00 | 6.25 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 16.60 | 17.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 16.60 | 17.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 16.60 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 16.80 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 17.00 | 17.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 17.00 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 17.00 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 17.00 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 17.00 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 17.00 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 17.00 | 18.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 17.00 | 18.00 | 5.88 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 17.20 | 18.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 17.40 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 17.60 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 17.80 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 18.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 17.00 | -5.56 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 17.00 | -5.56 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 17.80 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 17.60 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 17.40 | 18.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 17.20 | 18.00 | 5.88 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 17.20 | 18.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 17.40 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 17.60 | 18.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 17.80 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 18.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 17.80 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 17.60 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 17.40 | 16.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 17.20 | 16.00 | -5.88 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 16.80 | 16.00 | -5.88 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 16.61 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 16.61 | 17.00 | 6.25 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 16.81 | 18.00 | 5.88 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 17.41 | 20.00 | 11.11 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 18.72 | 22.62 | 13.10 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 19.72 | 21.10 | -6.72 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 20.30 | 22.00 | 10.00 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 20.69 | 22.00 | 10.00 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 21.08 | 22.00 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 20.95 | 20.48 | -6.91 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 21.12 | 20.48 | -6.91 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 21.22 | 20.48 | -6.91 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 21.35 | 19.33 | -5.98 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 20.82 | 18.40 | -4.81 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 20.14 | 18.57 | 0.38 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 19.48 | 19.10 | 2.85 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 19.12 | 18.35 | -3.93 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 18.67 | 18.73 | 2.07 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 18.56 | 18.55 | -0.96 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 18.57 | 17.87 | -3.67 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 18.42 | 18.50 | 3.53 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 18.40 | 20.34 | 9.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 18.43 | 20.34 | 9.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 18.39 | 20.34 | 9.95 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 18.39 | 20.34 | 9.95 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 18.53 | 20.34 | 9.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 18.53 | 20.34 | 9.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 18.54 | 20.34 | 9.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 18.90 | 20.40 | 0.30 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 19.27 | 19.74 | -3.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 19.51 | 19.87 | 0.66 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 19.76 | 20.10 | 1.16 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 20.07 | 20.16 | 0.30 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 20.03 | 20.14 | -0.10 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 19.97 | 19.55 | -2.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 19.93 | 19.45 | -0.51 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 19.85 | 19.09 | -1.85 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 19.65 | 19.67 | 3.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 19.44 | 19.67 | 3.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 19.35 | 19.40 | -1.37 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 19.33 | 19.99 | 3.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 19.44 | 20.52 | 2.65 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 19.73 | 19.50 | -4.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 19.81 | 19.75 | 1.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 19.77 | 19.75 | 1.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 19.84 | 19.55 | -1.01 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 19.75 | 19.35 | -1.02 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 19.52 | 19.23 | -0.62 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 19.50 | 19.23 | -0.62 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 19.45 | 19.18 | -0.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 19.33 | 18.59 | -3.08 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 19.15 | 18.68 | 0.48 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 19.01 | 19.17 | 2.62 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 18.98 | 19.17 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 18.97 | 19.17 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 18.97 | 18.75 | -2.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 19.09 | 18.83 | 0.43 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 19.19 | 18.83 | 0.43 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 19.11 | 18.83 | 0.43 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 19.03 | 18.68 | -0.80 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 18.94 | 18.86 | 0.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 18.87 | 18.93 | 0.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 18.83 | 18.00 | -4.91 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 18.55 | 17.10 | -1.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 18.22 | 16.91 | -1.11 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 17.85 | 16.40 | -3.02 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 17.37 | 16.90 | 3.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 16.84 | 16.90 | 3.05 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 16.65 | 16.90 | 3.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 16.59 | 15.56 | -7.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 16.33 | 16.11 | 3.53 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 16.26 | 16.55 | 2.73 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 16.21 | 16.55 | 2.73 | ❌ | 0.51 |
| 25.05.2026 | 1 | 16.23 | 16.55 | 2.73 | ✅ | 0.52 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 16.11 | 16.56 | 2.16 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 16.30 | 17.34 | 4.71 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 16.54 | 16.95 | -2.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 16.71 | 16.75 | -1.18 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 16.75 | 17.93 | 7.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 17.09 | 17.73 | -1.12 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 17.33 | 17.40 | -1.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 17.35 | 17.65 | 1.44 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 17.44 | 17.99 | 1.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 17.69 | 17.70 | -1.61 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 17.65 | 17.15 | -3.11 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 17.49 | 17.61 | 3.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 17.54 | 18.22 | 3.46 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 17.70 | 17.92 | -1.65 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 17.69 | 17.21 | -3.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 17.59 | 17.46 | 1.45 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 17.63 | 17.51 | 0.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 17.55 | 17.51 | 0.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 17.41 | 16.85 | -3.77 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 17.32 | 16.85 | -3.77 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 17.26 | 16.60 | -1.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 17.14 | 16.70 | 0.60 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 17.04 | 16.43 | -1.62 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 16.83 | 16.30 | -0.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 16.59 | 16.27 | -0.18 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 16.47 | 15.90 | -2.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 16.40 | 15.90 | -2.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 16.24 | 15.54 | -2.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 16.07 | 15.68 | 0.90 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 15.91 | 15.74 | 0.38 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 15.81 | 16.00 | 1.65 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 15.76 | 15.62 | -2.38 | ❌ | 0.60 |