Toplam Tahmin
818
Doğru
533
Yanlış
285
Başarı Oranı
%65.16
ARSAN - Arsan Tekstil
Tahmin ID: #128016 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 3.6200 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 3.7000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.13
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 3.6935 TL | %-0.18 |
| 20.07.2026 | 3.6847 TL | %-0.24 |
| 21.07.2026 | 3.6803 TL | %-0.12 |
| 22.07.2026 | 3.6859 TL | %0.15 |
| 23.07.2026 | 3.6950 TL | %0.25 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Gün | %46.43 | %5.37 | 140 |
| 3 Gün | %32.86 | %5.69 | 140 |
| 4 Gün | %34.78 | %7.00 | 138 |
| 1 Gün | %45.39 | %4.34 | 141 |
| 5 Gün | %35.77 | %6.31 | 137 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 8.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 3.20 | 3.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 3.40 | 3.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 3.60 | 4.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 3.60 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 3.60 | 4.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 3.80 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | -8.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 8.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 8.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | -5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | -5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 3.80 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 3.60 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 3.40 | 3.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 3.20 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 7.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.70 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 3.20 | 4.00 | 33.33 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 3.20 | 3.00 | -25.00 | ✅ | 0.69 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 3.20 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 3.20 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.69 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 3.33 | 3.68 | 22.67 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 3.28 | 3.71 | 0.82 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 3.40 | 3.48 | -4.13 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 3.53 | 3.48 | -4.13 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 3.62 | 3.48 | -4.13 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 3.59 | 3.71 | 6.61 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 3.54 | 3.71 | 6.61 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 3.56 | 3.71 | 6.61 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 3.59 | 4.02 | 5.24 | ❌ | 0.49 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 3.70 | 3.80 | -5.47 | ❌ | 0.66 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 3.83 | 4.16 | 0.73 | ❌ | 0.47 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 3.97 | 4.23 | 1.68 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 4.06 | 4.09 | -3.31 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 4.11 | 4.00 | -2.20 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 4.11 | 3.95 | -1.25 | ✅ | 0.48 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 4.07 | 3.87 | -2.03 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 4.01 | 3.72 | -3.88 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 3.92 | 3.61 | -2.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 3.85 | 3.61 | -2.96 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 3.79 | 3.61 | -2.96 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 3.75 | 3.61 | -2.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 3.72 | 3.61 | -2.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 3.72 | 3.61 | -2.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 3.72 | 3.61 | -2.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 3.69 | 3.70 | 2.49 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 3.69 | 3.80 | 2.70 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 3.71 | 3.76 | -1.05 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 3.72 | 3.69 | -1.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 3.71 | 3.71 | 0.54 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 3.73 | 3.56 | -4.04 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 3.70 | 3.66 | 2.81 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 3.68 | 3.64 | -0.55 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 3.65 | 3.67 | 0.82 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 3.65 | 3.58 | -2.45 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 3.64 | 3.58 | -2.45 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 3.65 | 3.51 | -1.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 3.61 | 3.55 | 1.14 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 3.60 | 3.52 | -0.85 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 3.57 | 3.69 | 4.83 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 3.57 | 3.62 | -1.90 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 3.59 | 3.62 | -1.90 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 3.61 | 3.60 | -0.55 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 3.62 | 3.54 | -1.67 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 3.63 | 3.61 | 1.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 3.60 | 3.61 | 1.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 3.58 | 3.62 | 0.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 3.58 | 3.48 | -3.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 3.56 | 3.42 | -1.72 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 3.54 | 3.48 | 1.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 3.52 | 3.48 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 3.50 | 3.48 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 3.47 | 3.60 | 3.45 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 3.49 | 3.62 | 0.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 3.50 | 3.62 | 0.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 3.50 | 3.62 | 0.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 3.53 | 3.77 | 4.14 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 3.59 | 3.90 | 3.45 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 3.65 | 4.19 | 7.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 3.79 | 4.02 | -4.06 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 3.84 | 3.73 | 0.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 3.86 | 3.61 | -3.22 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 3.83 | 3.56 | -1.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 3.76 | 3.49 | -1.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 3.64 | 3.49 | -1.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 3.61 | 3.49 | -1.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 3.56 | 3.26 | -6.59 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 3.49 | 3.39 | 3.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 3.45 | 3.41 | 0.59 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 3.41 | 3.41 | 0.59 | ✅ | 0.49 |
| 25.05.2026 | 1 | 3.38 | 3.41 | 0.59 | ✅ | 0.49 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 3.37 | 3.42 | 0.59 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 3.40 | 3.55 | 3.80 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 3.40 | 3.42 | 0.89 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 3.41 | 3.46 | 1.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 3.42 | 3.42 | -1.16 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 3.42 | 3.34 | -2.34 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 3.41 | 3.23 | -3.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 3.37 | 3.20 | -0.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 3.34 | 3.25 | 1.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 3.29 | 3.35 | 3.08 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 3.26 | 3.30 | 1.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 3.27 | 3.36 | 1.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 3.31 | 3.42 | 1.79 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 3.34 | 3.39 | -0.88 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 3.42 | 3.32 | -2.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 3.51 | 3.25 | -2.11 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 3.60 | 3.25 | -2.11 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 3.64 | 3.21 | -1.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 3.67 | 3.21 | -1.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 3.60 | 3.20 | -0.31 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 3.53 | 3.19 | -0.31 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 3.43 | 3.19 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 3.35 | 3.44 | 7.84 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 3.32 | 3.49 | 1.45 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 3.34 | 3.53 | 1.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 3.37 | 3.53 | 1.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 3.43 | 3.26 | -7.65 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 3.44 | 3.15 | -3.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 3.39 | 3.10 | -1.59 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 3.31 | 3.24 | 4.52 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 3.26 | 3.56 | 9.88 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 3.26 | 3.70 | 4.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |