Toplam Tahmin

818

Doğru

407

Yanlış

411

Başarı Oranı

%49.76

ARMGD - Armada Gıda

Tahmin ID: #128015 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026

Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 177.6000 TL

Temel Veriler
  • Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 173.9000 TL
  • Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
  • 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.07
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
Gün Tahmin Fiyatı %Getiri
17.07.2026 173.9414 TL %0.02
20.07.2026 173.8767 TL %-0.04
21.07.2026 173.8057 TL %-0.04
22.07.2026 173.7878 TL %-0.01
23.07.2026 173.7833 TL %0.00
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu

📊 Model Başarı Performansı

Vade Başarı Yüzdesi Ort. Hata Yüzdesi Toplam Tahmin
4 Gün %17.39 %14.65 138
3 Gün %22.14 %7.83 140
5 Gün %14.60 %13.45 137
2 Gün %27.14 %9.84 140
1 Gün %35.46 %8.56 141
Tahmin; yönü doğruysa ve hata %5'in altındaysa başarılı kabul edilir.
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması

📊 Model Başarı Performansı

Tarih Gün Tahmin Gerçek Getiri % Yön Güven
29.12.2025 1 62.00 65.00 2.00 ❌ 0.00
29.12.2025 1 62.00 65.00 1.56 ❌ 0.00
30.12.2025 1 62.00 72.00 9.00 ❌ 0.00
30.12.2025 1 62.00 72.00 10.77 ❌ 0.00
31.12.2025 1 62.60 70.00 -2.00 ✅ 0.00
31.12.2025 1 63.20 70.00 -2.78 ✅ 0.00
02.01.2026 1 63.40 75.00 7.00 ❌ 0.00
02.01.2026 1 63.60 75.00 7.14 ❌ 0.00
07.01.2026 1 67.40 84.00 6.00 ✅ 0.00
07.01.2026 1 70.60 84.00 6.33 ✅ 0.00
08.01.2026 1 74.80 80.00 -3.00 ❌ 0.00
08.01.2026 1 79.40 80.00 -4.76 ❌ 0.00
09.01.2026 1 83.40 82.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
09.01.2026 1 83.80 82.00 2.50 ✅ 0.00
12.01.2026 1 84.40 82.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
12.01.2026 1 84.00 82.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
13.01.2026 1 83.80 83.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
13.01.2026 1 84.20 83.00 1.22 ✅ 0.00
14.01.2026 1 84.60 83.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
14.01.2026 1 84.80 83.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
19.01.2026 1 84.80 84.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
19.01.2026 1 84.60 84.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
21.01.2026 1 84.20 82.00 -1.00 ✅ 0.00
21.01.2026 1 83.80 82.00 -2.38 ✅ 0.00
22.01.2026 1 83.40 84.00 2.00 ✅ 0.00
22.01.2026 1 83.20 84.00 2.44 ✅ 0.00
23.01.2026 1 83.20 78.00 -7.00 ❌ 0.00
23.01.2026 1 83.40 78.00 -7.14 ❌ 0.00
26.01.2026 1 82.40 82.00 4.00 ✅ 0.00
26.01.2026 1 81.40 82.00 5.13 ✅ 0.00
27.01.2026 1 81.20 81.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
27.01.2026 1 80.80 81.00 -1.22 ❌ 0.00
28.01.2026 1 80.20 80.00 -1.00 ❌ 0.00
28.01.2026 1 80.80 80.00 -1.23 ❌ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 81.20 83.00 3.00 ✅ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 80.80 83.00 3.00 ✅ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 80.40 83.00 3.75 ✅ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 80.20 83.00 3.75 ✅ 0.00
30.01.2026 1 80.60 83.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
30.01.2026 1 81.20 83.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 81.80 83.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 82.40 83.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 83.00 83.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 83.00 83.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
03.02.2026 1 83.00 82.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
03.02.2026 1 83.00 82.00 -1.20 ❌ 0.00
04.02.2026 1 82.80 83.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
04.02.2026 1 82.60 83.00 1.22 ✅ 0.00
05.02.2026 1 82.60 85.00 2.00 ❌ 0.00
05.02.2026 1 82.60 85.00 2.41 ✅ 0.00
06.02.2026 1 83.00 86.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
06.02.2026 1 83.60 86.00 1.18 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 84.40 87.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 85.00 87.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 85.60 87.00 1.16 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 85.80 87.00 1.16 ✅ 0.00
10.02.2026 1 86.20 84.00 -3.00 ❌ 0.00
10.02.2026 1 86.40 84.00 -3.45 ❌ 0.00
13.02.2026 1 86.20 85.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
13.02.2026 1 86.00 85.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
16.02.2026 1 85.80 86.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
16.02.2026 1 85.40 86.00 1.18 ✅ 0.00
17.02.2026 1 85.20 86.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
17.02.2026 1 85.40 86.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
20.02.2026 1 84.80 80.00 -1.00 ❌ 0.00
20.02.2026 1 84.20 80.00 -2.44 ❌ 0.00
24.02.2026 1 83.60 81.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
24.02.2026 1 82.80 81.00 -1.22 ❌ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 81.80 80.00 -1.00 ❌ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 81.60 80.00 -1.23 ❌ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 81.19 80.00 -1.23 ✅ 0.46
26.02.2026 1 80.99 81.00 1.25 ✅ 0.46
27.02.2026 1 80.78 81.00 0.00 ❌ 0.46
02.03.2026 1 79.77 76.00 -6.17 ✅ 0.46
03.03.2026 1 78.77 76.00 0.00 ❌ 0.46
04.03.2026 1 78.18 77.00 1.32 ✅ 0.46
05.03.2026 1 78.00 80.05 3.96 ✅ 0.46
09.03.2026 1 78.41 78.00 -6.02 ✅ 0.46
09.03.2026 1 79.81 78.00 -6.02 ✅ 0.46
09.03.2026 1 80.27 78.00 -6.02 ✅ 0.46
10.03.2026 1 80.53 78.50 0.64 ✅ 0.46
10.03.2026 1 80.19 78.50 0.64 ✅ 0.46
10.03.2026 1 79.38 78.50 0.64 ✅ 0.46
13.03.2026 1 78.39 75.60 -1.63 ❌ 0.45
16.03.2026 1 77.87 72.30 -4.37 ❌ 0.49
18.03.2026 1 78.01 79.55 0.70 ✅ 0.55
19.03.2026 1 78.25 81.00 1.82 ❌ 0.60
23.03.2026 1 78.35 80.65 -0.43 ✅ 0.49
24.03.2026 1 78.86 80.65 0.00 ❌ 0.50
25.03.2026 1 79.83 81.50 1.05 ❌ 0.45
26.03.2026 1 80.31 81.80 0.37 ❌ 0.47
27.03.2026 1 80.74 86.30 5.50 ❌ 0.51
28.03.2026 1 82.10 87.30 1.16 ❌ 0.60
28.03.2026 1 83.23 87.30 1.16 ❌ 0.45
28.03.2026 1 84.37 87.30 1.16 ❌ 0.60
28.03.2026 1 85.34 87.30 1.16 ❌ 0.45
29.03.2026 1 86.27 87.30 1.16 ✅ 0.60
29.03.2026 1 86.28 87.30 1.16 ✅ 0.60
30.03.2026 1 86.27 87.30 1.16 ❌ 0.60
31.03.2026 1 86.47 91.00 4.24 ❌ 0.60
01.04.2026 1 86.66 97.10 6.70 ❌ 0.60
02.04.2026 1 88.79 106.80 9.99 ❌ 0.60
03.04.2026 1 92.88 116.10 8.71 ❌ 0.60
06.04.2026 1 98.83 124.70 7.41 ❌ 0.60
07.04.2026 1 106.31 130.00 4.25 ❌ 0.60
08.04.2026 1 114.86 140.90 8.38 ✅ 0.60
09.04.2026 1 123.73 147.20 4.47 ✅ 0.60
10.04.2026 1 132.02 147.60 0.27 ✅ 0.60
12.04.2026 1 138.57 149.10 1.02 ✅ 0.60
13.04.2026 1 143.40 149.10 1.02 ✅ 0.60
14.04.2026 1 147.36 149.80 0.47 ✅ 0.60
15.04.2026 1 149.12 148.20 -1.07 ❌ 0.60
16.04.2026 1 149.15 146.60 -1.08 ❌ 0.60
17.04.2026 1 148.75 147.50 0.61 ✅ 0.60
20.04.2026 1 148.52 145.20 -1.56 ❌ 0.60
20.04.2026 1 148.01 145.20 -1.56 ✅ 0.60
21.04.2026 1 147.04 139.60 -3.86 ❌ 0.60
22.04.2026 1 145.29 145.00 3.87 ✅ 0.60
23.04.2026 1 144.93 144.60 -0.28 ✅ 0.60
24.04.2026 1 144.39 144.60 -0.28 ✅ 0.60
27.04.2026 1 143.82 130.20 -9.96 ✅ 0.60
28.04.2026 1 140.79 33.00 -74.65 ✅ 0.60
29.04.2026 1 119.45 132.50 301.52 ❌ 0.60
30.04.2026 1 117.01 131.80 -0.53 ❌ 0.60
01.05.2026 1 114.42 130.00 -1.37 ❌ 0.60
04.05.2026 1 112.04 130.00 -1.37 ❌ 0.60
05.05.2026 1 112.52 129.00 -0.77 ❌ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 132.45 131.50 1.94 ✅ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 132.33 131.50 1.94 ✅ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 131.71 131.50 1.94 ❌ 0.60
07.05.2026 1 131.42 131.70 0.15 ❌ 0.60
08.05.2026 1 131.38 132.50 0.61 ✅ 0.60
11.05.2026 1 131.37 135.00 1.89 ✅ 0.60
12.05.2026 1 131.96 133.80 -0.89 ❌ 0.60
14.05.2026 1 132.95 128.00 -1.16 ❌ 0.60
15.05.2026 1 132.35 129.50 1.17 ✅ 0.60
18.05.2026 1 131.77 125.60 -3.01 ✅ 0.60
19.05.2026 1 130.34 116.50 -7.25 ✅ 0.60
19.05.2026 1 128.49 116.50 -7.25 ❌ 0.60
20.05.2026 1 126.83 116.50 -7.25 ✅ 0.60
21.05.2026 1 124.51 112.50 -3.43 ✅ 0.60
22.05.2026 1 121.10 123.70 9.96 ❌ 0.60
23.05.2026 1 120.68 131.00 5.90 ❌ 0.60
24.05.2026 1 120.26 131.00 5.90 ❌ 0.56
25.05.2026 1 121.33 131.00 5.90 ✅ 0.65
01.06.2026 1 124.29 126.20 -3.88 ✅ 0.60
02.06.2026 1 127.01 124.00 -1.74 ✅ 0.60
04.06.2026 1 127.05 125.70 1.78 ✅ 0.60
05.06.2026 1 127.50 123.10 -2.07 ❌ 0.60
08.06.2026 1 125.93 125.90 2.27 ❌ 0.60
09.06.2026 1 124.85 128.40 1.99 ❌ 0.60
10.06.2026 1 125.34 124.70 -2.88 ✅ 0.60
11.06.2026 1 125.55 133.00 6.66 ❌ 0.60
12.06.2026 1 126.96 146.30 10.00 ❌ 0.60
15.06.2026 1 131.62 160.90 9.98 ✅ 0.60
16.06.2026 1 138.62 29.14 -81.89 ✅ 0.60
18.06.2026 1 145.34 165.70 2.28 ❌ 0.60
19.06.2026 1 153.60 166.60 0.54 ✅ 0.60
22.06.2026 1 160.41 174.30 4.62 ✅ 0.60
23.06.2026 1 166.19 174.50 0.11 ✅ 0.60
24.06.2026 1 166.43 170.20 -2.46 ✅ 0.60
25.06.2026 1 166.55 170.30 0.06 ❌ 0.60
25.06.2026 1 165.80 170.30 0.06 ❌ 0.60
26.06.2026 1 165.66 171.50 0.70 ❌ 0.60
26.06.2026 1 164.42 171.50 0.70 ❌ 0.60
29.06.2026 1 165.97 176.70 3.03 ❌ 0.60
30.06.2026 1 168.61 170.00 -3.79 ✅ 0.60
01.07.2026 1 170.15 174.30 2.53 ❌ 0.60
02.07.2026 1 171.85 187.60 7.63 ✅ 0.60
03.07.2026 1 175.43 190.30 1.44 ❌ 0.60
06.07.2026 1 179.58 188.60 -0.89 ❌ 0.60
06.07.2026 1 182.22 188.60 -0.89 ✅ 0.60
07.07.2026 1 185.97 190.80 1.17 ❌ 0.60
08.07.2026 1 189.16 187.00 -1.99 ✅ 0.60
09.07.2026 1 189.17 173.10 -7.43 ❌ 0.60
10.07.2026 1 185.70 175.00 1.10 ✅ 0.60
13.07.2026 1 182.94 175.20 0.11 ✅ 0.60
16.07.2026 1 180.33 173.90 -0.86 ❌ 0.60