Toplam Tahmin
828
Doğru
436
Yanlış
392
Başarı Oranı
%52.66
ALTNY - Altınay Savunma
Tahmin ID: #128004 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 15.2300 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 15.7300 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.07
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 15.7312 TL | %0.01 |
| 20.07.2026 | 15.7237 TL | %-0.05 |
| 21.07.2026 | 15.7212 TL | %-0.02 |
| 22.07.2026 | 15.7154 TL | %-0.04 |
| 23.07.2026 | 15.7192 TL | %0.02 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Gün | %46.81 | %37.08 | 141 |
| 5 Gün | %31.16 | %45.58 | 138 |
| 3 Gün | %42.55 | %40.77 | 141 |
| 1 Gün | %46.48 | %39.26 | 142 |
| 4 Gün | %37.41 | %40.66 | 139 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 40.50 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 35.60 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 25.80 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 16.00 | 14.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 16.00 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.01.2026 | 1 | 15.60 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.01.2026 | 1 | 15.20 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 14.80 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 14.40 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 14.00 | 15.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 14.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 14.20 | 16.00 | 5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 14.40 | 16.00 | 6.67 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 14.60 | 17.00 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 14.80 | 17.00 | 6.25 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 15.20 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 15.40 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 15.60 | 16.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 15.80 | 16.00 | -5.88 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 16.20 | 17.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 16.40 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 16.60 | 16.00 | -6.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 16.80 | 16.00 | -5.88 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 16.80 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 16.60 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 16.40 | 16.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 16.20 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 16.00 | 17.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 16.00 | 17.00 | 6.25 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 16.20 | 16.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 16.40 | 16.00 | -5.88 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 16.40 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 16.40 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 16.40 | 16.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 16.20 | 16.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 16.00 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 16.00 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 16.00 | 16.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 16.00 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 16.00 | 15.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 16.00 | 15.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 16.00 | 15.00 | -6.25 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 16.00 | 15.00 | -6.25 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 15.80 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 15.60 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 15.40 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 15.20 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 16.00 | 6.67 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 16.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 15.20 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 15.40 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 15.60 | 16.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 15.80 | 16.00 | -5.88 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 16.00 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 16.00 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 16.00 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 16.00 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 16.00 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.70 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 15.79 | 15.00 | -6.25 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 15.79 | 16.00 | 6.67 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 16.19 | 18.00 | 12.50 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 16.18 | 16.00 | -11.11 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 16.32 | 16.71 | 4.44 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 16.62 | 16.55 | -0.96 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 16.66 | 15.37 | -5.12 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 16.30 | 15.37 | -5.12 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 16.18 | 15.37 | -5.12 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 15.91 | 15.62 | 1.63 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 15.67 | 15.62 | 1.63 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 15.56 | 15.62 | 1.63 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 15.36 | 15.00 | -1.32 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 15.29 | 14.93 | -0.47 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 15.26 | 15.04 | -0.99 | ❌ | 0.70 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 15.21 | 15.10 | 0.40 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 15.10 | 15.10 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.70 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 15.08 | 14.70 | -2.65 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 15.03 | 14.65 | -0.34 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 14.91 | 14.48 | -1.16 | ❌ | 0.69 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 14.83 | 14.29 | -1.31 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 14.68 | 14.38 | 0.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 14.52 | 14.38 | 0.63 | ✅ | 0.69 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 14.44 | 14.38 | 0.63 | ✅ | 0.69 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 14.37 | 14.38 | 0.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 14.30 | 14.38 | 0.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 14.30 | 14.38 | 0.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 14.30 | 14.38 | 0.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 14.31 | 14.31 | -0.49 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 14.33 | 14.53 | 1.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 14.38 | 14.44 | -0.62 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 14.40 | 14.76 | 2.22 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 14.49 | 14.71 | -0.34 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 14.56 | 15.03 | 2.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 14.69 | 15.01 | -0.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 14.78 | 14.75 | -1.73 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 14.84 | 15.22 | 3.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 14.93 | 16.06 | 5.52 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 15.03 | 16.06 | 5.52 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 15.24 | 15.85 | -1.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 15.41 | 16.02 | 1.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 15.67 | 15.97 | -0.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 15.82 | 15.96 | -0.06 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 15.97 | 15.99 | 0.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 15.95 | 15.99 | 0.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 15.98 | 16.38 | 2.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 16.05 | 15.72 | -4.03 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 16.00 | 16.15 | 2.74 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 15.95 | 16.15 | 2.74 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 15.99 | 15.97 | -1.11 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 15.98 | 15.95 | -0.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 15.89 | 15.85 | -0.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 15.92 | 16.01 | 1.01 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 15.98 | 16.53 | 3.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 15.95 | 16.53 | 3.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 15.96 | 17.02 | 2.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 18.20 | 17.52 | 1.51 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 18.17 | 17.31 | -1.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 17.74 | 17.20 | -0.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 17.36 | 17.20 | -0.64 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 17.35 | 17.20 | -0.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 17.33 | 16.00 | -6.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 17.26 | 16.90 | 5.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 17.17 | 16.86 | -0.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 17.08 | 16.86 | -0.24 | ✅ | 0.53 |
| 25.05.2026 | 1 | 17.00 | 16.86 | -0.24 | ✅ | 0.52 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 16.95 | 17.04 | 0.47 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 16.93 | 17.37 | 1.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 16.92 | 16.55 | -1.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 29.43 | 16.40 | -79.45 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 29.35 | 15.90 | -3.05 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 29.13 | 15.97 | 0.44 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 28.93 | 16.10 | 0.81 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 28.84 | 16.00 | -0.62 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 16.28 | 15.88 | -0.75 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 16.13 | 15.95 | 0.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 16.19 | 16.05 | 0.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 16.26 | 16.15 | 0.62 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 16.30 | 15.92 | -1.42 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 16.09 | 15.69 | -1.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 16.07 | 15.35 | -2.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 15.97 | 16.10 | 4.89 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 15.89 | 16.10 | 4.89 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 15.85 | 15.74 | -2.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 15.90 | 15.74 | -2.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 15.92 | 16.55 | 5.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 16.07 | 16.70 | 0.91 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 16.26 | 17.27 | 3.41 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 16.49 | 16.96 | -1.80 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 16.63 | 17.47 | 3.01 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 16.96 | 18.07 | 3.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 17.15 | 18.07 | 3.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 17.42 | 17.03 | -5.76 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 17.38 | 16.31 | -4.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 17.27 | 15.50 | -4.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 16.88 | 15.88 | 2.45 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 16.57 | 15.53 | -2.20 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 16.11 | 15.73 | -0.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |