Toplam Tahmin
828
Doğru
424
Yanlış
404
Başarı Oranı
%51.21
ALKLC - Altınkılıç Gıda
Tahmin ID: #128003 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 398.2500 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 398.5000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.23
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 398.7081 TL | %0.05 |
| 20.07.2026 | 398.9233 TL | %0.05 |
| 21.07.2026 | 399.0570 TL | %0.03 |
| 22.07.2026 | 399.1572 TL | %0.03 |
| 23.07.2026 | 399.4346 TL | %0.07 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Gün | %23.74 | %7.22 | 139 |
| 5 Gün | %17.39 | %34.84 | 138 |
| 1 Gün | %36.62 | %31.80 | 142 |
| 2 Gün | %31.91 | %4.99 | 141 |
| 3 Gün | %25.53 | %147.17 | 141 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 184.00 | 215.00 | -5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 184.00 | 215.00 | -5.70 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 187.67 | 193.00 | -9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 189.50 | 193.00 | -10.23 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 190.80 | 212.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 193.20 | 212.00 | 9.84 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 197.60 | 212.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 199.80 | 212.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.01.2026 | 1 | 205.20 | 213.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.01.2026 | 1 | 210.40 | 213.00 | -0.93 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 214.40 | 191.00 | -10.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 216.40 | 191.00 | -10.33 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 214.00 | 202.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 208.40 | 202.00 | 5.76 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 205.00 | 205.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 202.80 | 205.00 | 1.49 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 201.20 | 203.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 204.00 | 203.00 | -0.98 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 206.40 | 214.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 206.60 | 214.00 | 5.42 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 209.00 | 214.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 210.80 | 214.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 211.60 | 213.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 212.80 | 213.00 | 0.47 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 213.20 | 209.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 211.40 | 209.00 | 0.48 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 209.80 | 207.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 209.20 | 207.00 | -0.96 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 208.20 | 205.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 208.00 | 205.00 | -0.97 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 207.40 | 225.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 206.60 | 225.00 | 9.76 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 209.80 | 247.00 | 9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 213.40 | 247.00 | 9.78 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 221.60 | 247.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 230.20 | 247.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 238.60 | 260.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 243.00 | 260.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 247.40 | 260.00 | 5.26 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 247.20 | 260.00 | 5.26 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 249.60 | 261.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 252.20 | 261.00 | 0.38 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 255.00 | 267.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 257.80 | 267.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 260.60 | 267.00 | 2.30 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 260.80 | 267.00 | 2.30 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 262.40 | 269.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 263.80 | 269.00 | 0.75 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 265.60 | 263.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 267.40 | 263.00 | -2.23 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 267.80 | 259.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 266.80 | 259.00 | -1.52 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 265.00 | 255.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 262.80 | 255.00 | -1.54 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 259.80 | 248.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 258.20 | 248.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 256.60 | 248.00 | -2.75 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 255.80 | 248.00 | -2.75 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 253.60 | 248.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 252.20 | 248.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 252.00 | 256.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 251.80 | 256.00 | 0.79 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 251.80 | 255.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 253.20 | 255.00 | -0.39 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 254.60 | 255.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 254.80 | 255.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 255.20 | 280.00 | 9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 255.40 | 280.00 | 9.38 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 260.40 | 280.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 265.40 | 280.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 270.20 | 286.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 274.80 | 286.00 | 2.14 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 280.80 | 286.00 | 2.14 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 282.59 | 289.00 | 1.05 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 283.19 | 283.00 | -2.08 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 278.82 | 257.00 | -9.19 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 275.48 | 262.00 | 1.95 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 271.46 | 265.50 | 1.34 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 267.07 | 266.50 | 0.38 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 262.97 | 274.00 | 4.58 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 264.03 | 274.00 | 4.58 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 266.50 | 274.00 | 4.58 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 268.24 | 282.75 | 3.19 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 269.77 | 282.75 | 3.19 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 273.96 | 282.75 | 3.19 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 279.43 | 280.00 | -3.37 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 280.55 | 271.50 | -3.04 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 279.16 | 293.75 | 9.92 | ✅ | 0.54 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 283.02 | 305.00 | 3.83 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 285.11 | 305.25 | 0.08 | ❌ | 0.52 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 288.10 | 307.75 | 0.82 | ❌ | 0.49 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 293.48 | 305.75 | -0.65 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 300.91 | 306.00 | 0.08 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 303.20 | 313.00 | 2.29 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 306.84 | 324.75 | 3.75 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 308.31 | 324.75 | 3.75 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 309.29 | 324.75 | 3.75 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 310.74 | 324.75 | 3.75 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 312.17 | 324.75 | 3.75 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 312.25 | 324.75 | 3.75 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 312.34 | 324.75 | 3.75 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 314.76 | 328.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 317.90 | 332.75 | 1.45 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 321.79 | 345.25 | 3.76 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 328.21 | 341.00 | -1.23 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 333.88 | 341.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 337.26 | 363.25 | 6.52 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 344.39 | 371.50 | 2.27 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 352.32 | 370.25 | -0.34 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 357.49 | 407.25 | 9.99 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 370.73 | 408.00 | 0.18 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 383.93 | 408.00 | 0.18 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 392.83 | 407.25 | -0.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 400.09 | 429.50 | 5.46 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 412.06 | 447.00 | 4.07 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 420.06 | 450.00 | 0.67 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 428.78 | 444.25 | -1.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 437.48 | 444.25 | -1.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 444.83 | 449.75 | 1.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 448.84 | 446.75 | -0.67 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 448.88 | 402.25 | -9.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 448.21 | 402.25 | -9.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 438.50 | 362.25 | -9.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 422.02 | 326.25 | -9.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 397.23 | 330.75 | 1.38 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 373.90 | 358.00 | 8.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 356.11 | 360.00 | 0.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 347.27 | 360.00 | 0.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 346.54 | 360.75 | 0.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 352.99 | 8.77 | -97.57 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 359.02 | 8.77 | -97.57 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 359.06 | 8.77 | -97.57 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 289.08 | 347.00 | 3856.67 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 287.37 | 338.00 | -2.59 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 283.40 | 333.75 | -1.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 278.05 | 367.00 | 9.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 279.75 | 374.50 | 2.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 353.04 | 380.50 | 1.60 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 359.30 | 358.25 | -5.85 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 362.90 | 343.75 | -4.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 367.72 | 343.75 | -4.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 365.82 | 343.75 | -4.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 360.17 | 309.50 | -9.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 352.86 | 333.50 | 7.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 348.23 | 354.00 | 6.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 342.98 | 354.00 | 6.15 | ❌ | 0.51 |
| 25.05.2026 | 1 | 341.93 | 354.00 | 6.15 | ✅ | 0.50 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 343.09 | 321.25 | -9.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 338.13 | 325.00 | 1.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 334.77 | 313.25 | -1.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 331.30 | 325.00 | 3.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 325.91 | 326.00 | 0.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 320.43 | 340.75 | 4.52 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 324.30 | 324.75 | -4.70 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 325.79 | 318.00 | -2.08 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 326.28 | 348.00 | 9.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 330.82 | 343.25 | -1.36 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 334.28 | 344.00 | 0.22 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 334.71 | 338.75 | -0.81 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 337.57 | 339.00 | 0.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 342.01 | 339.50 | 0.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 340.38 | 342.00 | 0.74 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 340.29 | 344.00 | 0.58 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 340.41 | 338.00 | -1.74 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 341.12 | 338.00 | -1.74 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 340.89 | 338.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 340.52 | 338.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 339.72 | 342.75 | 1.41 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 339.89 | 337.25 | -1.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 338.97 | 340.75 | 1.04 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 339.58 | 339.00 | -0.51 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 339.80 | 349.00 | 2.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 341.98 | 344.75 | -1.22 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 343.13 | 344.75 | -1.22 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 344.58 | 379.00 | 9.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 352.17 | 378.00 | -0.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 359.88 | 379.25 | 0.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 365.86 | 378.00 | -0.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 371.64 | 381.75 | 0.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 382.15 | 398.50 | 0.38 | ✅ | 0.60 |