Toplam Tahmin

823

Doğru

452

Yanlış

371

Başarı Oranı

%54.92

ALARK - Alarko Holding

Tahmin ID: #127995 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026

Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 103.2000 TL

Temel Veriler
  • Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 104.1000 TL
  • Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
  • 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.16
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
Gün Tahmin Fiyatı %Getiri
17.07.2026 104.1481 TL %0.05
20.07.2026 104.1919 TL %0.04
21.07.2026 104.2430 TL %0.05
22.07.2026 104.2873 TL %0.04
23.07.2026 104.2662 TL %-0.02
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu

📊 Model Başarı Performansı

Vade Başarı Yüzdesi Ort. Hata Yüzdesi Toplam Tahmin
4 Gün %40.29 %3.32 139
5 Gün %34.78 %3.77 138
3 Gün %34.75 %2.92 141
2 Gün %43.26 %2.17 141
1 Gün %44.37 %1.85 142
Tahmin; yönü doğruysa ve hata %5'in altındaysa başarılı kabul edilir.
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması

📊 Model Başarı Performansı

Tarih Gün Tahmin Gerçek Getiri % Yön Güven
29.12.2025 1 98.00 103.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
29.12.2025 1 98.00 103.00 -0.96 ✅ 0.00
30.12.2025 1 99.33 101.00 -2.00 ✅ 0.00
30.12.2025 1 100.00 101.00 -1.94 ✅ 0.00
31.12.2025 1 100.80 102.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
31.12.2025 1 102.00 102.00 0.99 ✅ 0.00
02.01.2026 1 102.60 105.00 3.00 ❌ 0.00
02.01.2026 1 102.40 105.00 2.94 ❌ 0.00
06.01.2026 1 103.20 104.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
06.01.2026 1 103.60 104.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
07.01.2026 1 103.80 101.00 -2.00 ❌ 0.00
07.01.2026 1 104.60 101.00 -2.88 ❌ 0.00
08.01.2026 1 104.80 103.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
08.01.2026 1 104.00 103.00 1.98 ✅ 0.00
09.01.2026 1 103.60 101.00 -1.00 ❌ 0.00
09.01.2026 1 103.40 101.00 -1.94 ❌ 0.00
12.01.2026 1 102.80 98.00 -2.00 ❌ 0.00
12.01.2026 1 102.80 98.00 -2.97 ❌ 0.00
13.01.2026 1 102.20 101.00 2.00 ✅ 0.00
13.01.2026 1 101.20 101.00 3.06 ✅ 0.00
14.01.2026 1 100.80 102.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
14.01.2026 1 100.80 102.00 0.99 ✅ 0.00
19.01.2026 1 101.40 106.00 1.00 ❌ 0.00
19.01.2026 1 102.60 106.00 0.95 ✅ 0.00
21.01.2026 1 103.80 106.00 1.00 ❌ 0.00
21.01.2026 1 104.40 106.00 0.95 ✅ 0.00
22.01.2026 1 105.20 111.00 4.00 ❌ 0.00
22.01.2026 1 105.40 111.00 4.72 ✅ 0.00
23.01.2026 1 106.60 110.00 -1.00 ✅ 0.00
23.01.2026 1 107.80 110.00 -0.90 ❌ 0.00
26.01.2026 1 108.80 109.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
26.01.2026 1 109.60 109.00 -0.91 ❌ 0.00
27.01.2026 1 110.20 106.00 -2.00 ❌ 0.00
27.01.2026 1 109.80 106.00 -2.75 ❌ 0.00
28.01.2026 1 108.80 107.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
28.01.2026 1 108.00 107.00 0.94 ✅ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 107.40 109.00 1.00 ❌ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 107.00 109.00 1.00 ❌ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 106.60 109.00 1.87 ✅ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 106.80 109.00 1.87 ✅ 0.00
30.01.2026 1 107.40 108.00 -1.00 ✅ 0.00
30.01.2026 1 107.80 108.00 -0.92 ❌ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 108.00 104.00 -2.00 ❌ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 108.20 104.00 -2.00 ❌ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 108.40 104.00 -3.70 ❌ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 108.20 104.00 -3.70 ❌ 0.00
03.02.2026 1 107.20 109.00 4.00 ❌ 0.00
03.02.2026 1 106.40 109.00 4.81 ✅ 0.00
04.02.2026 1 106.60 110.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
04.02.2026 1 106.80 110.00 0.92 ✅ 0.00
05.02.2026 1 107.20 110.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
05.02.2026 1 108.40 110.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
06.02.2026 1 109.60 111.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
06.02.2026 1 109.80 111.00 0.91 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 110.20 114.00 2.00 ❌ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 110.40 114.00 2.70 ✅ 0.00
10.02.2026 1 111.20 112.00 -1.00 ❌ 0.00
10.02.2026 1 112.00 112.00 -1.75 ❌ 0.00
13.02.2026 1 112.60 113.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
13.02.2026 1 113.00 113.00 -0.88 ✅ 0.00
16.02.2026 1 113.40 115.00 1.00 ❌ 0.00
16.02.2026 1 113.20 115.00 1.77 ✅ 0.00
17.02.2026 1 113.40 112.00 -2.00 ❌ 0.00
17.02.2026 1 113.80 112.00 -2.61 ❌ 0.00
20.02.2026 1 112.00 104.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
20.02.2026 1 110.20 104.00 -0.95 ✅ 0.00
24.02.2026 1 108.60 105.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
24.02.2026 1 106.60 105.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 104.60 105.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 104.80 105.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 105.00 105.00 0.00 ❌ 0.65
26.02.2026 1 104.80 104.00 -0.95 ✅ 0.66
27.02.2026 1 104.20 102.00 -1.92 ✅ 0.66
02.03.2026 1 103.22 100.00 -1.96 ✅ 0.66
03.03.2026 1 101.64 97.00 -3.00 ✅ 0.66
04.03.2026 1 100.41 98.70 1.75 ✅ 0.66
05.03.2026 1 99.13 97.50 -1.22 ✅ 0.66
09.03.2026 1 97.35 92.65 -0.43 ❌ 0.66
09.03.2026 1 95.96 92.65 -0.43 ❌ 0.66
09.03.2026 1 95.15 92.65 -0.43 ❌ 0.66
09.03.2026 1 93.95 92.65 -0.43 ✅ 0.66
10.03.2026 1 92.98 96.20 3.83 ✅ 0.66
10.03.2026 1 92.91 96.20 3.83 ✅ 0.66
10.03.2026 1 93.56 96.20 3.83 ✅ 0.66
13.03.2026 1 93.49 89.80 -3.23 ✅ 0.67
16.03.2026 1 92.86 89.10 -0.78 ✅ 0.70
18.03.2026 1 92.73 90.00 -2.17 ❌ 0.73
19.03.2026 1 92.16 89.70 -0.33 ✅ 0.73
23.03.2026 1 90.87 91.00 1.45 ✅ 0.73
24.03.2026 1 90.51 89.10 -2.09 ✅ 0.73
25.03.2026 1 90.41 90.00 1.01 ✅ 0.69
26.03.2026 1 89.99 87.85 -2.39 ✅ 0.72
27.03.2026 1 89.59 86.95 -1.02 ❌ 0.73
28.03.2026 1 89.17 87.75 0.92 ✅ 0.60
28.03.2026 1 88.53 87.75 0.92 ✅ 0.60
28.03.2026 1 88.25 87.75 0.92 ✅ 0.75
28.03.2026 1 87.82 87.75 0.92 ✅ 0.75
29.03.2026 1 87.82 87.75 0.92 ✅ 0.60
29.03.2026 1 87.84 87.75 0.92 ✅ 0.60
30.03.2026 1 87.85 87.75 0.92 ✅ 0.60
31.03.2026 1 87.84 88.40 0.74 ❌ 0.60
01.04.2026 1 87.96 89.00 0.68 ❌ 0.60
02.04.2026 1 88.17 89.45 0.51 ❌ 0.60
03.04.2026 1 88.45 89.20 -0.28 ✅ 0.60
06.04.2026 1 88.71 91.20 2.24 ❌ 0.60
07.04.2026 1 89.37 87.25 -4.33 ✅ 0.60
08.04.2026 1 89.15 90.95 4.24 ✅ 0.60
09.04.2026 1 89.54 91.00 0.06 ❌ 0.60
10.04.2026 1 89.87 93.95 3.24 ✅ 0.60
12.04.2026 1 90.81 93.00 -1.01 ✅ 0.60
13.04.2026 1 91.38 93.00 -1.01 ✅ 0.60
14.04.2026 1 92.53 94.25 1.34 ✅ 0.60
15.04.2026 1 93.15 94.05 -0.21 ✅ 0.60
16.04.2026 1 93.74 93.20 -0.90 ✅ 0.60
17.04.2026 1 93.62 95.55 2.52 ❌ 0.60
20.04.2026 1 93.96 94.40 -1.20 ❌ 0.60
20.04.2026 1 94.47 94.40 -1.20 ❌ 0.60
21.04.2026 1 94.55 93.90 -0.53 ❌ 0.60
22.04.2026 1 94.55 92.40 -1.60 ❌ 0.60
23.04.2026 1 94.41 93.00 0.65 ✅ 0.60
24.04.2026 1 93.79 93.00 0.65 ✅ 0.60
27.04.2026 1 93.28 95.10 2.26 ✅ 0.60
28.04.2026 1 93.42 96.10 1.05 ✅ 0.60
29.04.2026 1 93.83 97.15 1.09 ❌ 0.60
30.04.2026 1 94.77 95.65 -1.54 ✅ 0.60
01.05.2026 1 95.43 93.40 -2.35 ❌ 0.60
04.05.2026 1 95.97 93.40 -2.35 ❌ 0.60
05.05.2026 1 96.05 94.65 1.34 ✅ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 95.75 88.60 -6.39 ✅ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 95.44 88.60 -6.39 ❌ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 95.42 88.60 -6.39 ❌ 0.60
07.05.2026 1 94.00 99.95 12.81 ✅ 0.60
08.05.2026 1 94.81 99.15 -0.80 ✅ 0.60
11.05.2026 1 95.73 100.90 1.77 ❌ 0.60
12.05.2026 1 96.80 101.00 0.10 ✅ 0.60
14.05.2026 1 97.81 97.60 -2.79 ❌ 0.60
15.05.2026 1 99.69 97.00 -0.61 ❌ 0.60
18.05.2026 1 99.23 92.85 -4.28 ❌ 0.60
19.05.2026 1 97.99 95.45 2.80 ✅ 0.60
19.05.2026 1 96.40 95.45 2.80 ✅ 0.60
20.05.2026 1 94.81 95.45 2.80 ❌ 0.60
21.05.2026 1 94.31 90.70 -4.98 ❌ 0.60
22.05.2026 1 92.99 96.30 6.17 ❌ 0.60
23.05.2026 1 93.64 96.90 0.62 ❌ 0.60
24.05.2026 1 94.26 96.90 0.62 ❌ 0.60
25.05.2026 1 95.03 96.90 0.62 ✅ 0.60
01.06.2026 1 95.10 96.05 0.00 ❌ 0.60
02.06.2026 1 96.16 99.70 3.80 ❌ 0.60
04.06.2026 1 97.00 101.10 0.70 ❌ 0.60
05.06.2026 1 97.97 98.50 -2.57 ✅ 0.60
08.06.2026 1 98.32 101.20 2.74 ❌ 0.60
09.06.2026 1 99.37 104.50 3.26 ❌ 0.60
10.06.2026 1 101.07 105.90 1.34 ❌ 0.60
11.06.2026 1 102.17 106.00 0.09 ❌ 0.60
12.06.2026 1 103.15 107.00 0.94 ❌ 0.60
15.06.2026 1 104.85 109.40 2.24 ❌ 0.60
16.06.2026 1 106.49 103.80 -5.12 ✅ 0.60
18.06.2026 1 105.79 102.90 2.18 ✅ 0.60
19.06.2026 1 105.21 103.60 0.68 ✅ 0.60
22.06.2026 1 104.77 102.20 -1.35 ❌ 0.60
23.06.2026 1 103.84 100.00 -2.15 ❌ 0.60
24.06.2026 1 101.99 102.00 2.00 ✅ 0.60
25.06.2026 1 101.82 101.50 -0.49 ✅ 0.60
25.06.2026 1 101.23 101.50 -0.49 ✅ 0.60
26.06.2026 1 100.82 105.20 3.65 ✅ 0.60
26.06.2026 1 100.69 105.20 3.65 ✅ 0.60
29.06.2026 1 101.73 107.50 2.19 ✅ 0.60
30.06.2026 1 103.20 107.70 0.19 ❌ 0.60
01.07.2026 1 104.73 105.30 -2.23 ✅ 0.60
02.07.2026 1 105.46 106.70 1.33 ❌ 0.60
03.07.2026 1 106.47 104.90 -1.69 ✅ 0.60
06.07.2026 1 106.39 103.70 -1.14 ✅ 0.60
06.07.2026 1 105.85 103.70 -1.14 ✅ 0.60
07.07.2026 1 105.05 102.10 -1.54 ✅ 0.60
08.07.2026 1 104.42 98.35 -3.67 ❌ 0.60
09.07.2026 1 103.52 98.95 0.61 ✅ 0.60
10.07.2026 1 102.36 100.30 1.36 ✅ 0.60
13.07.2026 1 101.46 99.00 -1.30 ❌ 0.60
16.07.2026 1 100.69 104.10 4.36 ✅ 0.60