Toplam Tahmin
823
Doğru
522
Yanlış
301
Başarı Oranı
%63.43
AKSA - Aksa
Tahmin ID: #127990 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 12.3200 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 12.1300 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.11
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 12.1174 TL | %-0.10 |
| 20.07.2026 | 12.1146 TL | %-0.02 |
| 21.07.2026 | 12.1132 TL | %-0.01 |
| 22.07.2026 | 12.1117 TL | %-0.01 |
| 23.07.2026 | 12.1162 TL | %0.04 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Gün | %53.90 | %16.99 | 141 |
| 1 Gün | %60.56 | %15.51 | 142 |
| 4 Gün | %42.45 | %17.46 | 139 |
| 5 Gün | %45.32 | %18.08 | 139 |
| 3 Gün | %51.06 | %17.43 | 141 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 10.00 | 9.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 10.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 10.00 | 9.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 10.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 10.00 | 9.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 10.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 9.80 | 10.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 9.60 | 10.00 | 11.11 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.01.2026 | 1 | 9.60 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.01.2026 | 1 | 9.60 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 9.60 | 9.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 9.80 | 9.00 | -10.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 11.11 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 9.00 | -10.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 9.80 | 10.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 9.60 | 10.00 | 11.11 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 9.60 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 9.60 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 9.60 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 9.80 | 9.00 | -10.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 9.00 | -10.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 9.80 | 10.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 9.60 | 10.00 | 11.11 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 9.60 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 9.60 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 9.60 | 10.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 9.80 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 10.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 11.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 11.00 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 10.20 | 10.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 10.40 | 10.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 10.60 | 10.00 | -9.09 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 10.80 | 10.00 | -9.09 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 10.80 | 11.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 10.60 | 11.00 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 10.60 | 10.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 10.60 | 10.00 | -9.09 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 10.40 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 10.40 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 10.40 | 10.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 10.20 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 10.20 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 10.40 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 10.60 | 11.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 10.80 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 10.80 | 11.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 10.60 | 11.00 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 10.40 | 10.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 10.20 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 10.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 10.01 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 9.81 | 9.00 | -10.00 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 9.62 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 9.58 | 9.78 | 8.67 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 9.56 | 9.92 | 1.43 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 9.57 | 9.96 | -0.99 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 9.78 | 9.96 | -0.99 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 9.99 | 9.96 | -0.99 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 10.03 | 9.96 | -0.99 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 10.03 | 10.17 | 2.11 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 10.01 | 10.17 | 2.11 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 10.04 | 10.17 | 2.11 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 10.18 | 10.82 | -0.09 | ✅ | 0.73 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 10.35 | 10.93 | 1.02 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 11.06 | 11.25 | 4.07 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 11.05 | 10.79 | -4.09 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 11.06 | 10.57 | -2.04 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 11.05 | 10.57 | -2.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 11.06 | 10.57 | -2.04 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 11.09 | 10.57 | -2.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 11.10 | 10.57 | -2.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 11.11 | 10.57 | -2.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 11.13 | 10.57 | -2.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 11.02 | 10.83 | 2.46 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 10.99 | 11.09 | 2.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 10.98 | 11.33 | 2.16 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 11.01 | 10.56 | -6.80 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 10.88 | 10.38 | -1.70 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 10.85 | 10.14 | -2.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 10.69 | 10.28 | 1.38 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 10.52 | 10.16 | -1.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 10.29 | 10.30 | 1.38 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 10.23 | 10.29 | -0.10 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 10.21 | 10.29 | -0.10 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 10.24 | 10.32 | 0.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 10.24 | 10.63 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 10.32 | 10.70 | 0.66 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 10.41 | 10.95 | 2.34 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 10.54 | 10.69 | -2.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 10.68 | 10.69 | -2.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 10.76 | 10.50 | -1.78 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 10.75 | 10.39 | -1.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 10.69 | 10.67 | 2.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 10.58 | 10.67 | 2.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 10.53 | 10.91 | 2.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 10.57 | 10.29 | -5.68 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 10.53 | 10.22 | -0.68 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 10.50 | 10.59 | 3.62 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 10.54 | 10.27 | -3.02 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 10.52 | 10.27 | -3.02 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 10.46 | 10.55 | 2.73 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 10.51 | 10.38 | -1.61 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 10.57 | 10.38 | -1.61 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 10.57 | 10.38 | -1.61 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 10.54 | 11.09 | 6.84 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 10.64 | 11.20 | 0.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 10.77 | 11.18 | -0.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 10.88 | 11.44 | 2.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 10.95 | 11.01 | 0.36 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 11.07 | 11.07 | 0.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 11.06 | 10.62 | -4.07 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 10.94 | 11.00 | 3.58 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 10.83 | 11.00 | 3.58 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 10.77 | 11.00 | 3.58 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 10.76 | 10.20 | -7.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 10.60 | 10.56 | 3.53 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 10.60 | 10.65 | 0.85 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 10.59 | 10.65 | 0.85 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 25.05.2026 | 1 | 10.60 | 10.65 | 0.85 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 10.48 | 10.47 | 0.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 10.54 | 10.86 | 3.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 10.53 | 10.75 | 1.80 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 10.57 | 10.65 | -0.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 10.56 | 11.18 | 4.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 10.71 | 11.03 | -1.34 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 10.82 | 10.78 | -2.27 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 10.87 | 10.85 | 0.65 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 10.89 | 11.12 | 2.49 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 10.98 | 12.02 | 8.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 11.16 | 12.54 | 4.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 11.41 | 12.17 | -0.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 11.69 | 11.79 | -3.12 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 11.88 | 12.33 | 4.58 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 12.01 | 11.86 | -3.81 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 11.98 | 11.61 | -2.11 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 11.90 | 11.50 | -0.95 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 11.84 | 11.50 | -0.95 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 11.79 | 11.63 | 1.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 11.73 | 11.63 | 1.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 11.69 | 11.79 | 1.38 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 11.68 | 12.10 | 2.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 11.72 | 11.91 | -1.57 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 11.79 | 11.81 | -0.84 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 11.85 | 12.15 | 2.88 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 11.95 | 11.84 | -2.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 12.01 | 11.84 | -2.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 11.97 | 11.99 | 1.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 11.98 | 11.40 | -4.92 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 11.90 | 11.68 | 2.46 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 11.75 | 11.76 | 0.68 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 11.68 | 11.58 | -1.53 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 11.69 | 12.13 | 2.02 | ✅ | 0.60 |