Toplam Tahmin
833
Doğru
464
Yanlış
369
Başarı Oranı
%55.70
AKFIS - Akfen İnşaat
Tahmin ID: #127985 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 92.2500 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 97.3000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.41
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 97.3811 TL | %0.08 |
| 20.07.2026 | 97.4417 TL | %0.06 |
| 21.07.2026 | 97.5744 TL | %0.14 |
| 22.07.2026 | 97.7032 TL | %0.13 |
| 23.07.2026 | 97.7010 TL | %0.00 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Gün | %30.94 | %25.42 | 139 |
| 3 Gün | %24.65 | %75.07 | 142 |
| 2 Gün | %31.69 | %12.35 | 142 |
| 1 Gün | %41.96 | %23.26 | 143 |
| 4 Gün | %30.71 | %14.00 | 140 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 20.00 | 20.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 20.00 | 20.00 | -4.76 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 20.33 | 20.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 20.50 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 20.40 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 20.40 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 20.40 | 20.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 20.20 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.01.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 20.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.01.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 21.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 21.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 20.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 20.00 | -4.76 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 20.20 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 20.40 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 20.60 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 20.80 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 21.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 22.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 22.00 | 4.76 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 21.20 | 22.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 21.40 | 22.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 21.60 | 22.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 21.80 | 22.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 22.00 | 22.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 22.00 | 22.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 22.00 | 22.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 22.00 | 22.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 22.00 | 22.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 22.00 | 22.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 22.00 | 22.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 22.00 | 22.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 22.00 | 22.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 22.00 | 22.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 22.00 | 22.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 22.00 | 22.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 22.00 | 22.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 22.00 | 22.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 22.00 | 22.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 22.00 | 22.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 22.00 | 22.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 22.00 | 22.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 22.00 | 22.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 22.00 | 22.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 22.00 | 22.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 22.00 | 22.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 22.00 | 22.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 22.00 | 22.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 22.20 | 25.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 22.40 | 25.00 | 8.70 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 23.00 | 27.00 | 10.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 23.60 | 27.00 | 8.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 24.60 | 30.00 | 9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 25.40 | 30.00 | 11.11 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 27.80 | 31.00 | -10.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 29.80 | 31.00 | -11.43 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 30.40 | 26.00 | -8.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 30.60 | 26.00 | -7.14 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 30.40 | 25.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 28.60 | 25.00 | -3.85 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 26.61 | 25.00 | -3.85 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 26.05 | 25.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 26.12 | 28.00 | 12.00 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 26.20 | 26.00 | -7.14 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 26.28 | 26.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 21.85 | 2.82 | -89.15 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 22.72 | 29.10 | 931.91 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 23.39 | 32.90 | 5.45 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 24.45 | 32.90 | 5.45 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 25.52 | 32.90 | 5.45 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 31.63 | 32.90 | 5.45 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 32.40 | 33.28 | 1.16 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 32.74 | 33.28 | 1.16 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 33.16 | 33.28 | 1.16 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 34.14 | 38.20 | 4.37 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 34.96 | 37.86 | -0.89 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 35.31 | 38.88 | 9.95 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 36.35 | 39.70 | 2.11 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 37.31 | 43.66 | 9.97 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 38.64 | 46.12 | 5.63 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 40.28 | 50.70 | 9.93 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 43.27 | 45.64 | -9.98 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 45.63 | 41.08 | -9.99 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 46.08 | 45.18 | 9.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 45.59 | 45.18 | 9.98 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 44.61 | 45.18 | 9.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 42.75 | 45.18 | 9.98 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 40.89 | 45.18 | 9.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 40.93 | 45.18 | 9.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 40.93 | 45.18 | 9.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 41.75 | 43.50 | -3.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 42.29 | 47.10 | 8.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 43.48 | 46.80 | -0.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 44.57 | 44.24 | -5.47 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 45.18 | 43.92 | -0.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 44.95 | 42.76 | -2.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 44.76 | 44.30 | 3.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 44.17 | 43.18 | -2.53 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 43.47 | 44.60 | 3.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 43.56 | 45.90 | 2.91 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 43.69 | 45.90 | 2.91 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 44.32 | 47.00 | 2.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 44.85 | 45.96 | -2.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 45.42 | 45.00 | -2.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 45.54 | 49.16 | 9.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 46.47 | 49.80 | 1.30 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 47.14 | 49.80 | 1.30 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 47.74 | 50.45 | 1.31 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 48.64 | 52.20 | 3.47 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 50.09 | 50.20 | -3.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 50.70 | 50.20 | -3.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 50.89 | 52.10 | 3.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 51.35 | 53.80 | 3.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 52.02 | 52.00 | -3.35 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 51.98 | 55.40 | 6.54 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 52.62 | 57.50 | 3.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 53.69 | 57.50 | 3.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 54.36 | 56.00 | -2.61 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 54.70 | 3.01 | -94.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 55.49 | 3.01 | -94.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 55.50 | 3.01 | -94.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 45.03 | 53.00 | 1660.80 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 44.55 | 55.80 | 5.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 44.63 | 57.50 | 3.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 44.96 | 56.70 | -1.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 45.55 | 64.20 | 9.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 57.75 | 64.15 | -0.08 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 60.07 | 65.00 | 1.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 61.86 | 62.80 | -3.38 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 63.37 | 62.80 | -3.38 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 64.70 | 62.80 | -3.38 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 64.48 | 56.55 | -9.95 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 62.89 | 59.90 | 5.92 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 62.01 | 65.85 | 9.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 60.99 | 65.85 | 9.93 | ✅ | 0.56 |
| 25.05.2026 | 1 | 61.19 | 65.85 | 9.93 | ✅ | 0.56 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 61.74 | 64.70 | -1.90 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 63.32 | 66.50 | 2.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 64.63 | 68.15 | 1.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 66.30 | 65.60 | -3.74 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 66.25 | 65.50 | -0.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 66.23 | 63.60 | -2.90 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 66.08 | 64.80 | 1.89 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 65.68 | 65.85 | 1.62 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 65.22 | 65.75 | -0.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 65.23 | 64.20 | -2.36 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 64.96 | 66.40 | 3.43 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 65.40 | 66.75 | 1.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 65.75 | 69.45 | 4.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 66.43 | 70.05 | 0.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 67.27 | 71.00 | 1.36 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 68.64 | 64.00 | -9.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 69.61 | 66.40 | 3.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 70.45 | 66.40 | 3.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 69.86 | 72.35 | 8.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 69.12 | 72.35 | 8.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 69.37 | 79.55 | 9.95 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 71.08 | 72.80 | -8.49 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 71.44 | 76.60 | 5.22 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 73.43 | 83.35 | 8.81 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 76.80 | 85.80 | 2.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 79.44 | 89.45 | 4.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 80.66 | 89.45 | 4.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 83.99 | 89.20 | -0.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 86.52 | 90.90 | 1.91 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 88.03 | 88.50 | -2.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 88.64 | 91.05 | 2.88 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 89.71 | 90.85 | -0.22 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 89.69 | 97.30 | 9.02 | ✅ | 0.60 |