Toplam Tahmin
833
Doğru
495
Yanlış
338
Başarı Oranı
%59.42
AKCNS - Akçansa
Tahmin ID: #127982 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 242.1000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 241.3000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.09
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 241.1656 TL | %-0.06 |
| 20.07.2026 | 240.7166 TL | %-0.19 |
| 21.07.2026 | 240.7744 TL | %0.02 |
| 22.07.2026 | 241.0360 TL | %0.11 |
| 23.07.2026 | 241.0754 TL | %0.02 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Gün | %39.16 | %36.50 | 143 |
| 5 Gün | %36.88 | %12.88 | 141 |
| 2 Gün | %44.06 | %4.56 | 143 |
| 1 Gün | %43.06 | %9.86 | 144 |
| 4 Gün | %36.17 | %5.95 | 141 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 151.00 | 159.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 151.00 | 159.00 | -3.05 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 151.33 | 161.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 151.50 | 161.00 | 1.26 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 154.00 | 165.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 156.60 | 165.00 | 2.48 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 158.00 | 161.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 159.20 | 161.00 | -2.42 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.01.2026 | 1 | 160.80 | 160.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.01.2026 | 1 | 160.00 | 160.00 | 1.27 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 159.60 | 158.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 160.40 | 158.00 | -1.25 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 160.80 | 158.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 160.80 | 158.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 160.60 | 158.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 160.00 | 158.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 159.60 | 163.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 159.60 | 163.00 | 3.16 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 160.60 | 162.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 161.80 | 162.00 | -0.61 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 162.80 | 164.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 163.60 | 164.00 | 1.23 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 163.80 | 159.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 163.00 | 159.00 | -1.24 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 160.80 | 153.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 158.80 | 153.00 | -0.65 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 156.60 | 157.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 155.00 | 157.00 | 2.61 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 154.20 | 162.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 154.80 | 162.00 | 3.18 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 156.40 | 167.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 158.20 | 167.00 | 3.09 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 161.00 | 184.00 | 9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 163.00 | 184.00 | 10.18 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 168.40 | 202.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 172.80 | 202.00 | 9.78 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 180.80 | 190.00 | -6.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 187.80 | 190.00 | -6.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 194.80 | 190.00 | -5.94 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 198.40 | 190.00 | -5.94 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 199.60 | 194.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 197.20 | 194.00 | 2.11 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 195.40 | 194.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 193.80 | 194.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 192.20 | 194.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 192.80 | 194.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 193.60 | 192.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 193.80 | 192.00 | -1.03 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 193.40 | 190.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 193.00 | 190.00 | -1.04 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 192.40 | 194.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 191.60 | 194.00 | 2.11 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 191.60 | 195.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 192.00 | 195.00 | 0.52 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 192.60 | 208.00 | 6.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 193.60 | 208.00 | 6.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 194.60 | 208.00 | 6.67 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 194.80 | 208.00 | 6.67 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 197.60 | 206.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 200.20 | 206.00 | -0.96 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 202.60 | 208.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 205.00 | 208.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 207.60 | 211.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 207.60 | 211.00 | 1.44 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 208.20 | 212.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 209.00 | 212.00 | 0.47 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 211.00 | 216.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 212.80 | 216.00 | -0.92 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 214.20 | 216.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 215.00 | 216.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 216.00 | 208.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 215.80 | 208.00 | -3.70 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 213.98 | 208.00 | -3.70 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 212.97 | 210.00 | 0.96 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 211.95 | 210.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 210.34 | 208.00 | -0.95 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 209.32 | 211.00 | 1.44 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 209.73 | 210.00 | -0.47 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 209.35 | 208.10 | -0.90 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 208.97 | 203.10 | -2.36 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 208.98 | 203.10 | -2.36 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 208.40 | 203.10 | -2.36 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 207.03 | 203.10 | -2.36 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 206.03 | 208.10 | 2.46 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 205.05 | 208.10 | 2.46 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 205.06 | 208.10 | 2.46 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 205.02 | 208.50 | 0.39 | ✅ | 0.69 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 206.12 | 207.20 | -0.62 | ❌ | 0.64 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 206.79 | 201.40 | -2.47 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 206.45 | 199.20 | -1.09 | ✅ | 0.62 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 205.11 | 202.50 | 1.66 | ✅ | 0.58 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 204.04 | 196.80 | -2.81 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 201.69 | 197.50 | 0.36 | ✅ | 0.59 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 199.89 | 205.20 | 3.90 | ❌ | 0.59 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 200.66 | 199.70 | -2.68 | ✅ | 0.57 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 200.29 | 199.70 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.57 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 199.70 | 199.70 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 200.24 | 199.70 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.57 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 200.65 | 199.70 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 199.53 | 199.70 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 199.54 | 199.70 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 199.56 | 199.70 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 199.59 | 199.20 | -0.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 199.51 | 199.10 | -0.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 199.41 | 199.90 | 0.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 199.47 | 198.50 | -0.70 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 199.28 | 198.20 | -0.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 198.95 | 190.00 | -4.14 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 197.13 | 194.20 | 2.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 196.06 | 191.90 | -1.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 194.48 | 195.00 | 1.62 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 193.68 | 196.10 | 0.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 193.09 | 196.10 | 0.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 194.34 | 199.10 | 1.53 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 195.37 | 193.00 | -3.06 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 195.55 | 199.90 | 3.58 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 196.56 | 214.80 | 7.45 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 200.44 | 217.90 | 1.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 204.16 | 217.90 | 1.44 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 207.87 | 216.20 | -0.78 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 212.46 | 214.00 | -1.02 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 215.31 | 213.60 | -0.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 215.16 | 213.60 | -0.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 214.88 | 214.40 | 0.37 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 214.26 | 211.10 | -1.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 213.31 | 211.10 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 212.75 | 213.60 | 1.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 212.74 | 210.70 | -1.36 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 212.80 | 210.70 | -1.36 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 212.63 | 209.00 | -0.81 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 174.23 | 209.70 | 874.44 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 173.30 | 203.70 | -2.86 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 171.32 | 200.10 | -1.77 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 168.66 | 195.20 | -2.45 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 165.71 | 194.50 | 0.62 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 200.44 | 191.50 | -1.54 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 196.78 | 185.10 | -3.34 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 193.05 | 187.20 | 1.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 190.07 | 187.20 | 1.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 188.16 | 187.20 | 1.13 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 186.49 | 196.40 | 4.91 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 187.66 | 213.90 | 8.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 193.46 | 217.40 | 1.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 199.14 | 217.40 | 1.64 | ❌ | 0.52 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 204.94 | 217.40 | 1.64 | ❌ | 0.52 |
| 25.05.2026 | 1 | 210.98 | 217.40 | 1.64 | ✅ | 0.53 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 217.09 | 216.40 | -4.88 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 217.52 | 219.60 | 1.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 218.13 | 212.90 | -1.62 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 218.01 | 210.10 | -1.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 216.69 | 204.80 | -2.52 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 212.25 | 208.00 | 1.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 210.64 | 215.20 | 3.46 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 210.33 | 215.00 | -0.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 210.76 | 217.10 | 0.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 212.12 | 223.00 | 2.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 218.96 | 212.90 | -5.12 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 218.55 | 203.60 | -4.37 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 216.16 | 196.60 | -3.44 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 211.95 | 195.60 | -0.51 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 206.45 | 194.60 | -0.51 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 200.65 | 194.40 | -0.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 197.22 | 194.40 | -0.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 195.37 | 188.20 | -3.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 194.18 | 188.20 | -3.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 192.73 | 207.00 | 9.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 194.92 | 227.70 | 10.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 201.14 | 222.50 | -2.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 206.50 | 217.40 | -2.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 211.48 | 239.10 | 9.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 221.17 | 232.10 | -2.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 227.38 | 232.10 | -2.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 228.38 | 234.00 | 0.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 230.99 | 234.80 | 0.34 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 234.72 | 231.50 | -1.41 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 234.27 | 234.70 | 1.38 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 233.73 | 236.40 | 0.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 233.97 | 241.30 | 3.52 | ✅ | 0.60 |